Saxony state election: latest polls and 2024 result
Average of each pollster's latest poll from the past 120 days, as of 21 May 2026 (170 days ago). Next election: expected autumn 2029; see also the Saxony state election 2029 forecast. Sunday question Saxony: average, pollsters and trend.
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Lighter area: statistical margin of error of a single poll. Change compared with the election result of 1 Sep 2024.
AfD leads with 42.0%, 21.0 points ahead of CDU (21.0%). Biggest movement over 120 days: CDU −8.0 and AfD +7.0. Around the 5% threshold: SPD 6.0% and Grüne 6.0%.
How is the polling average calculated?
We take the latest poll of every pollster published within the last 120 days and average them with equal weight. Parties are shown as reported by the pollsters; “Others” collects everything not listed separately. The light area marks the statistical margin of a single poll of about 1,000 respondents.
Why do pollsters differ?
Pollsters use different sampling methods (telephone, online panels, mixed) and different weighting of undecided voters. The spread between the lowest and highest value per party is shown as a range; systematic differences per pollster are analysed under “house effects”.
Averaging the latest poll for the Saxony state election, AfD leads with 42.0%, followed by CDU on 21.0%.
- Lead at the top
- AfD 21.0 points ahead of CDU
- Around the 5% threshold
- SPD 6.0% · Grüne 6.0%
- Movement over 120 days
- CDU −8.0 · AfD +7.0 · Linke −1.0
- Two-party majorities
- AfD + CDU · AfD + Linke · AfD + BSW · AfD + SPD · AfD + Grüne
- Current government
- CDU + SPD: 36 of 120 seats, no majority
- Basis
- 1 pollster, latest poll 21 May 2026
These polls feed into the average
Each pollster's latest poll from the past 120 days, averaged without weighting. Older polls by the same pollster are replaced.
| Party | Average 21 May 2026 | INSA 21 May 2026 | 2024 election |
|---|---|---|---|
| AfD | 42.0 | 42.0 | 30.6 |
| CDU | 21.0 | 21.0 | 31.9 |
| Linke | 9.0 | 9.0 | 4.5 |
| BSW | 7.0 | 7.0 | 11.8 |
| SPD | 6.0 | 6.0 | 7.3 |
| Grüne | 6.0 | 6.0 | 5.1 |
| Others | 9.0 | 9.0 | 8.8 |
Values in percent, latest poll per pollster within the averaging window. Bold: highest value per party.
| Pollster | Published | AfD | CDU | Linke | BSW | SPD | Grüne | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 21 May 2026 | 42 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
House effects: which pollster rates whom higher?
Since 21 May 2024, INSA has measured CDU on average 4.8 points below the average of the other pollsters, Civey has measured BSW on average 3.7 points below the average of the other pollsters, INSA has measured AfD on average 3.0 points above the average of the other pollsters.
Adjusted for these house effects, CDU would stand at 25.8% instead of 21.0%, AfD would stand at 39.0% instead of 42.0%, BSW would stand at 5.5% instead of 7.0%. The current average is therefore shaped by which pollsters published most recently.
| Pollster | Polls | AfD | CDU | Linke | BSW | SPD | Grüne | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 5 | +3.0 | -4.8 | +0.4 | +1.5 | -0.2 | -0.8 | 1.8 |
| Civey | 5 | +1.5 | +1.4 | +1.6 | -3.7 | -0.8 | +0.7 | 1.6 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 3 | -0.7 | +2.2 | +0.2 | -3.0 | +0.4 | +0.4 | 1.2 |
| Raw average | 42.0% | 21.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | ||
| Adjusted for house effects | 39.0%(-3.0) | 25.8%(+4.8) | 8.6%(-0.4) | 5.5%(-1.5) | 6.2%(+0.2) | 6.8%(+0.8) |
Positive: the pollster measures the party higher than the other pollsters' rolling 120-day average on the same day. Only pollsters with at least 3 polls since 21 May 2024.
Seat distribution in the Saxon Landtag
Under Sainte-Laguë, the 120 seats would split into 55 for AfD, 28 for CDU, 12 for Linke, 9 for BSW, 8 for SPD, 8 for Grüne. Regular size 120 seats, excluding overhang and compensatory seats. Five per cent threshold, waived for parties with two constituency seats
- AfD55
- CDU28
- Linke12
- BSW9
- SPD8
- Grüne8
AfD would be the largest group with 55 of 120 seats; a majority needs 61.
How is the seat distribution calculated?
Seats are allocated by the Sainte-Laguë/Schepers method among all parties above the 5% threshold (Fünf-Prozent-Hürde, Ausnahme bei zwei Direktmandaten), based on the polling average. The parliament has 120 seats; a majority needs 61. Overhang or levelling seats and constituency effects are not modelled.
Which coalitions would have a majority?
All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority. Alliances that merely extend a smaller majority coalition are hidden. The arithmetic says nothing about whether a coalition is politically feasible.
5 two-party alliances have a majority: AfD + CDU, AfD + Linke, AfD + BSW, AfD + SPD and AfD + Grüne. The current government (CDU and SPD) would lose its majority with 36 seats.
Which coalitions are shown?
All two- and three-party alliances with at least 61 of 120 seats. Alliances that merely extend a smaller majority coalition are hidden. Tap parties in the calculator to test any other combination; exclusions can be set under Settings.
- CDU + SPDGovernment, no majority36 of 120
- AfD + CDU83 of 120
- AfD + Linke67 of 120
- AfD + BSW64 of 120
- AfD + SPD63 of 120
- AfD + Grüne63 of 120
CDU + SPD has had no majority in the last 48 months; currently holding a majority: AfD + CDU (throughout the period) and AfD + BSW (for one month).
How is the coalition timeline calculated?
For the end of each of the last 48 months the polling average is computed as it stood on that date: the latest poll from each pollster within the preceding 120 days, averaged without weighting. Seats are then allocated using the parliament's method and threshold. An alliance has a majority in a month if its seats add up to at least half plus one. The most recent month uses the current average.
Which alliances are shown?
The incumbent government, the alliances with a majority in the current average and the pairs of the four largest parties. A filled cell means an arithmetic majority in that month, a pale cell none. The bar says nothing about whether an alliance is politically feasible.
How secure are the majorities?
Polls have errors, so we recalculate the seat distribution 3,000 times with randomly varied values. The spread for each party follows from the sampling error of the average and from how far the final polls before earlier elections actually missed. The result: the probability that an alliance would have a majority, that a party clears the threshold and who becomes the largest party. This is not an election forecast but an assessment of the current polling picture.
Majority in parliament
- CDU + SPDGovernmentunder 1%
- AfD + CDUover 99%
- AfD + Linke97%
- AfD + BSW88%
- AfD + SPD76%
- AfD + Grüne73%
- CDU + Linkeunder 1%
- CDU + BSWunder 1%
- Linke + BSWunder 1%
Clearing the electoral threshold
- SPD (±2.3)68%
- Grüne (±1.9)69%
- BSW (±1.5)90%
- Linke (±2)98%
3,000 simulations. Spread per party from the sampling error of the average and the historical deviation of polls from election results. Method.
AfD and CDU holds a majority in 100% of 3,000 simulations. Uncertain at the 5% threshold: SPD (68% above), Grüne (69% above) and BSW (90% above).
How are the probabilities calculated?
We recompute the seat distribution 3,000 times with randomly varied poll values. The variation per party combines the sampling error of the average with the historical error of polls before elections since 2017. The probability is the share of runs in which an alliance reaches 61 seats.
Polling trend: how the polls moved since 19 June 2024
Since 19 Jun 2024 AfD +11.2 and Linke +5.2 gained, while CDU −10.0 and BSW −6.8 lost points.
How does the rolling average work?
Each point is one poll. The line is the average of all polls of the previous 120 days, one per pollster, so a single outlier moves it only slightly. Choose a period, an end month or the area view to explore the history back to 2017.
Search interest by party in Saxony
Each party's share of Google searches for the eight parties in the state, last 90 days. For comparison the current poll rating, where the party is listed in the state's polls.
In Saxony, AfD accounts for 57.6% of the search interest across the eight parties, ahead of CDU/CSU on 18.9%. In the state's polls AfD stands at 42.0%.
How is the search share by state calculated?
Google Trends reports for each state how search interest is distributed across the compared parties over the last 90 days. Two groups of five are linked through the AfD as a common yardstick; CDU and CSU are added together.
Accuracy ahead of the election on 1 Sep 2024
Before the Saxony state election on 1 Sep 2024, Forsa came closest to the result with an average error of 0.7 points per party, INSA was furthest away with 1.3 points. All pollsters overestimated BSW (by 1.5 points on average). Official result according to the returning officer. All elections since 2017 in the pollster comparison.
| Pollster | Poll dated | CDU | AfD | BSW | SPD | Grüne | Linke | Freie Wähler | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result 1 Sep 2024 | 31.9% | 30.6% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | ||
| Forsa | 30 Aug 2024 (2 days before) | +1.1 | +0.4 | +0.2 | -0.3 | +0.9 | -1.5 | – | 0.7 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 29 Aug 2024 (3 days before) | +1.1 | -0.6 | +0.2 | -1.3 | +0.9 | -0.5 | – | 0.8 |
| Infratest dimap | 22 Aug 2024 (10 days before) | -0.9 | -0.6 | +2.2 | -0.3 | +0.9 | -0.5 | – | 0.9 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 31 Aug 2024 (1 day before) | +1.1 | +0.4 | +1.7 | -1.3 | +0.4 | -1.5 | – | 1.1 |
| INSA | 24 Aug 2024 (8 days before) | -1.9 | +1.4 | +3.2 | -1.3 | -0.1 | -0.5 | +0.7 | 1.3 |
Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.
All polls for the Saxony state election
74 polls since 22 June 2017. Pollsters: INSA, Civey, Institut Wahlkreisprognose, Forsa, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, IM Field, uniQma.
| Pollster | Published | AfD | CDU | Linke | BSW | SPD | Grüne | Others | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 21 May 2026 | 42 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 9 | ||
| Civey | 6 Jan 2026 | 35 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 3 | ||
| Civey | 4 Aug 2025 | 35 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 4 | ||
| Civey | 8 Jul 2025 | 34 | 29 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 5 | ||
| INSA | 7 Jun 2025 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 8 | ||
| Civey | 7 Apr 2025 | 34 | 32 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 3 | ||
| Civey | 7 Jan 2025 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 5 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 31 Aug 2024 | 31 | 33 | 3 | 13.5 | 6 | 5.5 | 8 | ||
| Forsa | 30 Aug 2024 | 31 | 33 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 8 | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 29 Aug 2024 | 30 | 33 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 | ||
| INSA | 24 Aug 2024 | 32 | 30 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 5 | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23 Aug 2024 | 30 | 33 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 9 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 22 Aug 2024 | 30 | 31 | 4 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 8 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 21 Aug 2024 | 30 | 34.5 | 4.5 | 14 | 5 | 4.5 | 6.5 | ||
| Forsa | 20 Aug 2024 | 30 | 33 | 3 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 9 | ||
| INSA | 16 Aug 2024 | 32 | 29 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 3 | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9 Aug 2024 | 30 | 34 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 9 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 20 Jun 2024 | 30 | 29 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 9 | ||
| INSA | 19 Jun 2024 | 32 | 30 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 7 | ||
| Civey | 3 Apr 2024 | 30 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 6 | ||
| INSA | 19 Mar 2024 | 34 | 30 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 4 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 17 Mar 2024 | 31 | 31.5 | 3 | 13.5 | 6 | 6.5 | 7 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 25 Jan 2024 | 35 | 30 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 9 | ||
| Forsa | 11 Jan 2024 | 34 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 5 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 11 Jan 2024 | 32 | 33.5 | 8.5 | – | 7 | 6 | 10.5 | ||
| Civey | 1 Jan 2024 | 37 | 33 | 8 | – | 3 | 7 | 8 | ||
| Civey | 4 Dec 2023 | 33 | 33 | 7 | – | 7 | 7 | 8 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 10 Nov 2023 | 32.5 | 28.5 | 7.5 | – | 8.5 | 5.5 | 13.5 | ||
| INSA | 31 Aug 2023 | 35 | 29 | 9 | – | 7 | 6 | 9 | ||
| Civey | 6 Aug 2023 | 30 | 34 | 10 | – | 9 | 9 | 3 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 12 Jun 2023 | 32.5 | 30 | 9 | – | 10 | 7 | 6.5 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 28 May 2023 | 32 | 31 | 9.5 | – | 9.5 | 7 | 7 | ||
| Civey | 2 May 2023 | 26 | 34 | 10 | – | 8 | 9 | 9 | ||
| Civey | 6 Feb 2023 | 29 | 29 | 9 | – | 9 | 10 | 10 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 21 Dec 2022 | 31 | 29.5 | 8 | – | 10.5 | 9.5 | 8 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 20 Sep 2022 | 30 | 34 | 10 | – | 7 | 7 | 9 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 15 Jun 2022 | 28 | 35 | 7.5 | – | 9 | 9.5 | 8 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 17 May 2022 | 27 | 33 | 5.5 | – | 12 | 9.5 | 9 | ||
| INSA | 7 Apr 2022 | 28 | 25 | 9 | – | 12 | 9 | 7 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 1 Apr 2022 | 26.5 | 29 | 6 | – | 15 | 9 | 9.5 | ||
| Min – Max | 26–42 | 21–35 | 3–10 | 4–15 | 3–15 | 4.5–10 | 3–13.5 | |||
For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.
The 40 latest of 74 polls. Every poll has its own page; see all polls in the chronicle.
The Saxony state election at a glance
At the last Saxony state election on 1 September 2024, CDU became the largest party with 31.9%, defending first place from 2019. The biggest move compared with 2019: Linke lost 5.9 points.
Saxony is governed by CDU and SPD. On the current polling average this alliance would win 36 of 120 seats, and would no longer have a majority.
74 polls for the Saxony state election have been published since 22 June 2017, 2 of them this year. Most come from INSA (20), Civey (17), Institut Wahlkreisprognose (13). Recently a new poll has appeared every 53 days on average.
The next Saxony state election is expected in autumn 2029. The term is 5 years, and anyone aged 18 or over is eligible to vote.
- Two constituency seats exempt a party from the five per cent threshold.
Results: 1 Sep 2024 · 1 Sep 2019. Pollster accuracy.
- Parliament
- Saxon Landtag
- Seats
- 120 (regular size)
- Constituencies
- 60
- Threshold
- 5 per cent
- Seat allocation
- Sainte-Laguë/Schepers
- Votes
- two votes: direct vote for the constituency, list vote for the state list
- Term
- 5 years
- Voting age
- 18 years
- Last election
- 1 September 2024
- Next election
- expected autumn 2029
- Government
- CDU, SPD
- State capital
- Dresden
2024 European election in Saxony
In the European election on 9 June 2024, AfD came first in Saxony with 31.8% of the vote. The bars show the European election shares, the small figures the gap to the 2025 federal election in the same area.
In the 2024 European election, AfD was the strongest party in Saxony with 31.8%, −5.5 points compared with the 2025 federal election. Turnout was 69.3% (2025 federal election: 81.1%).
Why do the European and federal elections differ?
The European election has no electoral threshold, so small parties such as Volt, Die PARTEI or the animal-welfare party win more votes. Turnout is much lower, and the political mood shifted between June 2024 and February 2025. The single European-election vote is compared with the second vote of the federal election in the same area; parties that count as Others in 2025 get no difference.
Where do these figures come from?
Official final result of the 2024 European election from the Federal Returning Officer (kerg2.csv), votes per district and independent city.
| Party | Votes 2024 | European election 2024 | Federal election 2025 | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AfD | 710,025 | 31.8% | 37.3% | -5.5 |
| CDU | 488,000 | 21.8% | 19.7% | +2.1 |
| BSW | 280,837 | 12.6% | 9.0% | +3.6 |
| SPD | 153,864 | 6.9% | 8.5% | -1.6 |
| Grüne | 131,841 | 5.9% | 6.5% | -0.6 |
| Linke | 108,962 | 4.9% | 11.3% | -6.4 |
| FDP | 54,115 | 2.4% | 3.2% | -0.8 |
| Freie Wähler | 54,083 | 2.4% | 1.6% | +0.8 |
| Die PARTEI | 52,774 | 2.4% | – | – |
| Volt | 39,599 | 1.8% | 0.6% | +1.2 |
| Tierschutzpartei | 30,546 | 1.4% | – | – |
| ÖDP | 6,839 | 0.3% | – | – |
| Others | 123,389 | 5.5% | – | – |
Die PARTEI, Tierschutzpartei, ÖDP: counted as Others in the 2025 federal election, so no difference is shown.
Source: Federal Returning Officer, 2024 European election, results by state and district (kerg2.csv) (file), final result, retrieved 28 Sep 2026, Data licence Germany, attribution 2.0. Berlin East and Berlin West are aggregated from the boroughs as in the 2025 federal election. Comparison values: second votes of the 2025 federal election in the same area. Compiled by wahlergebnisse.io.
Saxony in figures
Key facts about the place from official statistics and Wikidata, so the election result can be put in context. The figures describe, they do not explain.
- Population
- 4,026,599 (as of 2025-12-31)
- Area
- 18,449.9 km²
- Population density
- 218 inhabitants per km²
- Under 19
- 17.0%
- 67 and older
- 23.9%
- Foreign nationals (2022 census)
- 6.3%
- Employees subject to social insurance (place of work)
- 1,627,111 (as of 2025-12-31)
- Largest sectors
- Health and social work 18% · Manufacturing 17% · Trade and vehicle repair 7%
- Commuter balance
- -15,265 (more out-commuters than in-commuters)
- Giesecke+Devrient
- 11,300 employees (2016)
- Arzneimittelwerk Dresden
- 3,414 employees (1989-11-30)
- P-D Group
- 3,385 employees
- DHL Hub Leipzig
- 3,300 employees
- BGH Edelstahl Freital
- 2,000 employees (2020)
- Elevation
- 342 m
- First mention or foundation
- 1918
- Twin towns
- 6
- Website
- www.sachsen.de
- Wikipedia
- Saxony (Wikipedia)
Saxony has 4,026,599 inhabitants. The largest sector is Health and social work with 18% of employees. The largest company headquartered in Saxony is Giesecke+Devrient with 11,300 employees.
Where do the profile figures come from?
Population, area and coordinates from the Federal Statistical Office's municipality register, employees, sectors and unemployment from the Federal Employment Agency, age structure from the 2022 census, coat of arms, website and companies from Wikidata and Wikimedia Commons. All sources are openly licensed and linked below the list.
Does the profile explain the election result?
No. It describes the place so readers can put figures in context. Whether sector, age or density relate to voting can only be tested across many places, not from a single result.
Sources: Wikidata (CC0 1.0) · Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis), Gemeindeverzeichnis GV-ISys (Datenlizenz Deutschland – Namensnennung – Version 2.0) · Statistik der Bundesagentur für Arbeit (© Statistik der Bundesagentur für Arbeit, Nutzung mit Quellenangabe) · Zensus 2022, Statistische Ämter des Bundes und der Länder, Regionaltabelle Demografie (Datenlizenz Deutschland – Namensnennung – Version 2.0)
Saxony: largest party by district
Second votes at the 2025 federal election in the districts and independent cities. Tap to open the district result with all municipalities. State election results by municipality will follow once the state returning officer provides them in machine-readable form.
Strongest party: AfD in 12 districts and Linke in 1 district of 13. Highest share: AfD with 46.7% in Görlitz.
What does the map show?
Each district is coloured by the party with the highest second-vote share at the 2025 federal election; the intensity follows the share. Tap or hover a district for the exact figure and turnout, click to open the district page with all municipalities.
Districts, cities and constituencies in Saxony
Every district with all its municipalities, the largest cities with their 2025 federal election result, and the constituencies with their directly elected seat.
Districts and independent cities
The largest cities
- LeipzigLinke 22.5%
- DresdenAfD 26.7%
- ChemnitzAfD 32.7%
- Zwickau, Stadt, HochschulstadtAfD 39.8%
- PlauenAfD 38.0%
- Görlitz, Stadt, HochschulstadtAfD 41.0%
- FreitalAfD 44.3%
- PirnaAfD 43.3%
- RadebeulAfD 30.9%
- Freiberg, StadtAfD 36.5%
- Bautzen / BudyšinAfD 42.0%
- Hoyerswerda / WojerecyAfD 40.1%
- GrimmaAfD 41.5%
- RiesaAfD 45.6%
- MarkkleebergCDU 24.5%
- MeißenAfD 42.7%
Constituencies at the 2025 federal election
Strongest party: AfD in 15 constituencies and Linke in 1 constituency of 16. Highest share: AfD with 49.1% in 157 Sächsische Schweiz-Osterzgebirge.
What does the map show?
Each constituency is coloured by the party whose candidate won the direct seat at the 2025 federal election (first votes). Click a constituency for its results, candidates and the current nowcast.
All constituencies in Saxony as a list · All districts and municipalities
All Saxony state elections since 1990: result, seats and turnout
There have been 8 state elections in Saxony since 1990. CDU was the largest party 8 times; most recently CDU led in 2024 with 31.9%. Turnout ranged from 49.2% (2014) to 74.4% (2024).
Shares in percent, seats in brackets. Parties without a seat in any election are counted under Others.
| Year | Turnout | Seats | CDU | AfD | BSW | SPD | Grüne | Linke/PDS | Freie Wähler | FDP | NPD | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 74.4% | 120 | 31.9% (41) | 30.6% (40) | 11.8% (15) | 7.3% (10) | 5.1% (7) | 4.5% (6) | 2.3% (1) | 0.9% (0) | – | 5.3% |
| 2019 | 66.5% | 119 | 32.1% (45) | 27.5% (38) | – | 7.7% (10) | 8.6% (12) | 10.4% (14) | 3.4% (0) | 4.5% (0) | 0.6% (0) | – |
| 2014 | 49.2% | 126 | 39.0% (59) | 9.7% (14) | – | 12.4% (18) | 5.7% (8) | 18.9% (27) | 1.6% (0) | 3.8% (0) | 5.0% (0) | – |
| 2009 | 52.2% | 132 | 40.2% (58) | – | – | 10.4% (14) | 6.4% (9) | 20.6% (29) | – | 10.0% (14) | 5.6% (8) | 2.5% |
| 2004 | 59.6% | 124 | 41.1% (55) | – | – | 9.8% (13) | 5.1% (6) | 23.6% (31) | – | 5.9% (7) | 9.2% (12) | 3.1% |
| 1999 | 61.1% | 120 | 56.9% (76) | – | – | 10.7% (14) | 2.6% (0) | 22.2% (30) | – | 1.1% (0) | 1.4% (0) | 1.1% |
| 1994 | 58.4% | 120 | 58.1% (77) | – | – | 16.6% (22) | 4.1% (0) | 16.5% (21) | – | 1.7% (0) | – | 1.1% |
| 1990 | 72.8% | 160 | 53.8% (92) | – | – | 19.1% (32) | 5.6% (10) | 10.2% (17) | – | 5.3% (9) | 0.7% (0) | 1.7% |
Source: Landeswahlleitungen und Bundeswahlleiterin, zusammengeführt über wahlrecht.de/ergebnisse; Hamburg 2025: Statistikamt Nord, as of 29 Sep 2026. Official seats including overhang and compensatory seats; predecessor parties merged (Linke/PDS, Grüne/Bündnis 90).
Who won the state elections in Saxony?
Largest party per election: 2024 CDU (31.9%), 2019 CDU (32.1%), 2014 CDU (39.0%), 2009 CDU (40.2%), 2004 CDU (41.1%), 1999 CDU (56.9%), 1994 CDU (58.1%), 1990 CDU (53.8%).
Pollsters
Which pollsters survey the Saxony state election and when they last did.
- INSA12 Jun 2018
- Civey16 Apr 2019
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose13 Oct 2021
- Forsa11 Jan 2024
- Forschungsgruppe Wahlen23 Aug 2019
- Infratest dimap22 Jun 2017
- IM Field1 Nov 2017
- uniQma7 Sep 2018