Single poll

YouGov poll of 13 September 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
Fieldwork period
8 to 12 Sep 2017
Respondents
2,000
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU36.0%+2.0
  • SPD23.0%-1.0
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%+1.0
  • Others4.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 6 Sep 2017.

In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 2,000 people were surveyed from 8 to 12 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 6 Sep 2017, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.5average 37.5
  • AfD +0.7average 9.3
  • Linke +0.6average 9.4
  • Grüne +0.3average 7.7
  • SPD +0.2average 22.8
  • FDP +0.1average 8.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 236 seatsSPD: 151 seatsLinke: 66 seatsAfD: 66 seatsFDP: 59 seatsGrüne: 52 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU236
  • SPD151
  • Linke66
  • AfD66
  • FDP59
  • Grüne52
  • CDU/CSU + SPD387 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne347 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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