Single poll

Allensbach poll of 24 September 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
4 to 16 Sep 2026
Respondents
1,051
Method
Persönlich
  • AfD28.0%+0.5
  • CDU/CSU23.0%+0.5
  • Grüne14.0%+1.0
  • SPD13.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%-1.0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 21 Aug 2026.

In this poll Allensbach has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,051 people were surveyed from 4 to 16 Sep 2026, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 21 Aug 2026, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.9 points higher and Linke 1.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.9average 20.1
  • Linke -1.7average 11.7
  • Grüne -1.0average 15.0
  • FDP +0.6average 4.4
  • SPD +0.4average 12.6
  • AfD +0.1average 27.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 189 seatsCDU/CSU: 156 seatsGrüne: 95 seatsSPD: 88 seatsLinke: 68 seatsFDP: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD189
  • CDU/CSU156
  • Grüne95
  • SPD88
  • Linke68
  • FDP34
  • AfD + CDU/CSU345 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD372 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke352 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + FDP318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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