Single poll
Forsa poll of 11 January 2024 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 10 Jan 2024
- Respondents
- 1,507
- Method
- Online
- AfD34.0%
- CDU30.0%
- Grüne8.0%
- SPD7.0%
- Linke6.0%
- BSW4.0%
- FDP3.0%
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others5.0%
34.0%
AfD
30.0%
CDU
8.0%
Grüne
7.0%
SPD
6.0%
Linke
4.0%
BSW
3.0%
FDP
3.0%
Freie Wähler
5.0%
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 34.0%, followed by CDU on 30.0%. 1,507 people were surveyed from 7 to 10 Jan 2024, method Online, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU 3.3 points lower and Linke 2.3 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Jan 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -3.3average 33.3
- Linke -2.3average 8.3
- SPD +2.0average 5.0
- Grüne +1.5average 6.5
- FDP +1.2average 1.8
- AfD -0.5average 34.5
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- AfD48
- CDU42
- Grüne11
- SPD10
- Linke9
- AfD + CDU90 of 120
- AfD + Grüne + SPD69 of 120
- AfD + Grüne + Linke68 of 120
- AfD + SPD + Linke67 of 120
- CDU + Grüne + SPD63 of 120
- CDU + Grüne + Linke62 of 120
- CDU + SPD + Linke61 of 120
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.