Allensbach poll of 21 August 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 13 Aug 2026
- Respondents
- 1,039
- Method
- Persönlich
- AfD27.5%+1.0
- CDU/CSU22.5%-1.5
- SPD13.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%+0.5
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 23 Jul 2026.
In this poll Allensbach has AfD ahead on 27.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.5%. 1,039 people were surveyed from 1 to 13 Aug 2026, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 23 Jul 2026, CDU/CSU loses 1.5 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Aug 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 21.1
- FDP +1.4average 4.6
- Grüne -1.3average 14.3
- SPD +0.7average 12.3
- Linke -0.7average 11.7
- AfD -0.3average 27.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD186
- CDU/CSU152
- SPD88
- Grüne88
- Linke75
- FDP41
- AfD + CDU/CSU338 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.