Hesse state election: latest polls and 2023 result
Average of each pollster's latest poll from the past 120 days, as of 27 October 2026 (11 days ago). Next election: expected autumn 2028; see also the Hesse state election 2028 forecast. Sunday question Hesse: average, pollsters and trend.
CDU leads with 25.0%, 2.0 points ahead of AfD (23.0%). Biggest movement over 120 days: CDU −6.0 and Grüne +2.5. Around the 5% threshold: FDP 4.0%.
How is the polling average calculated?
We take the latest poll of every pollster published within the last 120 days and average them with equal weight. Parties are shown as reported by the pollsters; “Others” collects everything not listed separately. The light area marks the statistical margin of a single poll of about 1,000 respondents.
Why do pollsters differ?
Pollsters use different sampling methods (telephone, online panels, mixed) and different weighting of undecided voters. The spread between the lowest and highest value per party is shown as a range; systematic differences per pollster are analysed under “house effects”.
Averaging the latest poll for the Hesse state election, CDU leads with 25.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%.
- Lead at the top
- CDU 2.0 points ahead of AfD
- Around the 5% threshold
- FDP 4.0%
- Movement over 120 days
- CDU −6.0 · Grüne +2.5 · AfD +2.0
- Two-party majorities
- CDU + AfD
- Current government
- CDU + SPD: 51 of 110 seats, no majority
- Basis
- 1 pollster, latest poll 27 October 2026
These polls feed into the average
Each pollster's latest poll from the past 120 days, averaged without weighting. Older polls by the same pollster are replaced.
| Party | Average 27 Oct 2026 | Infratest dimap 27 Oct 2026 | 2023 election |
|---|---|---|---|
| CDU | 25.0 | 25.0 | 34.6 |
| AfD | 23.0 | 23.0 | 18.4 |
| Grüne | 16.0 | 16.0 | 14.8 |
| SPD | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.1 |
| Linke | 7.0 | 7.0 | 3.1 |
| FDP | 4.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 |
| Freie Wähler | 3.0 | 3.0 | – |
| Others | 7.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 |
Values in percent, latest poll per pollster within the averaging window. Bold: highest value per party.
| Pollster | Published | CDU | AfD | Grüne | SPD | Linke | FDP | Freie Wähler | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infratest dimap | 27 Oct 2026 | 25 | 23 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
House effects: which pollster rates whom higher?
Since 27 October 2024, INSA has measured CDU on average 3.5 points below the average of the other pollsters, INSA has measured Linke on average 2.0 points above the average of the other pollsters, INSA has measured AfD on average 2.0 points above the average of the other pollsters.
Adjusted for these house effects, Grüne would stand at 14.0% instead of 16.0%, CDU would stand at 26.2% instead of 25.0%, AfD would stand at 22.5% instead of 23.0%. The current average is therefore shaped by which pollsters published most recently.
| Pollster | Polls | CDU | AfD | Grüne | SPD | Linke | FDP | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 4 | -3.5 | +2.0 | -1.5 | -0.2 | +2.0 | +0.3 | 1.6 |
| Infratest dimap | 3 | -1.2 | +0.5 | +2.0 | -0.2 | -0.3 | +0.3 | 0.8 |
| Raw average | 25.0% | 23.0% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | ||
| Adjusted for house effects | 26.2%(+1.2) | 22.5%(-0.5) | 14.0%(-2.0) | 15.2%(+0.2) | 7.3%(+0.3) | 3.7%(-0.3) |
Positive: the pollster measures the party higher than the other pollsters' rolling 120-day average on the same day. Only pollsters with at least 3 polls since 27 October 2024.
Seat distribution in the Landtag of Hesse
Under Sainte-Laguë, the 110 seats would split into 32 for CDU, 29 for AfD, 21 for Grüne, 19 for SPD, 9 for Linke. FDP, Freie Wähler would fall short of the threshold. Regular size 110 seats, excluding overhang and compensatory seats. Electoral threshold 5 per cent.
- CDU32
- AfD29
- Grüne21
- SPD19
- Linke9
CDU would be the largest group with 32 of 110 seats; a majority needs 56. FDP and Freie Wähler would miss the threshold and win no seats.
How is the seat distribution calculated?
Seats are allocated by the Hare/Niemeyer method among all parties above the 5% threshold, based on the polling average. The parliament has 110 seats; a majority needs 56. Overhang or levelling seats and constituency effects are not modelled.
Which coalitions would have a majority?
All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority. Alliances that merely extend a smaller majority coalition are hidden. The arithmetic says nothing about whether a coalition is politically feasible.
One two-party alliance has a majority: CDU + AfD. The current government (CDU and SPD) would lose its majority with 51 seats.
Which coalitions are shown?
All two- and three-party alliances with at least 56 of 110 seats. Alliances that merely extend a smaller majority coalition are hidden. Tap parties in the calculator to test any other combination; exclusions can be set under Settings.
- CDU + SPDGovernment, no majority51 of 110
- CDU + AfD61 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + SPD72 of 110
- AfD + Grüne + SPD69 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + Linke62 of 110
- CDU + SPD + Linke60 of 110
- AfD + Grüne + Linke59 of 110
- AfD + SPD + Linke57 of 110
CDU + SPD last had a majority in September 2026; currently holding a majority: CDU + Grüne + SPD (throughout the period) and CDU + SPD + Linke (throughout the period).
How is the coalition timeline calculated?
For the end of each of the last 48 months the polling average is computed as it stood on that date: the latest poll from each pollster within the preceding 120 days, averaged without weighting. Seats are then allocated using the parliament's method and threshold. An alliance has a majority in a month if its seats add up to at least half plus one. The most recent month uses the current average.
Which alliances are shown?
The incumbent government, the alliances with a majority in the current average and the pairs of the four largest parties. A filled cell means an arithmetic majority in that month, a pale cell none. The bar says nothing about whether an alliance is politically feasible.
How secure are the majorities?
Polls have errors, so we recalculate the seat distribution 3,000 times with randomly varied values. The spread for each party follows from the sampling error of the average and from how far the final polls before earlier elections actually missed. The result: the probability that an alliance would have a majority, that a party clears the threshold and who becomes the largest party. This is not an election forecast but an assessment of the current polling picture.
Majority in parliament
- CDU + SPDGovernment12%
- CDU + AfD92%
- CDU + Grüne + SPDover 99%
- AfD + Grüne + SPDover 99%
- CDU + Grüne + Linke88%
- CDU + SPD + Linke81%
- AfD + Grüne + Linke71%
- AfD + SPD + Linke60%
- CDU + Grüne20%
- AfD + Grüne7%
- AfD + SPD4%
- Grüne + SPDunder 1%
Clearing the electoral threshold
- Freie Wähler (±1)2%
- FDP (±1.2)19%
- Linke (±1.9)85%
Largest party
- CDU70%
- AfD30%
3,000 simulations. Spread per party from the sampling error of the average and the historical deviation of polls from election results. Method.
CDU, Grüne and SPD holds a majority in 100% of 3,000 simulations. Uncertain at the 5% threshold: FDP (19% above) and Linke (85% above).
How are the probabilities calculated?
We recompute the seat distribution 3,000 times with randomly varied poll values. The variation per party combines the sampling error of the average with the historical error of polls before elections since 2017. The probability is the share of runs in which an alliance reaches 56 seats.
Polling trend: how the polls moved since 19 December 2024
Since 19 Dec 2024 AfD +4.4 and Grüne +2.8 gained, while CDU −8.8 lost points.
How does the rolling average work?
Each point is one poll. The line is the average of all polls of the previous 120 days, one per pollster, so a single outlier moves it only slightly. Choose a period, an end month or the area view to explore the history back to 2017.
Search interest by party in Hesse
Each party's share of Google searches for the eight parties in the state, last 90 days. For comparison the current poll rating, where the party is listed in the state's polls.
In Hesse, AfD accounts for 53.0% of the search interest across the eight parties, ahead of CDU/CSU on 18.0%. In the state's polls AfD stands at 23.0%.
How is the search share by state calculated?
Google Trends reports for each state how search interest is distributed across the compared parties over the last 90 days. Two groups of five are linked through the AfD as a common yardstick; CDU and CSU are added together.
Accuracy ahead of the election on 8 Oct 2023
Before the Hesse state election on 8 Oct 2023, Institut Wahlkreisprognose came closest to the result with an average error of 1.0 points per party, Civey was furthest away with 2.2 points. All pollsters underestimated AfD (by 2.9 points on average) and underestimated CDU (by 2.7 points on average). Official result according to the returning officer. All elections since 2017 in the pollster comparison.
| Pollster | Poll dated | CDU | AfD | SPD | Grüne | FDP | Linke | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result 8 Oct 2023 | 34.6% | 18.4% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 6 Oct 2023 (2 days before) | -0.1 | -2.9 | +0.4 | +1.7 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 1.0 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5 Oct 2023 (3 days before) | -2.6 | -2.4 | +1.9 | +2.2 | ±0 | -0.1 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 4 Oct 2023 (4 days before) | -3.6 | -2.4 | +0.9 | +1.2 | ±0 | +0.9 | 1.5 |
| Infratest dimap | 28 Sep 2023 (10 days before) | -3.6 | -3.4 | +0.9 | +2.2 | +1.0 | +0.9 | 2.0 |
| Civey | 1 Oct 2023 (7 days before) | -3.6 | -3.4 | +0.9 | +3.2 | +1.0 | +0.9 | 2.2 |
Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.
All polls for the Hesse state election
76 polls since 19 January 2018. Pollsters: Infratest dimap, INSA, Forsa, Institut Wahlkreisprognose, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Civey.
| Pollster | Published | CDU | AfD | Grüne | SPD | Linke | FDP | Freie Wähler | Others | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infratest dimap | 27 Oct 2026 | 25 | 23 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | ||
| INSA | 29 Apr 2026 | 30 | 22 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | ||
| INSA | 18 Mar 2026 | 31 | 21 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 4 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 2 Feb 2026 | 32 | 20 | 14 | 16 | 6 | 3 | – | 9 | ||
| INSA | 9 Oct 2025 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 23 Jun 2025 | 36 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 4 | – | 6 | ||
| INSA | 25 Mar 2025 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 | ||
| Forsa | 19 Dec 2024 | 38 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 3 | 3 | – | 8 | ||
| INSA | 13 Aug 2024 | 32 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 26 Apr 2024 | 37 | 16 | 15 | 15 | – | 5 | – | 9 | ||
| INSA | 12 Apr 2024 | 33 | 18 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 6 Oct 2023 | 34.5 | 15.5 | 16.5 | 15.5 | 2.5 | 4.9 | 4.5 | 6.1 | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5 Oct 2023 | 32 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 6 | ||
| INSA | 4 Oct 2023 | 31 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 7 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 3 Oct 2023 | 33 | 16 | 16.5 | 16 | 3 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 | ||
| Civey | 1 Oct 2023 | 31 | 15 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 6 | – | 10 | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 29 Sep 2023 | 32 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 6 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 28 Sep 2023 | 31 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 7 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 26 Sep 2023 | 30.5 | 17.5 | 18 | 16 | 2.5 | 5 | 4 | 6.5 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 15 Sep 2023 | 30 | 17.5 | 17 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4.5 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 14 Sep 2023 | 31 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6 | ||
| INSA | 13 Sep 2023 | 29 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 4 | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 8 Sep 2023 | 30 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 3 | 6 | – | 7 | ||
| Civey | 31 Aug 2023 | 29 | 16 | 20 | 18 | 3 | 6 | – | 8 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 30 Aug 2023 | 29 | 18 | 16 | 20 | 2 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 5 | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 25 Aug 2023 | 31 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 3 | 6 | – | 7 | ||
| Civey | 17 Aug 2023 | 29 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 3 | 6 | – | 8 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 23 Jul 2023 | 25.5 | 20 | 16 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 5.5 | 6 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 1 Jul 2023 | 26 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 2.5 | 5 | 3.5 | 6 | ||
| INSA | 16 Jun 2023 | 29 | 13 | 18 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 22 May 2023 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 23.5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 6.5 | ||
| INSA | 4 May 2023 | 30 | 12 | 20 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 16 Apr 2023 | 28 | 12.5 | 18 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 5.5 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 14 Mar 2023 | 32 | 11 | 22 | 20 | 3 | 5 | – | 7 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 8 Mar 2023 | 29 | 11 | 21 | 24 | 1.5 | 6 | 3 | 4.5 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 6 Feb 2023 | 26 | 12 | 20 | 25 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 5.5 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 28 Dec 2022 | 28 | 12 | 19 | 25 | 1.5 | 7 | 2.5 | 5 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Nov 2022 | 30 | 12 | 19.5 | 22 | 2 | 6.5 | 3 | 5 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 28 Oct 2022 | 28.5 | 13.5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 6 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 19 Oct 2022 | 27 | 12 | 22 | 22 | 3 | 6 | – | 8 | ||
| Min – Max | 25–38 | 11–23 | 12–22 | 13–25 | 1.5–9 | 3–7.5 | 2–5.5 | 3–10 | |||
For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.
The 40 latest of 76 polls. Every poll has its own page; see all polls in the chronicle.
The Hesse state election at a glance
At the last Hesse state election on 8 October 2023, CDU became the largest party with 34.6%, defending first place from 2018. The biggest move compared with 2018: CDU gained 7.6 points.
Hesse is governed by CDU and SPD. On the current polling average this alliance would win 51 of 110 seats, and would no longer have a majority.
76 polls for the Hesse state election have been published since 19 January 2018, 4 of them this year. Most come from Institut Wahlkreisprognose (22), Infratest dimap (18), INSA (17). Recently a new poll has appeared every 93 days on average.
The next Hesse state election is expected in autumn 2028. The term is 5 years, and anyone aged 18 or over is eligible to vote.
- Compensatory seats regularly enlarge the Landtag, to 133 seats in 2023.
Results: 8 Oct 2023 · 28 Oct 2018. Pollster accuracy.
- Parliament
- Landtag of Hesse
- Seats
- 110 (regular size)
- Constituencies
- 55
- Threshold
- 5 per cent
- Seat allocation
- Hare/Niemeyer
- Votes
- two votes: constituency vote and state vote
- Term
- 5 years
- Voting age
- 18 years
- Last election
- 8 October 2023
- Next election
- expected autumn 2028
- Government
- CDU, SPD
- State capital
- Wiesbaden
2024 European election in Hesse
In the European election on 9 June 2024, CDU came first in Hesse with 30.0% of the vote. The bars show the European election shares, the small figures the gap to the 2025 federal election in the same area.
In the 2024 European election, CDU was the strongest party in Hesse with 30.0%, +1.1 points compared with the 2025 federal election. Turnout was 63.0% (2025 federal election: 83.1%).
Why do the European and federal elections differ?
The European election has no electoral threshold, so small parties such as Volt, Die PARTEI or the animal-welfare party win more votes. Turnout is much lower, and the political mood shifted between June 2024 and February 2025. The single European-election vote is compared with the second vote of the federal election in the same area; parties that count as Others in 2025 get no difference.
Where do these figures come from?
Official final result of the 2024 European election from the Federal Returning Officer (kerg2.csv), votes per district and independent city.
| Party | Votes 2024 | European election 2024 | Federal election 2025 | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDU | 834,665 | 30.0% | 28.9% | +1.1 |
| SPD | 455,641 | 16.4% | 18.4% | -2.0 |
| AfD | 378,892 | 13.6% | 17.8% | -4.2 |
| Grüne | 358,685 | 12.9% | 12.6% | +0.3 |
| FDP | 176,039 | 6.3% | 5.0% | +1.3 |
| BSW | 123,701 | 4.4% | 4.4% | ±0 |
| Volt | 90,934 | 3.3% | 0.9% | +2.4 |
| Linke | 70,298 | 2.5% | 8.7% | -6.2 |
| Freie Wähler | 56,323 | 2.0% | 1.3% | +0.7 |
| Die PARTEI | 51,508 | 1.8% | – | – |
| Tierschutzpartei | 42,744 | 1.5% | – | – |
| ÖDP | 11,036 | 0.4% | – | – |
| Others | 134,354 | 4.8% | – | – |
Die PARTEI, Tierschutzpartei, ÖDP: counted as Others in the 2025 federal election, so no difference is shown.
Source: Federal Returning Officer, 2024 European election, results by state and district (kerg2.csv) (file), final result, retrieved 28 Sep 2026, Data licence Germany, attribution 2.0. Berlin East and Berlin West are aggregated from the boroughs as in the 2025 federal election. Comparison values: second votes of the 2025 federal election in the same area. Compiled by wahlergebnisse.io.
Hesse in figures
Key facts about the place from official statistics and Wikidata, so the election result can be put in context. The figures describe, they do not explain.
- Population
- 6,278,594 (as of 2025-12-31)
- Area
- 21,115.7 km²
- Population density
- 297 inhabitants per km²
- Under 19
- 17.9%
- 67 and older
- 18.8%
- Foreign nationals (2022 census)
- 16.8%
- Employees subject to social insurance (place of work)
- 2,781,075 (as of 2025-12-31)
- Largest sectors
- Manufacturing 13% · Health and social work 11% · Trade and vehicle repair 10%
- Commuter balance
- +149,036 (more in-commuters than out-commuters)
- Fresenius
- 176,486 employees (2024)
- Fresenius Medical Care
- 125,364 employees (2020)
- Deutsche Bank
- 90,130 employees (2023-12-31)
- DB Schenker
- 75,800 employees (2019-08-29)
- Linde AG
- 63,487 employees (2013-12-31)
- Elevation
- 264 m
- First mention or foundation
- 1946
- Twin towns
- 2
- Website
- hessen.de
- Wikipedia
- Hesse (Wikipedia)
Hesse has 6,278,594 inhabitants. The largest sector is Manufacturing with 13% of employees. The largest company headquartered in Hesse is Fresenius with 176,486 employees.
Where do the profile figures come from?
Population, area and coordinates from the Federal Statistical Office's municipality register, employees, sectors and unemployment from the Federal Employment Agency, age structure from the 2022 census, coat of arms, website and companies from Wikidata and Wikimedia Commons. All sources are openly licensed and linked below the list.
Does the profile explain the election result?
No. It describes the place so readers can put figures in context. Whether sector, age or density relate to voting can only be tested across many places, not from a single result.
Sources: Wikidata (CC0 1.0) · Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis), Gemeindeverzeichnis GV-ISys (Datenlizenz Deutschland – Namensnennung – Version 2.0) · Statistik der Bundesagentur für Arbeit (© Statistik der Bundesagentur für Arbeit, Nutzung mit Quellenangabe) · Zensus 2022, Statistische Ämter des Bundes und der Länder, Regionaltabelle Demografie (Datenlizenz Deutschland – Namensnennung – Version 2.0)
Hesse: largest party by district
Second votes at the 2025 federal election in the districts and independent cities. Tap to open the district result with all municipalities. State election results by municipality will follow once the state returning officer provides them in machine-readable form.
Strongest party: CDU in 25 districts, Grüne in 1 district and SPD in 1 district of 27. Highest share: CDU with 39.0% in Fulda.
What does the map show?
Each district is coloured by the party with the highest second-vote share at the 2025 federal election; the intensity follows the share. Tap or hover a district for the exact figure and turnout, click to open the district page with all municipalities.
Districts, cities and constituencies in Hesse
Every district with all its municipalities, the largest cities with their 2025 federal election result, and the constituencies with their directly elected seat.
Districts and independent cities
The largest cities
- Frankfurt am MainCDU 24.3%
- WiesbadenCDU 26.6%
- Kassel, documenta-StadtSPD 20.7%
- DarmstadtGrüne 24.8%
- Offenbach am MainCDU 21.7%
- GießenCDU 19.6%
- MarburgGrüne 22.5%
- Hanau, Brüder-Grimm-StadtCDU 26.4%
- FuldaCDU 32.4%
- Bad Homburg v. d. HöheCDU 37.2%
- Rüsselsheim am MainCDU 24.7%
- WetzlarCDU 27.2%
- Oberursel (Taunus)CDU 33.7%
- RodgauCDU 31.8%
- BensheimCDU 31.5%
- Hofheim am TaunusCDU 34.4%
Constituencies at the 2025 federal election
Strongest party: CDU in 20 constituencies and SPD in 2 constituencies of 22. Highest share: CDU with 43.3% in 173 Fulda.
What does the map show?
Each constituency is coloured by the party whose candidate won the direct seat at the 2025 federal election (first votes). Click a constituency for its results, candidates and the current nowcast.
All constituencies in Hesse as a list · All districts and municipalities
All Hesse state elections since 1946: result, seats and turnout
There have been 21 state elections in Hesse since 1946. CDU was the largest party 12 times; most recently CDU led in 2023 with 34.6%. Turnout ranged from 61.0% (2009) to 87.7% (1978).
Shares in percent, seats in brackets. Parties without a seat in any election are counted under Others.
| Year | Turnout | Seats | CDU | AfD | SPD | Grüne | FDP | Linke/PDS | KPD/DKP | NPD | GB/BHE | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 66.0% | 133 | 34.6% (52) | 18.4% (28) | 15.1% (23) | 14.8% (22) | 5.0% (8) | 3.1% (0) | 0.1% (0) | – | – | 8.6% |
| 2018 | 67.3% | 137 | 27.0% (40) | 13.1% (19) | 19.8% (29) | 19.8% (29) | 7.5% (11) | 6.3% (9) | – | 0.2% (0) | – | 5.9% |
| 2013 | 73.2% | 110 | 38.3% (47) | 4.1% (0) | 30.7% (37) | 11.1% (14) | 5.0% (6) | 5.2% (6) | – | 1.1% (0) | – | 2.3% |
| 2009 | 61.0% | 118 | 37.2% (46) | – | 23.7% (29) | 13.7% (17) | 16.2% (20) | 5.4% (6) | – | 0.9% (0) | – | 1.8% |
| 2008 | 64.3% | 110 | 36.8% (42) | – | 36.7% (42) | 7.5% (9) | 9.4% (11) | 5.1% (6) | – | 0.9% (0) | – | 2.5% |
| 2003 | 64.6% | 110 | 48.8% (56) | – | 29.1% (33) | 10.1% (12) | 7.9% (9) | – | – | – | – | 2.9% |
| 1999 | 66.4% | 110 | 43.4% (50) | – | 39.4% (46) | 7.2% (8) | 5.1% (6) | – | – | – | – | 2.2% |
| 1995 | 66.3% | 110 | 39.2% (45) | – | 38.0% (44) | 11.2% (13) | 7.4% (8) | – | – | – | – | 1.9% |
| 1991 | 70.8% | 110 | 40.2% (46) | – | 40.8% (46) | 8.8% (10) | 7.4% (8) | – | – | – | – | 2.8% |
| 1987 | 80.3% | 110 | 42.1% (47) | – | 40.2% (44) | 9.4% (10) | 7.8% (9) | – | 0.3% (0) | – | – | 0.2% |
| 1983 | 83.5% | 110 | 39.4% (44) | – | 46.2% (51) | 5.9% (7) | 7.6% (8) | – | 0.3% (0) | – | – | 0.5% |
| 1982 | 86.4% | 110 | 45.6% (52) | – | 42.8% (49) | 8.0% (9) | 3.1% (0) | – | 0.4% (0) | – | – | 0.1% |
| 1978 | 87.7% | 110 | 46.0% (53) | – | 44.3% (50) | 2.0% (0) | 6.6% (7) | – | 0.4% (0) | 0.4% (0) | – | 0.3% |
| 1974 | 84.8% | 110 | 47.3% (53) | – | 43.2% (49) | – | 7.4% (8) | – | 0.9% (0) | 1.0% (0) | – | 0.2% |
| 1970 | 82.8% | 110 | 39.7% (46) | – | 45.9% (53) | – | 10.1% (11) | – | 1.2% (0) | 3.0% (0) | – | 0.1% |
| 1966 | 81.0% | 96 | 26.4% (26) | – | 51.0% (52) | – | 10.4% (10) | – | – | 7.9% (8) | 4.3% (0) | – |
| 1962 | 77.7% | 96 | 28.8% (28) | – | 50.8% (51) | – | 11.4% (11) | – | – | – | 6.3% (6) | 2.7% |
| 1958 | 82.3% | 96 | 32.0% (32) | – | 46.9% (48) | – | 9.5% (9) | – | – | – | 7.4% (7) | 4.2% |
| 1954 | 82.4% | 96 | 24.1% (24) | – | 42.6% (44) | – | 20.5% (21) | – | 3.4% (0) | – | 7.7% (7) | 1.7% |
| 1950 | 64.9% | 80 | 18.8% (12) | – | 44.4% (47) | – | 31.8% (21) | – | 4.7% (0) | – | – | 0.3% |
| 1946 | 73.2% | 90 | 30.9% (28) | – | 42.7% (38) | – | 15.7% (14) | – | 10.7% (10) | – | – | – |
Source: Landeswahlleitungen und Bundeswahlleiterin, zusammengeführt über wahlrecht.de/ergebnisse; Hamburg 2025: Statistikamt Nord, as of 29 Sep 2026. Official seats including overhang and compensatory seats; predecessor parties merged (Linke/PDS, Grüne/Bündnis 90).
Who won the state elections in Hesse?
Largest party per election: 2023 CDU (34.6%), 2018 CDU (27.0%), 2013 CDU (38.3%), 2009 CDU (37.2%), 2008 CDU (36.8%), 2003 CDU (48.8%), 1999 CDU (43.4%), 1995 CDU (39.2%), 1991 SPD (40.8%), 1987 CDU (42.1%), 1983 SPD (46.2%), 1982 CDU (45.6%), 1978 CDU (46.0%), 1974 CDU (47.3%), 1970 SPD (45.9%), 1966 SPD (51.0%), 1962 SPD (50.8%), 1958 SPD (46.9%), 1954 SPD (42.6%), 1950 SPD (44.4%), 1946 SPD (42.7%).
Pollsters
Which pollsters survey the Hesse state election and when they last did.
- Infratest dimap19 Jan 2018
- INSA17 May 2018
- Forsa25 Feb 2018
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose4 Dec 2021
- Forschungsgruppe Wahlen22 Mar 2018
- Civey31 Aug 2018