Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 September 2023 for the Hesse state election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
4 to 7 Sep 2023
Respondents
1,107
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU30.0%-1.0
  • SPD19.0%-1.0
  • Grüne19.0%+1.0
  • AfD16.0%+1.0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Linke3.0%±0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 25 Aug 2023.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,107 people were surveyed from 4 to 7 Sep 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 25 Aug 2023, CDU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +1.0average 29.0
  • SPD -1.0average 20.0
  • Grüne +1.0average 18.0
  • AfD +0.3average 15.7
  • FDP -0.2average 6.2
  • Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 37 seatsSPD: 23 seatsGrüne: 23 seatsAfD: 20 seatsFDP: 7 seatsMajority from 56110of 110 seats
  • CDU37
  • SPD23
  • Grüne23
  • AfD20
  • FDP7
  • CDU + SPD60 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne60 of 110
  • CDU + AfD57 of 110
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD66 of 110
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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