Wahlergebnissede
Pollster

Institut Wahlkreisprognose: current polls

265 polls since 10 October 2020, 11 of them in 2025. Latest release on 20 June 2025. Recently commissioned by: Institut Wahlkreisprognose.

Our analysis

How does Institut Wahlkreisprognose compare?

Accuracy: rank 1 of 13 with an average deviation of 1.0 points per party across 19 elections since 2017. All pollsters compared.

Deviation of the final Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll before each election from the result
ElectionPoll ofMean deviationBiggest miss
Hamburg 2 Mar 20251 Mar 20251.3Linke +2.8
Bundestag 23 Feb 202521 Feb 20250.7SPD -1.9
Brandenburg 22 Sep 202421 Sep 20241.3SPD -2.9
Saxony 1 Sep 202431 Aug 20241.1BSW +1.7
Thuringia 1 Sep 202431 Aug 20241.2AfD -1.8
European election 9 Jun 20248 Jun 20240.7Grüne +1.6
Bavaria 8 Oct 20236 Oct 20230.6Grüne +1.1
Hesse 8 Oct 20236 Oct 20231.0AfD -2.9
Bremen 14 May 202313 May 20230.6Grüne +1.1
Berlin 12 Feb 202311 Feb 20231.0CDU -3.2
Lower Saxony 9 Oct 20227 Oct 20220.9SPD +1.6
North Rhine-Westphalia 15 May 202213 May 20221.4CDU -2.7
Schleswig-Holstein 8 May 20226 May 20221.3CDU -4.4
Saarland 27 Mar 202225 Mar 20221.0SPD -2.5
Bundestag 26 Sep 202124 Sep 20211.0Linke +2.1
Berlin 26 Sep 202124 Sep 20212.1Grüne -3.9
Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania 26 Sep 202124 Sep 20210.4FDP -0.8
Baden-Württemberg 14 Mar 20214 Mar 20211.1AfD +3.3
Rhineland-Palatinate 14 Mar 20217 Mar 20211.2SPD -2.7
Federal

Institut Wahlkreisprognose on the federal election

The pollster's latest polls for the Bundestag.

PollsterPublishedCDU/CSUAfDSPDGrüneLinkeFDPBSWOthers
Institut Wahlkreisprognose30 Apr 20252624.516.51210.543.53
Institut Wahlkreisprognose21 Feb 202529.520.514.51284.54.54.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose18 Feb 2025302014.5127455.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose13 Feb 2025322012.512.5644.57
Institut Wahlkreisprognose3 Feb 20252819.516.51254.55.56.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose25 Jan 202528.521.517143.53.54.56
Institut Wahlkreisprognose18 Jan 2025292116.5152.5446
Institut Wahlkreisprognose29 Dec 202428181815.52.5466
Institut Wahlkreisprognose16 Dec 2024291720152.54.554
Institut Wahlkreisprognose6 Dec 20243120.518.511.5333.56
Institut Wahlkreisprognose22 Nov 20243418.515112.5457.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose20 May 2024311516.513.53669
Institut Wahlkreisprognose21 Mar 2024291519.5143.546.58.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose22 Feb 202428.5191412.525.58.58
Institut Wahlkreisprognose26 Jan 202427.51915.512.52.56.595.5

Average of all pollsters for the federal election

All parliaments

Latest poll per election

Other pollsters

Election tickerNext electionSaarland207 daysLatest pollForsa, North Rhine-Westphalia23 Sep 2026CDU 29AfD 22Grüne 18Biggest moveSPD, Rhineland-Palatinate▼ −8,3Leading nationallyAfDfor 159 daysRun-offsLower Saxony local elections4 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%, preliminary

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.