Latest election polls: Germany, 16 states and Europe
The polling average for every parliament, unweighted across all pollsters: each pollster's latest poll within the time window (federal 45 days, states 120 to 180 days). The site draws on 4,003 election polls since 2017. Every row leads to a detail page with seat distribution, coalitions, house effects and all individual polls.
Polling average by parliament
Values in per cent. CDU/CSU stands for the Union nationally and for the CDU or CSU in the states. A dash means fewer than half of the pollsters report the party.
| Election | CDU/CSU | AfD | SPD | Grüne | Linke | BSW | FDP | FW | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federal election | 20.0 | 27.8 | 13.6 | 15.1 | 10.8 | 3.1 | 3.9 | – | 7 Nov 2026 |
| Baden-Württemberg | 23.0 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 30.0 | 6.0 | – | 4.0 | – | 15 Oct 2026 |
| Bavaria | 37.0 | 20.3 | 7.0 | 14.3 | 3.3 | – | 2.0 | 10.3 | 20 Oct 2026 |
| Berlin | 19.3 | 17.8 | 12.0 | 15.3 | 22.0 | 4.3 | 2.8 | – | 8 Oct 2026 |
| Brandenburg | 10.5 | 38.5 | 21.0 | 6.5 | 10.5 | 5.5 | – | – | 9 Oct 2026 |
| Bremen | 22.5 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 15.0 | 13.5 | 3.0 | 4.0 | – | 19 Aug 2026 |
| Hamburg | 14.0 | 13.0 | 30.0 | 17.5 | 14.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | – | 30 Sep 2026 |
| Hesse | 25.0 | 23.0 | 15.0 | 16.0 | 7.0 | – | 4.0 | 3.0 | 27 Oct 2026 |
| Lower Saxony | 22.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | – | 11 Sep 2026 |
| Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania | 6.8 | 37.2 | 32.0 | 5.2 | 10.0 | 4.4 | – | – | 29 Oct 2026 |
| North Rhine-Westphalia | 29.0 | 20.0 | 16.3 | 16.3 | 8.0 | – | 4.0 | – | 16 Oct 2026 |
| Rhineland-Palatinate | 28.0 | 24.0 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | – | 3.0 | 3.0 | 20 Aug 2026 |
| Saarland | 20.0 | 21.0 | 33.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | – | 4 Nov 2026 |
| Saxony | 21.0 | 42.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | – | – | 21 May 2026 |
| Saxony-Anhalt | 22.6 | 42.0 | 7.9 | 5.6 | 11.9 | 4.0 | 2.6 | – | 3 Sep 2026 |
| Schleswig-Holstein | 30.0 | 16.5 | 13.5 | 18.0 | 6.5 | – | 5.0 | – | 14 Jul 2026 |
| Thuringia | 18.0 | 40.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 17.0 | 5.0 | – | – | 6 Nov 2026 |
| European election | 30.1 | 15.5 | 14.6 | 14.1 | 2.9 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 2.9 | 8 Jun 2024 |
Bold: largest party. Data: dawum.de (ODbL), average our own calculation. JSON · Method
The latest election polls
The most recently published polls for all parliaments, each with its own page.
- 7 Nov 2026INSA: BundestagAfD 29.0CDU/CSU 19.0Grüne 15.0SPD 14.0
- 6 Nov 2026INSA: ThuringiaAfD 40.0CDU 18.0Linke 17.0SPD 8.0
- 5 Nov 2026Infratest dimap: BundestagAfD 27.0CDU/CSU 20.0Grüne 16.0SPD 13.0
- 4 Nov 2026Infratest dimap: SaarlandSPD 33.0AfD 21.0CDU 20.0Grüne 9.0
- 3 Nov 2026INSA: BundestagAfD 28.0CDU/CSU 20.0Grüne 15.0SPD 14.0
- 3 Nov 2026Forsa: BundestagAfD 26.0CDU/CSU 20.0Grüne 17.0SPD 14.0
- 31 Oct 2026INSA: BundestagAfD 29.0CDU/CSU 20.0Grüne 15.0SPD 14.0
- 29 Oct 2026INSA: Mecklenburg-Western PomeraniaAfD 39.0SPD 32.0Linke 9.0Grüne 5.0
- 27 Oct 2026INSA: BundestagAfD 29.5CDU/CSU 19.0SPD 14.0Grüne 14.0
- 27 Oct 2026Forsa: BundestagAfD 27.0CDU/CSU 21.0Grüne 16.0SPD 13.0
- 27 Oct 2026Infratest dimap: HesseCDU 25.0AfD 23.0Grüne 16.0SPD 15.0
- 24 Oct 2026INSA: BundestagAfD 30.0CDU/CSU 19.0SPD 14.0Grüne 14.0
- 23 Oct 2026Verian (Emnid): BundestagAfD 28.0CDU/CSU 20.0Grüne 16.0SPD 13.0
- 23 Oct 2026Forschungsgruppe Wahlen: BundestagAfD 26.0CDU/CSU 23.0SPD 14.0Grüne 13.0
- 22 Oct 2026Allensbach: BundestagAfD 27.0CDU/CSU 23.0SPD 14.0Grüne 14.0
What happened recently
New polls, official results and fixed election dates of the past weeks, each with its date.
- New pollFederal election: INSA for BILD am Sonntag
- New pollThuringia: INSA for FUNKE Medien Thüringen
- New pollFederal election: Infratest dimap for ARD-Tagesthemen
- New pollSaarland: Infratest dimap for Saarländischer Rundfunk
- PeopleMarkus Fischbach new in parliament: Rheinland-Pfalz
- New pollFederal election: INSA for BILD
- New pollFederal election: Forsa for RTL / n-tv
- PeopleJürgen Harrer new in parliament: Hessen
- Local electionsLower Saxony local elections: data as of 31 Oct 2026
- New pollFederal election: INSA for BILD am Sonntag
What an election poll tells you
An election poll answers the “Sunday question”: “Which party would you vote for if the election were held next Sunday?” Usually 1,000 to 2,500 people are surveyed, by telephone or online. The answers are weighted by age, gender, region and education, and undecided voters and non-voters are excluded. The result describes the mood during the survey period, not the outcome of a future election.
Every individual poll has a margin of error of around two to three points for the larger parties. That is why we average each pollster's latest poll: the average fluctuates less than any single poll and evens out systematic differences between pollsters, the so-called house effects.
If you want to know what the numbers mean for election day, there is a forecast for every upcoming election with seats, majority probabilities and the historical accuracy of polls. Which pollster came closest to the result is shown in the pollster comparison.