Allensbach poll of 22 October 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 16 Oct 2026
- Respondents
- 1,048
- Method
- Persönlich
In this poll Allensbach has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,048 people were surveyed from 2 to 16 Oct 2026, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 24 Sep 2026, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 3.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Oct 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +3.7average 19.3
- Grüne -1.2average 15.2
- AfD -0.9average 27.9
- SPD +0.7average 13.3
- Linke -0.3average 11.3
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD191
- CDU/CSU163
- SPD99
- Grüne99
- Linke78
- AfD + CDU/CSU354 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne389 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke368 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.