Latest election polls: Germany, 16 states and Europe
The polling average for every parliament, unweighted across all pollsters: each pollster's latest poll within the time window (federal 45 days, states 120 to 180 days). The site draws on 3,959 election polls since 2017. Every row leads to a detail page with seat distribution, coalitions, house effects and all individual polls.
Polling average by parliament
Values in per cent. CDU/CSU stands for the Union nationally and for the CDU or CSU in the states. A dash means fewer than half of the pollsters report the party.
| Election | CDU/CSU | AfD | SPD | Grüne | Linke | BSW | FDP | FW | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federal election | 20.3 | 27.9 | 12.7 | 14.8 | 11.6 | 3.4 | 4.6 | – | 22 Sep 2026 |
| Baden-Württemberg | 27.3 | 19.5 | 7.3 | 27.8 | 5.5 | – | 5.4 | – | 10 Apr 2026 |
| Bavaria | 38.0 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 12 Sep 2026 |
| Berlin | 19.6 | 18.0 | 12.0 | 15.6 | 21.4 | 4.2 | – | – | 18 Sep 2026 |
| Brandenburg | 13.0 | 35.5 | 23.0 | 5.5 | 9.5 | 6.0 | – | – | 24 Jun 2026 |
| Bremen | 22.5 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 15.0 | 13.5 | 3.0 | 4.0 | – | 19 Aug 2026 |
| Hamburg | 18.0 | 11.0 | 30.5 | 18.5 | 13.0 | – | 3.0 | – | 20 Jun 2026 |
| Hesse | 31.0 | 21.0 | 15.5 | 13.5 | 6.5 | – | 3.0 | 4.0 | 29 Apr 2026 |
| Lower Saxony | 22.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | – | 11 Sep 2026 |
| Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania | 7.2 | 36.8 | 32.6 | 5.2 | 10.2 | 4.0 | – | – | 17 Sep 2026 |
| North Rhine-Westphalia | 30.5 | 19.5 | 15.5 | 16.5 | 7.0 | – | 4.0 | – | 23 Sep 2026 |
| Rhineland-Palatinate | 28.0 | 24.0 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | – | 3.0 | 3.0 | 20 Aug 2026 |
| Saarland | 25.0 | 23.0 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | – | – | 3 Dec 2025 |
| Saxony | 21.0 | 42.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | – | – | 21 May 2026 |
| Saxony-Anhalt | 22.6 | 42.0 | 7.9 | 5.6 | 11.9 | 4.0 | 2.6 | – | 3 Sep 2026 |
| Schleswig-Holstein | 30.0 | 16.5 | 13.5 | 18.0 | 6.5 | – | 5.0 | – | 14 Jul 2026 |
| Thuringia | 22.0 | 40.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 7.0 | – | – | 2 Jul 2026 |
| European election | 30.1 | 15.5 | 14.6 | 14.1 | 2.9 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 2.9 | 8 Jun 2024 |
Bold: largest party. Data: dawum.de (ODbL), average our own calculation. JSON · Method
The latest election polls
The most recently published polls for all parliaments, each with its own page.
- 23 Sep 2026Forsa: North Rhine-WestphaliaCDU 29.0AfD 22.0Grüne 18.0SPD 14.0
- 22 Sep 2026INSA: BundestagAfD 29.5CDU/CSU 19.5SPD 13.5Grüne 13.5
- 22 Sep 2026Forsa: BundestagAfD 27.0CDU/CSU 20.0Grüne 17.0SPD 12.0
- 20 Sep 2026INSA: BundestagAfD 29.0CDU/CSU 20.0Grüne 14.0SPD 13.0
- 18 Sep 2026INSA: BerlinLinke 21.0CDU 20.0AfD 18.0Grüne 15.0
- 17 Sep 2026Civey: BerlinLinke 21.0CDU 20.0AfD 18.0Grüne 16.0
- 17 Sep 2026Forschungsgruppe Wahlen: BerlinLinke 22.0CDU 20.0AfD 18.0Grüne 15.0
- 17 Sep 2026Forschungsgruppe Wahlen: Mecklenburg-Western PomeraniaSPD 37.0AfD 36.0Linke 9.0CDU 6.0
- 16 Sep 2026pollytix: BundestagAfD 27.0CDU/CSU 19.0SPD 14.0Grüne 14.0
- 16 Sep 2026INSA: Mecklenburg-Western PomeraniaAfD 37.0SPD 35.0Linke 10.0CDU 7.0
- 15 Sep 2026INSA: BundestagAfD 29.0CDU/CSU 19.5Grüne 14.0SPD 12.5
- 15 Sep 2026Forsa: BundestagAfD 27.0CDU/CSU 20.0Grüne 18.0SPD 12.0
- 15 Sep 2026YouGov: BundestagAfD 29.0CDU/CSU 18.0Grüne 16.0SPD 13.0
- 14 Sep 2026Civey: BerlinCDU 20.0Linke 19.0AfD 18.0Grüne 16.0
- 14 Sep 2026INSA: BerlinLinke 20.0CDU 20.0AfD 18.0Grüne 16.0
What an election poll tells you
An election poll answers the “Sunday question”: “Which party would you vote for if the election were held next Sunday?” Usually 1,000 to 2,500 people are surveyed, by telephone or online. The answers are weighted by age, gender, region and education, and undecided voters and non-voters are excluded. The result describes the mood during the survey period, not the outcome of a future election.
Every individual poll has a margin of error of around two to three points for the larger parties. That is why we average each pollster's latest poll: the average fluctuates less than any single poll and evens out systematic differences between pollsters, the so-called house effects.
If you want to know what the numbers mean for election day, there is a forecast for every upcoming election with seats, majority probabilities and the historical accuracy of polls. Which pollster came closest to the result is shown in the pollster comparison.