Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 19 December 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 19 Dec 2021
- Respondents
- 1,120
- Method
- Online
- SPD30.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU21.5%+3.5
- Grüne14.5%-2.0
- FDP11.5%-2.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others8.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 6 Dec 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.5%. 1,120 people were surveyed from 18 to 19 Dec 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 6 Dec 2021, CDU/CSU gains 3.5 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 3.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.2average 26.8
- Grüne -1.1average 15.6
- Linke -1.1average 5.1
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 22.4
- FDP -0.5average 12.0
- AfD -0.5average 10.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD216
- CDU/CSU155
- Grüne104
- FDP83
- AfD72
- SPD + CDU/CSU371 of 630
- SPD + Grüne320 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD331 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.