Baden-Württemberg state election 2026: result, polls and government
Average of each pollster's latest poll from the past 120 days, as of 15 October 2026 (23 days ago). Next election: expected spring 2031; see also the Baden-Württemberg state election 2031 forecast. Sunday question Baden-Württemberg: average, pollsters and trend.
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Lighter area: statistical margin of error of a single poll. Change compared with the election result of 8 Mar 2026.
Grüne leads with 30.0%, 7.0 points ahead of AfD (23.0%). Biggest movement over 120 days: CDU −4.3 and AfD +3.5. Around the 5% threshold: Linke 6.0% and FDP 4.0%.
How is the polling average calculated?
We take the latest poll of every pollster published within the last 120 days and average them with equal weight. Parties are shown as reported by the pollsters; “Others” collects everything not listed separately. The light area marks the statistical margin of a single poll of about 1,000 respondents.
Why do pollsters differ?
Pollsters use different sampling methods (telephone, online panels, mixed) and different weighting of undecided voters. The spread between the lowest and highest value per party is shown as a range; systematic differences per pollster are analysed under “house effects”.
Averaging the latest poll for the Baden-Württemberg state election, Grüne leads with 30.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%.
- Lead at the top
- Grüne 7.0 points ahead of AfD
- Around the 5% threshold
- Linke 6.0% · FDP 4.0%
- Movement over 120 days
- CDU −4.3 · AfD +3.5 · Grüne +2.2
- Two-party majorities
- Grüne + AfD · Grüne + CDU · AfD + CDU
- Current government
- Grüne + CDU: 72 of 120 seats, majority
- Basis
- 1 pollster, latest poll 15 October 2026
These polls feed into the average
Each pollster's latest poll from the past 120 days, averaged without weighting. Older polls by the same pollster are replaced.
| Party | Average 15 Oct 2026 | Infratest dimap 15 Oct 2026 | 2026 election |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grüne | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.2 |
| AfD | 23.0 | 23.0 | 18.8 |
| CDU | 23.0 | 23.0 | 29.7 |
| SPD | 7.0 | 7.0 | 5.5 |
| Linke | 6.0 | 6.0 | 4.4 |
| FDP | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.4 |
| Others | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 |
Values in percent, latest poll per pollster within the averaging window. Bold: highest value per party.
| Pollster | Published | Grüne | AfD | CDU | SPD | Linke | FDP | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infratest dimap | 15 Oct 2026 | 30 | 23 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
House effects: which pollster rates whom higher?
Since 15 October 2024, Infratest dimap has measured Grüne on average 3.0 points above the average of the other pollsters, INSA has measured Grüne on average 2.5 points below the average of the other pollsters, INSA has measured AfD on average 1.3 points above the average of the other pollsters.
Adjusted for these house effects, Grüne would stand at 27.0% instead of 30.0%, SPD would stand at 8.3% instead of 7.0%, FDP would stand at 5.2% instead of 4.0%. The current average is therefore shaped by which pollsters published most recently.
| Pollster | Polls | Grüne | AfD | CDU | SPD | Linke | FDP | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 7 | -2.5 | +1.3 | -0.6 | +0.8 | +0.1 | +1.0 | 1.0 |
| Infratest dimap | 6 | +3.0 | -0.3 | -1.1 | -1.3 | -0.2 | -1.2 | 1.2 |
| Raw average | 30.0% | 23.0% | 23.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | ||
| Adjusted for house effects | 27.0%(-3.0) | 23.3%(+0.3) | 24.1%(+1.1) | 8.3%(+1.3) | 6.2%(+0.2) | 5.2%(+1.2) |
Positive: the pollster measures the party higher than the other pollsters' rolling 120-day average on the same day. Only pollsters with at least 3 polls since 15 October 2024.
Seat distribution in the Landtag of Baden-Württemberg
Under Sainte-Laguë, the 120 seats would split into 41 for Grüne, 31 for AfD, 31 for CDU, 9 for SPD, 8 for Linke. FDP would fall short of the threshold. Regular size 120 seats, excluding overhang and compensatory seats. Electoral threshold 5 per cent.
- Grüne41
- AfD31
- CDU31
- SPD9
- Linke8
Grüne would be the largest group with 41 of 120 seats; a majority needs 61. FDP would miss the threshold and win no seats.
How is the seat distribution calculated?
Seats are allocated by the Sainte-Laguë/Schepers method among all parties above the 5% threshold, based on the polling average. The parliament has 120 seats; a majority needs 61. Overhang or levelling seats and constituency effects are not modelled.
Which coalitions would have a majority?
All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority. Alliances that merely extend a smaller majority coalition are hidden. The arithmetic says nothing about whether a coalition is politically feasible.
3 two-party alliances have a majority: Grüne + AfD, Grüne + CDU and AfD + CDU. The current government (Grüne and CDU) would keep its majority with 72 seats.
Which coalitions are shown?
All two- and three-party alliances with at least 61 of 120 seats. Alliances that merely extend a smaller majority coalition are hidden. Tap parties in the calculator to test any other combination; exclusions can be set under Settings.
- Grüne + AfD72 of 120
- Grüne + CDUGovernment72 of 120
- AfD + CDU62 of 120
Grüne + CDU had a majority in all 48 months; currently also holding a majority: AfD + CDU (for 38 consecutive months) and Grüne + AfD (for 7 consecutive months).
How is the coalition timeline calculated?
For the end of each of the last 48 months the polling average is computed as it stood on that date: the latest poll from each pollster within the preceding 120 days, averaged without weighting. Seats are then allocated using the parliament's method and threshold. An alliance has a majority in a month if its seats add up to at least half plus one. The most recent month uses the current average.
Which alliances are shown?
The incumbent government, the alliances with a majority in the current average and the pairs of the four largest parties. A filled cell means an arithmetic majority in that month, a pale cell none. The bar says nothing about whether an alliance is politically feasible.
How secure are the majorities?
Polls have errors, so we recalculate the seat distribution 3,000 times with randomly varied values. The spread for each party follows from the sampling error of the average and from how far the final polls before earlier elections actually missed. The result: the probability that an alliance would have a majority, that a party clears the threshold and who becomes the largest party. This is not an election forecast but an assessment of the current polling picture.
Majority in parliament
- Grüne + CDUGovernment99%
- Grüne + AfDover 99%
- AfD + CDU67%
- Grüne + SPDunder 1%
- AfD + SPDunder 1%
- CDU + SPDunder 1%
Clearing the electoral threshold
- FDP (±1.2)20%
- Linke (±1.9)71%
- SPD (±2.3)80%
Largest party
- Grüne96%
- CDU3%
- AfD1%
3,000 simulations. Spread per party from the sampling error of the average and the historical deviation of polls from election results. Method.
Grüne and AfD holds a majority in 100% of 3,000 simulations. Uncertain at the 5% threshold: FDP (20% above), Linke (71% above) and SPD (80% above).
How are the probabilities calculated?
We recompute the seat distribution 3,000 times with randomly varied poll values. The variation per party combines the sampling error of the average with the historical error of polls before elections since 2017. The probability is the share of runs in which an alliance reaches 61 seats.
Polling trend: how the polls moved since 7 December 2024
Since 7 Dec 2024 Grüne +9.6 and AfD +4.6 gained, while CDU −8.0 and SPD −5.3 lost points.
How does the rolling average work?
Each point is one poll. The line is the average of all polls of the previous 120 days, one per pollster, so a single outlier moves it only slightly. Choose a period, an end month or the area view to explore the history back to 2017.
Search interest by party in Baden-Württemberg
Each party's share of Google searches for the eight parties in the state, last 90 days. For comparison the current poll rating, where the party is listed in the state's polls.
In Baden-Württemberg, AfD accounts for 55.1% of the search interest across the eight parties, ahead of CDU/CSU on 18.1%. In the state's polls AfD stands at 23.0%.
How is the search share by state calculated?
Google Trends reports for each state how search interest is distributed across the compared parties over the last 90 days. Two groups of five are linked through the AfD as a common yardstick; CDU and CSU are added together.
Accuracy ahead of the election on 8 Mar 2026
Before the Baden-Württemberg state election on 8 Mar 2026, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen came closest to the result with an average error of 1.6 points per party, INSA was furthest away with 2.8 points. All pollsters underestimated Grüne (by 3.9 points on average) and overestimated SPD (by 2.5 points on average). Official result according to the returning officer. All elections since 2017 in the pollster comparison.
| Pollster | Poll dated | Grüne | CDU | AfD | SPD | FDP | Linke | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result 8 Mar 2026 | 30.2% | 29.7% | 18.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5 Mar 2026 (3 days before) | -2.2 | -1.7 | -0.8 | +2.5 | +1.1 | +1.1 | 1.6 |
| Infratest dimap | 26 Feb 2026 (10 days before) | -3.2 | -1.7 | -0.8 | +1.5 | +1.6 | +1.1 | 1.7 |
| INSA | 4 Mar 2026 (4 days before) | -6.2 | -2.7 | +1.2 | +3.5 | +1.6 | +1.6 | 2.8 |
Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.
All polls for the Baden-Württemberg state election
76 polls since 9 March 2017. Pollsters: Infratest dimap, Allensbach, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, Institut Wahlkreisprognose, Civey, Forsa.
| Pollster | Published | Grüne | AfD | CDU | SPD | Linke | FDP | Others | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infratest dimap | 15 Oct 2026 | 30 | 23 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 7 | ||
| Allensbach | 10 Apr 2026 | 32 | 22 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5 Mar 2026 | 28 | 18 | 28 | 8 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 7 | ||
| INSA | 4 Mar 2026 | 24 | 20 | 27 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 8 | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 27 Feb 2026 | 25 | 19 | 27 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 8 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 26 Feb 2026 | 27 | 18 | 28 | 7 | 5.5 | 6 | 8.5 | ||
| INSA | 23 Feb 2026 | 22 | 20 | 28 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 4 | ||
| INSA | 29 Jan 2026 | 21 | 20 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 5 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 22 Jan 2026 | 23 | 20 | 29 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 8 | ||
| INSA | 16 Oct 2025 | 17 | 20 | 31 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 4 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 16 Oct 2025 | 20 | 21 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 5 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 15 May 2025 | 20 | 19 | 31 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 4 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 12 May 2025 | 23 | 23 | 26 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 4 | ||
| INSA | 9 May 2025 | 17 | 19 | 31 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 3 | ||
| INSA | 15 Feb 2025 | 20 | 18 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 12 Dec 2024 | 22 | 15 | 33 | 13 | – | 4 | 9 | ||
| INSA | 7 Dec 2024 | 20 | 17 | 34 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 3 | ||
| INSA | 11 Oct 2024 | 18 | 18 | 32 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 10 Oct 2024 | 18 | 16 | 34 | 13 | – | 5 | 9 | ||
| INSA | 15 Aug 2024 | 19 | 16 | 31 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 5 | ||
| INSA | 13 Jun 2024 | 19 | 15 | 30 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 7 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 16 May 2024 | 22 | 14 | 32 | 11 | – | 7 | 7 | ||
| INSA | 21 Mar 2024 | 23 | 16 | 30 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 3 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 18 Jan 2024 | 22 | 18 | 32 | 9 | – | 7 | 9 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Oct 2023 | 20 | 22 | 30 | 10 | 1.5 | 7 | 6.5 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 27 Sep 2023 | 22 | 20 | 29 | 12 | – | 8 | 9 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 24 Jul 2023 | 25.5 | 21 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 6.5 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 20 Jul 2023 | 24 | 19 | 26 | 13 | – | 7 | 11 | ||
| INSA | 3 Apr 2023 | 28 | 12 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 8 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 23 Mar 2023 | 26 | 12 | 27 | 15 | – | 10 | 10 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 13 Mar 2023 | 28 | 13 | 32 | 10 | 2 | 6.5 | 5.5 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 22 Dec 2022 | 28 | 15 | 23 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 5.5 | ||
| INSA | 2 Nov 2022 | 26 | 13 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 7 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 27 Oct 2022 | 27 | 13 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 7 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 23 Oct 2022 | 27.5 | 16 | 22 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4.5 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 16 Aug 2022 | 30.5 | 12 | 24 | 13 | 2.5 | 10 | 8 | ||
| INSA | 13 Jul 2022 | 29 | 10 | 26 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 7 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 10 Jun 2022 | 30.5 | 11 | 20.5 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 7 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 7 May 2022 | 27.5 | 10 | 20.5 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 7 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 21 Apr 2022 | 28 | 9 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 8 | ||
| Min – Max | 17–32 | 9–23 | 20.5–34 | 5–18 | 1.5–8 | 4–14 | 3–11 | |||
For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.
The 40 latest of 76 polls. Every poll has its own page; see all polls in the chronicle.
The Baden-Württemberg state election at a glance
At the last Baden-Württemberg state election on 8 March 2026, Grüne became the largest party with 30.2%, defending first place from 2021. The biggest move compared with 2021: AfD gained 9.1 points.
Baden-Württemberg is governed by Grüne and CDU. On the current polling average this alliance would win 72 of 120 seats and would keep its majority.
76 polls for the Baden-Württemberg state election have been published since 9 March 2017, 9 of them this year. Most come from Infratest dimap (28), INSA (27), Institut Wahlkreisprognose (12). Recently a new poll has appeared every 43 days on average.
The next Baden-Württemberg state election is expected in spring 2031. The term is 5 years, and anyone aged 16 or over is eligible to vote.
- Until 2021 there was only one vote; the state list was filled from the parties' best constituency results.
- Compensatory seats regularly push the Landtag well above 120 seats; in 2021 it had 154.
Results: 8 Mar 2026 · 14 Mar 2021. Pollster accuracy.
- Parliament
- Landtag of Baden-Württemberg
- Seats
- 120 (regular size)
- Constituencies
- 70
- Threshold
- 5 per cent
- Seat allocation
- Sainte-Laguë/Schepers
- Votes
- since 2026 two votes: first vote for the constituency, second vote for the state list
- Term
- 5 years
- Voting age
- 16 years
- Last election
- 8 March 2026
- Next election
- expected spring 2031
- Government
- Grüne, CDU
- State capital
- Stuttgart
2024 European election in Baden-Württemberg
In the European election on 9 June 2024, CDU came first in Baden-Württemberg with 32.0% of the vote. The bars show the European election shares, the small figures the gap to the 2025 federal election in the same area.
In the 2024 European election, CDU was the strongest party in Baden-Württemberg with 32.0%, +0.4 points compared with the 2025 federal election. Turnout was 66.4% (2025 federal election: 83.4%).
Why do the European and federal elections differ?
The European election has no electoral threshold, so small parties such as Volt, Die PARTEI or the animal-welfare party win more votes. Turnout is much lower, and the political mood shifted between June 2024 and February 2025. The single European-election vote is compared with the second vote of the federal election in the same area; parties that count as Others in 2025 get no difference.
Where do these figures come from?
Official final result of the 2024 European election from the Federal Returning Officer (kerg2.csv), votes per district and independent city.
| Party | Votes 2024 | European election 2024 | Federal election 2025 | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDU | 1,645,478 | 32.0% | 31.6% | +0.4 |
| AfD | 757,992 | 14.7% | 19.8% | -5.1 |
| Grüne | 709,679 | 13.8% | 13.6% | +0.2 |
| SPD | 596,909 | 11.6% | 14.2% | -2.6 |
| FDP | 349,881 | 6.8% | 5.6% | +1.2 |
| BSW | 230,856 | 4.5% | 4.1% | +0.4 |
| Freie Wähler | 196,658 | 3.8% | 1.4% | +2.4 |
| Volt | 128,110 | 2.5% | 0.8% | +1.7 |
| Linke | 98,217 | 1.9% | 6.8% | -4.9 |
| Die PARTEI | 86,906 | 1.7% | – | – |
| Tierschutzpartei | 59,302 | 1.2% | – | – |
| ÖDP | 38,291 | 0.7% | – | – |
| Others | 246,460 | 4.8% | – | – |
Die PARTEI, Tierschutzpartei, ÖDP: counted as Others in the 2025 federal election, so no difference is shown.
Source: Federal Returning Officer, 2024 European election, results by state and district (kerg2.csv) (file), final result, retrieved 28 Sep 2026, Data licence Germany, attribution 2.0. Berlin East and Berlin West are aggregated from the boroughs as in the 2025 federal election. Comparison values: second votes of the 2025 federal election in the same area. Compiled by wahlergebnisse.io.
Baden-Württemberg in figures
Key facts about the place from official statistics and Wikidata, so the election result can be put in context. The figures describe, they do not explain.
- Population
- 11,238,761 (as of 2025-12-31)
- Area
- 35,747.8 km²
- Population density
- 314 inhabitants per km²
- Under 19
- 18.2%
- 67 and older
- 18.5%
- Foreign nationals (2022 census)
- 16.6%
- Employees subject to social insurance (place of work)
- 4,950,099 (as of 2025-12-31)
- Largest sectors
- Manufacturing 26% · Health and social work 12% · Trade and vehicle repair 12%
- Commuter balance
- +142,782 (more in-commuters than out-commuters)
- Schwarz-Gruppe
- 442,000 employees (2020)
- Robert Bosch
- 413,000 employees (2025)
- Mercedes-Benz Group
- 168,336 employees (2023-12-31)
- Mercedes-Benz AG
- 158,000 employees (2021-12-31)
- Elevation
- 327 m
- First mention or foundation
- 1952
- Twin towns
- 1
- Website
- www.baden-wuerttemberg.de
- Wikipedia
- Baden-Württemberg (Wikipedia)
Baden-Württemberg has 11,238,761 inhabitants. The largest sector is Manufacturing with 26% of employees. The largest company headquartered in Baden-Württemberg is Schwarz-Gruppe with 442,000 employees.
Where do the profile figures come from?
Population, area and coordinates from the Federal Statistical Office's municipality register, employees, sectors and unemployment from the Federal Employment Agency, age structure from the 2022 census, coat of arms, website and companies from Wikidata and Wikimedia Commons. All sources are openly licensed and linked below the list.
Does the profile explain the election result?
No. It describes the place so readers can put figures in context. Whether sector, age or density relate to voting can only be tested across many places, not from a single result.
Sources: Wikidata (CC0 1.0) · Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis), Gemeindeverzeichnis GV-ISys (Datenlizenz Deutschland – Namensnennung – Version 2.0) · Statistik der Bundesagentur für Arbeit (© Statistik der Bundesagentur für Arbeit, Nutzung mit Quellenangabe) · Zensus 2022, Statistische Ämter des Bundes und der Länder, Regionaltabelle Demografie (Datenlizenz Deutschland – Namensnennung – Version 2.0)
Baden-Württemberg: largest party by district
Second votes at the 2025 federal election in the districts and independent cities. Tap to open the district result with all municipalities. State election results by municipality will follow once the state returning officer provides them in machine-readable form.
Strongest party: CDU in 40 districts, Grüne in 3 districts and AfD in 1 district of 44. Highest share: CDU with 38.1% in Biberach.
What does the map show?
Each district is coloured by the party with the highest second-vote share at the 2025 federal election; the intensity follows the share. Tap or hover a district for the exact figure and turnout, click to open the district page with all municipalities.
All districts and municipalities in Baden-Württemberg · Map of Germany
Districts, cities and constituencies in Baden-Württemberg
Every district with all its municipalities, the largest cities with their 2025 federal election result, and the constituencies with their directly elected seat.
Districts and independent cities
The largest cities
- StuttgartCDU 26.5%
- KarlsruheGrüne 24.1%
- MannheimCDU 23.1%
- Freiburg im BreisgauGrüne 30.2%
- HeidelbergGrüne 28.1%
- UlmCDU 27.0%
- ReutlingenCDU 28.8%
- TübingenGrüne 31.4%
- HeilbronnCDU 26.6%
- PforzheimAfD 29.3%
- KonstanzGrüne 26.4%
- Esslingen am NeckarCDU 29.2%
- LudwigsburgCDU 27.8%
- Villingen-SchwenningenCDU 29.9%
- AalenCDU 32.8%
- OffenburgCDU 28.1%
Constituencies at the 2025 federal election
Strongest party: CDU in 36 constituencies and Grüne in 2 constituencies of 38. Highest share: CDU with 42.8% in 276 Odenwald – Tauber.
What does the map show?
Each constituency is coloured by the party whose candidate won the direct seat at the 2025 federal election (first votes). Click a constituency for its results, candidates and the current nowcast.
All constituencies in Baden-Württemberg as a list · All districts and municipalities
All Baden-Württemberg state elections since 1952: result, seats and turnout
There have been 18 state elections in Baden-Württemberg since 1952. CDU was the largest party 15 times; most recently Grüne led in 2026 with 30.2%. Turnout ranged from 53.4% (2006) to 80.0% (1972).
Shares in percent, seats in brackets. Parties without a seat in any election are counted under Others.
| Year | Turnout | Seats | Grüne | CDU | AfD | SPD | FDP | KPD/DKP | NPD | REP | BHE | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 69.6% | 157 | 30.2% (56) | 29.7% (56) | 18.8% (35) | 5.5% (10) | 4.4% (0) | – | – | – | – | 5.1% |
| 2021 | 63.8% | 154 | 32.6% (58) | 24.1% (42) | 9.7% (17) | 11.0% (19) | 10.5% (18) | 0.0% (0) | – | – | – | 5.4% |
| 2016 | 70.4% | 143 | 30.3% (47) | 27.0% (42) | 15.1% (23) | 12.7% (19) | 8.3% (12) | 0.0% (0) | 0.4% (0) | 0.3% (0) | – | 2.5% |
| 2011 | 66.2% | 138 | 24.2% (36) | 39.0% (60) | – | 23.1% (35) | 5.3% (7) | – | 1.0% (0) | 1.1% (0) | – | 1.4% |
| 2006 | 53.4% | 139 | 11.7% (17) | 44.2% (69) | – | 25.2% (38) | 10.7% (15) | – | 0.7% (0) | 2.5% (0) | – | 2.0% |
| 2001 | 62.6% | 128 | 7.7% (10) | 44.8% (63) | – | 33.3% (45) | 8.1% (10) | – | 0.2% (0) | 4.4% (0) | – | 1.5% |
| 1996 | 67.5% | 155 | 12.1% (19) | 41.3% (69) | – | 25.1% (39) | 9.6% (14) | 0.0% (0) | – | 9.1% (14) | – | 2.8% |
| 1992 | 70.1% | 146 | 9.5% (13) | 39.6% (64) | – | 29.4% (46) | 5.9% (8) | 0.0% (0) | 0.9% (0) | 10.9% (15) | – | 3.9% |
| 1988 | 71.8% | 125 | 7.9% (10) | 49.0% (66) | – | 32.0% (42) | 5.9% (7) | – | 2.1% (0) | – | – | 3.1% |
| 1984 | 71.2% | 126 | 8.0% (9) | 51.9% (68) | – | 32.4% (41) | 7.2% (8) | 0.3% (0) | – | – | – | 0.2% |
| 1980 | 72.1% | 124 | 5.3% (6) | 53.4% (68) | – | 32.5% (40) | 8.3% (10) | 0.3% (0) | – | – | – | 0.2% |
| 1976 | 75.5% | 121 | – | 56.7% (71) | – | 33.3% (41) | 7.8% (9) | 0.4% (0) | 0.9% (0) | – | – | 0.9% |
| 1972 | 80.0% | 120 | – | 52.9% (65) | – | 37.6% (45) | 8.9% (10) | 0.5% (0) | – | – | – | 0.1% |
| 1968 | 70.0% | 127 | – | 44.2% (60) | – | 29.0% (37) | 14.4% (18) | – | 9.8% (12) | – | – | 2.6% |
| 1964 | 67.7% | 120 | – | 46.2% (59) | – | 37.3% (47) | 13.1% (14) | – | – | – | – | 3.5% |
| 1960 | 59.0% | 121 | – | 39.5% (52) | – | 35.3% (44) | 15.8% (18) | – | – | – | 6.6% (7) | 2.8% |
| 1956 | 70.3% | 120 | – | 42.6% (56) | – | 28.9% (36) | 16.6% (21) | 3.2% (0) | – | – | 6.3% (7) | 2.4% |
| 1952 | 63.7% | 121 | – | 36.0% (50) | – | 28.0% (38) | 18.0% (23) | 4.4% (4) | – | – | 6.3% (6) | 7.3% |
Source: Landeswahlleitungen und Bundeswahlleiterin, zusammengeführt über wahlrecht.de/ergebnisse; Hamburg 2025: Statistikamt Nord, as of 29 Sep 2026. Official seats including overhang and compensatory seats; predecessor parties merged (Linke/PDS, Grüne/Bündnis 90).
Who won the state elections in Baden-Württemberg?
Largest party per election: 2026 Grüne (30.2%), 2021 Grüne (32.6%), 2016 Grüne (30.3%), 2011 CDU (39.0%), 2006 CDU (44.2%), 2001 CDU (44.8%), 1996 CDU (41.3%), 1992 CDU (39.6%), 1988 CDU (49.0%), 1984 CDU (51.9%), 1980 CDU (53.4%), 1976 CDU (56.7%), 1972 CDU (52.9%), 1968 CDU (44.2%), 1964 CDU (46.2%), 1960 CDU (39.5%), 1956 CDU (42.6%), 1952 CDU (36.0%).
Pollsters
Which pollsters survey the Baden-Württemberg state election and when they last did.
- Infratest dimap9 Mar 2017
- Allensbach10 Apr 2026
- Forschungsgruppe Wahlen5 Feb 2021
- INSA12 Sep 2018
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose4 Mar 2021
- Civey10 Mar 2021
- Forsa25 Feb 2018