Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 18 January 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 18 Jan 2022
- Respondents
- 1,920
- Method
- Online
- SPD27.5%-2.5
- CDU/CSU22.5%+1.0
- Grüne17.0%+2.5
- FDP10.5%-1.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke4.5%+0.5
- Others8.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 19 Dec 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 27.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.5%. 1,920 people were surveyed from 15 to 18 Jan 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 19 Dec 2021, SPD loses 2.5 points, Grüne gains 2.5 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.4average 26.1
- Grüne +1.2average 15.8
- AfD -0.9average 10.9
- Linke -0.9average 5.4
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 23.1
- FDP -0.6average 11.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD198
- CDU/CSU162
- Grüne122
- FDP76
- AfD72
- SPD + CDU/CSU360 of 630
- SPD + Grüne320 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD346 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.