Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 25 October 2018 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 25 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 1,205
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU28.0%+2.0
- SPD20.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%-2.0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 18 Oct 2018.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,205 people were surveyed from 24 to 25 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 18 Oct 2018, CDU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +1.7average 26.3
- SPD -1.3average 21.3
- AfD -0.7average 12.7
- Grüne +0.2average 19.8
- FDP +0.2average 7.8
- Linke ±0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU32
- SPD23
- Grüne23
- AfD14
- FDP9
- Linke9
- CDU + SPD + Grüne78 of 110
- CDU + SPD + AfD69 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + AfD69 of 110
- CDU + SPD + FDP64 of 110
- CDU + SPD + Linke64 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + FDP64 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + Linke64 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD60 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.