Single poll

YouGov poll of 30 August 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
Fieldwork period
25 to 29 Aug 2017
Respondents
2,029
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU36.0%-1.0
  • SPD25.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • AfD10.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Grüne7.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 24 Aug 2017.

In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 2,029 people were surveyed from 25 to 29 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 24 Aug 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has CDU/CSU 2.4 points lower and SPD 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.4average 38.4
  • SPD +2.0average 23.0
  • FDP -2.0average 9.0
  • AfD +1.4average 8.6
  • Linke +1.1average 8.9
  • Grüne -0.5average 7.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 239 seatsSPD: 166 seatsLinke: 66 seatsAfD: 66 seatsFDP: 47 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU239
  • SPD166
  • Linke66
  • AfD66
  • FDP47
  • Grüne46
  • CDU/CSU + SPD405 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne332 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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