Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 25 August 2023 for the Hesse state election

Commissioned by
FAZ / Hitradio FFH
Fieldwork period
21 to 23 Aug 2023
Respondents
1,005
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU31.0%+3.0
  • SPD20.0%±0
  • Grüne18.0%-2.0
  • AfD15.0%+3.0
  • FDP6.0%-2.0
  • Linke3.0%-5.0
  • Others7.0%+3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 25 Oct 2018.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 21 to 23 Aug 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FAZ / Hitradio FFH.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 25 Oct 2018, Linke loses 5.0 points, CDU gains 3.0 points, AfD gains 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU 3.2 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +3.2average 27.8
  • AfD -1.0average 16.0
  • SPD -0.7average 20.7
  • Grüne +0.3average 17.7
  • FDP ±0average 6.0
  • Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 38 seatsSPD: 25 seatsGrüne: 22 seatsAfD: 18 seatsFDP: 7 seatsMajority from 56110of 110 seats
  • CDU38
  • SPD25
  • Grüne22
  • AfD18
  • FDP7
  • CDU + SPD63 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne60 of 110
  • CDU + AfD56 of 110
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD65 of 110
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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