Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 26 April 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 25 Apr 2024
- Respondents
- 1,228
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- AfD17.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%+3.0
- BSW5.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- Others10.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 Apr 2024.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 1,228 people were surveyed from 23 to 25 Apr 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 Apr 2024, Grüne gains 3.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.2average 13.8
- BSW -1.2average 6.2
- FDP -0.9average 4.9
- SPD -0.8average 15.8
- Linke +0.6average 3.4
- AfD -0.3average 17.3
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 30.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU231
- AfD131
- SPD115
- Grüne115
- BSW38
- CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne346 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne361 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.