Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 October 2023 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 5 Oct 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU32.0%±0
- SPD17.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- AfD16.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Freie Wähler4.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 Sep 2023.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 4 to 5 Oct 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 Sep 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Oct 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.0average 16.0
- Linke -0.8average 3.8
- FDP -0.6average 5.6
- CDU +0.5average 31.5
- AfD +0.5average 15.5
- Freie Wähler -0.5average 4.5
- Grüne +0.1average 16.9
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU40
- SPD22
- Grüne22
- AfD20
- FDP6
- CDU + SPD62 of 110
- CDU + Grüne62 of 110
- CDU + AfD60 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD64 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.