Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 September 2023 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 28 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 1,041
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU32.0%+2.0
- SPD17.0%-2.0
- Grüne17.0%-2.0
- AfD16.0%±0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler4.0%
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 Sep 2023.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,041 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 Sep 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 Sep 2023, CDU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU 2.1 points higher and Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +2.1average 29.9
- Grüne -1.5average 18.5
- FDP -0.8average 5.8
- SPD -0.5average 17.5
- AfD +0.1average 15.9
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
- Freie Wähler ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU40
- SPD22
- Grüne22
- AfD20
- FDP6
- CDU + SPD62 of 110
- CDU + Grüne62 of 110
- CDU + AfD60 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD64 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.