Single poll

YouGov poll of 6 September 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
Fieldwork period
4 to 6 Sep 2017
Respondents
1,617
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%-2.0
  • SPD24.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%+2.0
  • Linke9.0%-1.0
  • Grüne7.0%±0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 30 Aug 2017.

In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,617 people were surveyed from 4 to 6 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 30 Aug 2017, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has CDU/CSU 4.2 points lower and AfD 2.3 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -4.2average 38.2
  • AfD +2.3average 8.7
  • SPD +0.8average 23.2
  • Grüne -0.5average 7.5
  • FDP +0.2average 8.8
  • Linke +0.1average 8.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 228 seatsSPD: 161 seatsAfD: 74 seatsFDP: 60 seatsLinke: 60 seatsGrüne: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU228
  • SPD161
  • AfD74
  • FDP60
  • Linke60
  • Grüne47
  • CDU/CSU + SPD389 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne335 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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