Wahlergebnissede
Pollster

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen: current polls

280 polls since 27 January 2017, 22 of them in 2026. Latest release on 17 September 2026. Recently commissioned by: ZDF-Politbarometer.

Our analysis

How does Forschungsgruppe Wahlen compare?

House effect since 22 September 2025 in federal polls: CDU/CSU +0.9, FDP -0.7 relative to the average of the other pollsters (17 polls). Accuracy: rank 4 of 13 with an average deviation of 1.2 points per party across 38 elections since 2017. All pollsters compared.

  • CDU/CSU +0.9
  • FDP -0.7
  • SPD -0.3
  • Linke +0.2
  • Grüne -0.1
  • AfD ±0
Deviation of the final Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll before each election from the result
ElectionPoll ofMean deviationBiggest miss
Berlin 20 Sep 202617 Sep 20261.3Linke -3.7
Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania 20 Sep 202617 Sep 20261.5Linke +2.5
Saxony-Anhalt 6 Sep 20263 Sep 20262.4CDU +5.8
Rhineland-Palatinate 22 Mar 202619 Mar 20260.9CDU -2.0
Baden-Württemberg 8 Mar 20265 Mar 20261.6SPD +2.5
Hamburg 2 Mar 202527 Feb 20251.1CDU -1.8
Bundestag 23 Feb 202520 Feb 20250.7Grüne +2.4
Brandenburg 22 Sep 202419 Sep 20241.4SPD -3.9
Saxony 1 Sep 202429 Aug 20240.8SPD -1.3
Thuringia 1 Sep 202429 Aug 20241.3AfD -3.8
European election 9 Jun 20246 Jun 20240.9Grüne +2.1
Bavaria 8 Oct 20235 Oct 20230.6Grüne +1.6
Hesse 8 Oct 20235 Oct 20231.5CDU -2.6
Bremen 14 May 202311 May 20230.6Grüne +1.1
Berlin 12 Feb 20239 Feb 20231.8CDU -3.2
Lower Saxony 9 Oct 20226 Oct 20220.7Grüne +1.5
North Rhine-Westphalia 15 May 202212 May 20221.6CDU -3.7
Schleswig-Holstein 8 May 20225 May 20221.9CDU -5.4
Saarland 27 Mar 202224 Mar 20221.0SPD -2.5
Bundestag 26 Sep 202123 Sep 20210.9Grüne +1.7
Berlin 26 Sep 202123 Sep 20210.7Linke -1.1
Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania 26 Sep 202123 Sep 20210.7Linke +1.1
Saxony-Anhalt 6 Jun 20213 Jun 20212.1CDU -7.1
Baden-Württemberg 14 Mar 202111 Mar 20210.8Grüne +1.4
Rhineland-Palatinate 14 Mar 202111 Mar 20211.0SPD -2.7
Hamburg 23 Feb 202020 Feb 20200.4CDU +0.8
Thuringia 27 Oct 201924 Oct 20192.0CDU +4.2
Brandenburg 1 Sep 201929 Aug 20192.4SPD -4.2
Saxony 1 Sep 201929 Aug 20191.7Linke +3.6
Bremen 26 May 201923 May 20190.7FDP -0.9
European election 26 May 201923 May 20191.1Grüne -2.0
Hesse 28 Oct 201825 Oct 20180.8Linke +1.7
Bavaria 14 Oct 201811 Oct 20181.4CSU -3.2
Lower Saxony 15 Oct 201712 Oct 20171.0SPD -2.4
Bundestag 24 Sep 201721 Sep 20171.3CDU/CSU +3.1
North Rhine-Westphalia 14 May 201711 May 20170.7Linke +1.1
Schleswig-Holstein 7 May 20174 May 20170.6SPD +1.8
Saarland 26 Mar 201723 Mar 20171.3CDU -3.7
Federal

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen on the federal election

The pollster's latest polls for the Bundestag.

PollsterPublishedAfDCDU/CSUGrüneSPDLinkeFDPOthers
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen20 Aug 2026272214121249
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen31 Jul 2026282313121248
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen17 Jul 2026272314121347
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen19 Jun 2026282412131148
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen5 Jun 2026272514121138
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen22 May 2026262415121238
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen8 May 2026272513121139
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen17 Apr 2026262514121139
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen27 Mar 20262626151310–10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen27 Feb 20262426121511–12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen6 Feb 20262426131510–12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen16 Jan 20262526121510–12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen12 Dec 20252526121411–12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen21 Nov 2025272712149–11
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen7 Nov 20252626121410–12

Average of all pollsters for the federal election

All parliaments

Latest poll per election

Other pollsters

Election tickerNext electionSaarland207 daysLatest pollForsa, North Rhine-Westphalia23 Sep 2026CDU 29AfD 22Grüne 18Biggest moveSPD, Rhineland-Palatinate▼ −8,3Leading nationallyAfDfor 159 daysRun-offsLower Saxony local elections4 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%, preliminary

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