Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 April 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 11 Apr 2024
- Respondents
- 1,254
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- AfD18.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- BSW6.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others10.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 22 Mar 2024.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,254 people were surveyed from 9 to 11 Apr 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 22 Mar 2024, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.0average 14.0
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 30.1
- FDP -0.8average 4.8
- AfD +0.6average 17.4
- Linke -0.4average 3.4
- SPD +0.2average 15.8
- BSW -0.1average 6.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU235
- AfD137
- SPD121
- Grüne91
- BSW46
- CDU/CSU + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne326 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne349 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.