Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 16 August 2022 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 15 Aug 2022
- Respondents
- 1,300
- Method
- Online
- Grüne30.5%±0
- CDU24.0%+3.5
- SPD13.0%-1.0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- FDP10.0%-3.0
- Linke2.5%-1.5
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 10 Jun 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne ahead on 30.5%, followed by CDU on 24.0%. 1,300 people were surveyed from 8 to 15 Aug 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 10 Jun 2022, CDU gains 3.5 points, FDP loses 3.0 points, Linke loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 2.5 points higher and Grüne 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.5average 9.5
- Grüne +2.0average 28.5
- CDU -2.0average 26.0
- SPD -1.5average 14.5
- FDP -1.0average 11.0
- Linke -0.5average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- Grüne41
- CDU32
- SPD18
- AfD16
- FDP13
- Grüne + CDU73 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + AfD75 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + FDP72 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + FDP70 of 120
- CDU + SPD + AfD66 of 120
- CDU + SPD + FDP63 of 120
- CDU + AfD + FDP61 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.