Wahlergebnisse
Pollster

YouGov poll: latest Sunday question

Latest federal Sunday question of 20 October 2026: AfD 28.0%, CDU/CSU 18.0%, Grüne 16.0%, SPD 14.0%, Linke 10.0%, FDP 5.0%. 137 polls since 25 April 2017, 10 of them in 2026. Latest release on 20 October 2026. Recently commissioned by: YouGov.

Our analysis

How does YouGov compare?

House effect since 7 November 2025 in federal polls: CDU/CSU -1.2, AfD +0.6, BSW +0.5 relative to the average of the other pollsters (12 polls). Accuracy: rank 11 of 13 with an average deviation of 1.8 points per party across 6 elections since 2017. All pollsters compared.

  • CDU/CSU -1.2
  • AfD +0.6
  • BSW +0.5
  • FDP +0.4
  • Linke -0.2
  • SPD +0.1
  • Grüne ±0
Deviation of the final YouGov poll before each election from the result
ElectionPoll ofMean deviationBiggest miss
Bundestag 23 Feb 202521 Feb 20250.6Grüne +1.4
European election 9 Jun 202424 May 20241.9AfD +4.1
North Rhine-Westphalia 15 May 202213 May 20222.8CDU -4.7
Bundestag 26 Sep 202123 Sep 20211.5CDU/CSU -3.1
Bundestag 24 Sep 201721 Sep 20172.1CDU/CSU +3.1
North Rhine-Westphalia 14 May 201711 May 20171.9FDP -3.6
Federal

All YouGov federal election polls

131 polls since 9 May 2017, newest first; each row with date, values, fieldwork period and sample size.

All YouGov federal election polls
PollsterPublishedAfDCDU/CSUGrüneSPDLinkeFDPBSWOthers
YouGov20 Oct 20262818161410536
YouGov15 Sep 20262918161310545
YouGov18 Aug 20262820151212535
YouGov14 Jul 20262720141212546
YouGov16 Jun 20262920141212545
YouGov12 May 20262822131311445
YouGov15 Apr 20262723141310445
YouGov17 Mar 2026262613149336
YouGov11 Feb 20262525111610446
YouGov14 Jan 20262525121610435
YouGov17 Dec 20252626121410445
YouGov19 Nov 20252527111411445
YouGov15 Oct 20252627111410345
YouGov17 Sep 2025272611159454
YouGov20 Aug 20252527121410354
YouGov16 Jul 20252527111410355
YouGov18 Jun 2025232812148355
YouGov14 May 2025252712159344
YouGov30 Apr 20252626121410453
YouGov26 Mar 20252426121510354
YouGov21 Feb 2025202913168455
YouGov18 Feb 2025202712179455
YouGov12 Feb 2025212912166456
YouGov5 Feb 2025222912186464
YouGov29 Jan 2025232913155365
YouGov22 Jan 2025192815194466
YouGov15 Jan 2025213014184465
YouGov8 Jan 2025212914163566
YouGov5 Dec 2024193013183476
YouGov14 Nov 2024193312153576
YouGov10 Oct 2024183211163586
YouGov13 Sep 2024183213144486
YouGov16 Aug 2024193112153586
YouGov5 Jul 2024193012143696
YouGov7 Jun 2024182912144498
YouGov10 May 2024193014164475
YouGov11 Apr 2024192915144576
YouGov7 Mar 2024192914154477
YouGov8 Feb 2024203112143476
YouGov11 Jan 20242429121556–7
YouGov8 Dec 20232330141446–7
YouGov10 Nov 20232229151555–7
YouGov13 Oct 20232129151665–5
YouGov8 Sep 20232329141655–8
YouGov4 Aug 20232327141765–7
YouGov7 Jul 20232127141866–6
YouGov9 Jun 20232028131965–7
YouGov12 May 20231731161665–7
YouGov6 Apr 20231730152066–6
YouGov10 Mar 20231728162076–6
YouGov10 Feb 20231727161966–7
YouGov13 Jan 20231627171868–6
YouGov22 Dec 20221430171957–8
YouGov11 Nov 20221629201875–5
YouGov14 Oct 20221529191666–7
YouGov16 Sep 20221429191676–7
YouGov12 Aug 20221427211966–7
YouGov8 Jul 20221228201957–8
YouGov10 Jun 20221230211867–6
YouGov12 May 20221028192059–7
YouGov14 Apr 20221226182169–7
YouGov11 Mar 20221126162369–7
YouGov21 Feb 20221127172179–6
YouGov28 Jan 20221226152388–7
YouGov17 Dec 202111231627610–6
YouGov26 Nov 202112231625611–5
YouGov23 Sep 202112211425711–7
YouGov16 Sep 202111201525810–7
YouGov10 Sep 202112211526610–10
YouGov3 Sep 202112201525813–8
YouGov27 Aug 202111221624813–7
YouGov30 Jul 202112281616812–8
YouGov2 Jul 202111301915711–7
YouGov27 May 202111262215712–7
YouGov30 Apr 202111242514811–7
YouGov1 Apr 202111272117810–6
YouGov26 Feb 20211133181688–6
YouGov4 Feb 20211036181597–5
YouGov6 Jan 20211036181596–6
YouGov26 Nov 20201037181596–5
YouGov30 Oct 20201235181596–5
YouGov25 Sep 20201235181595–6
YouGov28 Aug 20201136181685–6
YouGov6 Aug 20201136181496–6
YouGov26 Jun 20201137171595–6
YouGov28 May 20201137161595–7
YouGov30 Apr 20201137161695–6
YouGov3 Apr 20201234181696–5
YouGov6 Mar 202014272115106–7
YouGov18 Dec 201915272113107–7
YouGov27 Nov 201915262213107–7
YouGov6 Nov 201914272213107–7
YouGov3 Oct 20191526221388–8
YouGov11 Sep 20191427221586–8
YouGov31 Jul 20191426241388–7
YouGov3 Jul 20191326251387–8
YouGov23 May 20191229181898–6
YouGov3 May 20191329171899–5
YouGov28 Mar 20191230171899–5
YouGov27 Feb 20191330171899–4
YouGov31 Jan 20191432181598–4
YouGov28 Dec 201814301816108–4
YouGov28 Nov 201814272115109–4
YouGov7 Nov 2018162521141010–4
YouGov27 Sep 201818271417119–4
YouGov30 Aug 201817281317119–5
YouGov25 Jul 201817301217119–4
YouGov27 Jun 2018163012171110–4
YouGov30 May 201816331117119–3
YouGov25 Apr 201815321218109–4
YouGov28 Mar 201815341117118–4
YouGov28 Feb 201816321216128–4
YouGov25 Jan 201814341019118–4
YouGov28 Dec 201713331021109–4
YouGov29 Nov 201713321021109–5
YouGov21 Sep 20171036723109–5
YouGov13 Sep 20171036823109–4
YouGov6 Sep 2017113472499–6
YouGov30 Aug 20171036725107–5
YouGov24 Aug 201793772598–5
YouGov17 Aug 201793772599–4
YouGov10 Aug 201793862499–5
YouGov3 Aug 201783772599–5
YouGov27 Jul 201783872599–4
YouGov13 Jul 201783882499–4
YouGov29 Jun 201783882598–4
YouGov23 Jun 2017736825109–5
YouGov2 Jun 2017937823109–4
YouGov19 May 201793872599–3
YouGov12 May 201793772589–5
YouGov9 May 201793572897–5
Min – Max7–2918–386–2512–283–123–133–93–10

For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.

Average of all pollsters for the federal election

All parliaments

Latest poll per election

Other pollsters

Election tickerNext electionSaarland161 daysLatest pollINSA, Federal7 Nov 2026AfD 29CDU/CSU 19Grüne 15Biggest moveCDU, Hamburg▼ −6,0Leading nationallyAfDfor 204 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%

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