Schleswig-Holstein state election 2027: polls, forecast and date
Average of each pollster's latest poll from the past 180 days, as of 14 July 2026 (116 days ago). Next election: 18 April 2027; see also the Schleswig-Holstein state election 2027 forecast. Sunday question Schleswig-Holstein: average, pollsters and trend.
CDU leads with 30.0%, 12.0 points ahead of Grüne (18.0%). Biggest movement over 180 days: CDU −9.0 and Grüne +5.0. Around the 5% threshold: SSW 5.5% and FDP 5.0%.
How is the polling average calculated?
We take the latest poll of every pollster published within the last 180 days and average them with equal weight. Parties are shown as reported by the pollsters; “Others” collects everything not listed separately. The light area marks the statistical margin of a single poll of about 1,000 respondents.
Why do pollsters differ?
Pollsters use different sampling methods (telephone, online panels, mixed) and different weighting of undecided voters. The spread between the lowest and highest value per party is shown as a range; systematic differences per pollster are analysed under “house effects”.
Averaging the 2 latest polls for the Schleswig-Holstein state election, CDU leads with 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%.
- Lead at the top
- CDU 12.0 points ahead of Grüne
- Around the 5% threshold
- SSW 5.5% · FDP 5.0%
- Movement over 180 days
- CDU −9.0 · Grüne +5.0 · AfD +2.5
- Two-party majorities
- none, 13 three-party options
- Current government
- CDU + Grüne: 34 of 69 seats, no majority
- Basis
- 2 pollsters, latest poll 14 July 2026
These polls feed into the average
Each pollster's latest poll from the past 180 days, averaged without weighting. Older polls by the same pollster are replaced.
| Party | Average 14 Jul 2026 | INSA 14 Jul 2026 | Infratest dimap 16 Apr 2026 | 2022 election |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDU | 30.0 | 27.0 | 33.0 | 43.4 |
| Grüne | 18.0 | 17.0 | 19.0 | 18.3 |
| AfD | 16.5 | 18.0 | 15.0 | 4.4 |
| SPD | 13.5 | 15.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 |
| Linke | 6.5 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 1.7 |
| SSW | 5.5 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 5.7 |
| FDP | 5.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 6.4 |
| Others | 5.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 4.1 |
Values in percent, latest poll per pollster within the averaging window. Bold: highest value per party.
| Pollster | Published | CDU | Grüne | AfD | SPD | Linke | SSW | FDP | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 14 Jul 2026 | 27 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 16 Apr 2026 | 33 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
Seat distribution in the Landtag of Schleswig-Holstein
Under Sainte-Laguë, the 69 seats would split into 21 for CDU, 13 for Grüne, 12 for AfD, 10 for SPD, 5 for Linke, 4 for FDP, 4 for SSW. Regular size 69 seats, excluding overhang and compensatory seats. Five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority
- CDU21
- Grüne13
- AfD12
- SPD10
- Linke5
- FDP4
- SSW4
CDU would be the largest group with 21 of 69 seats; a majority needs 35.
How is the seat distribution calculated?
Seats are allocated by the Sainte-Laguë/Schepers method among all parties above the 5% threshold (Fünf-Prozent-Hürde, der SSW ist als Partei der dänischen Minderheit befreit), based on the polling average. The parliament has 69 seats; a majority needs 35. Overhang or levelling seats and constituency effects are not modelled.
Which coalitions would have a majority?
All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority. Alliances that merely extend a smaller majority coalition are hidden. The arithmetic says nothing about whether a coalition is politically feasible.
No two-party alliance has a majority, 13 three-party options would. The current government (CDU and Grüne) would lose its majority with 34 seats.
Which coalitions are shown?
All two- and three-party alliances with at least 35 of 69 seats. Alliances that merely extend a smaller majority coalition are hidden. Tap parties in the calculator to test any other combination; exclusions can be set under Settings.
- CDU + GrüneGovernment, no majority34 of 69
- CDU + Grüne + AfD46 of 69
- CDU + Grüne + SPD44 of 69
- CDU + AfD + SPD43 of 69
- CDU + Grüne + Linke39 of 69
- CDU + Grüne + FDP38 of 69
- CDU + Grüne + SSW38 of 69
- CDU + AfD + Linke38 of 69
- CDU + AfD + FDP37 of 69
- CDU + AfD + SSW37 of 69
- CDU + SPD + Linke36 of 69
- CDU + SPD + FDP35 of 69
- CDU + SPD + SSW35 of 69
- Grüne + AfD + SPD35 of 69
CDU + Grüne last had a majority in June 2026; currently holding a majority: CDU + Grüne + AfD (throughout the period) and CDU + Grüne + SPD (throughout the period).
How is the coalition timeline calculated?
For the end of each of the last 48 months the polling average is computed as it stood on that date: the latest poll from each pollster within the preceding 180 days, averaged without weighting. Seats are then allocated using the parliament's method and threshold. An alliance has a majority in a month if its seats add up to at least half plus one. The most recent month uses the current average.
Which alliances are shown?
The incumbent government, the alliances with a majority in the current average and the pairs of the four largest parties. A filled cell means an arithmetic majority in that month, a pale cell none. The bar says nothing about whether an alliance is politically feasible.
How secure are the majorities?
Polls have errors, so we recalculate the seat distribution 3,000 times with randomly varied values. The spread for each party follows from the sampling error of the average and from how far the final polls before earlier elections actually missed. The result: the probability that an alliance would have a majority, that a party clears the threshold and who becomes the largest party. This is not an election forecast but an assessment of the current polling picture.
Majority in parliament
- CDU + GrüneGovernment71%
- CDU + Grüne + AfDover 99%
- CDU + Grüne + SPDover 99%
- CDU + AfD + SPDover 99%
- CDU + Grüne + Linke99%
- CDU + Grüne + FDP93%
- CDU + Grüne + SSW99%
- CDU + AfD + Linke97%
- CDU + AfD + FDP85%
- CDU + AfD + SSW97%
- CDU + SPD + Linke83%
- CDU + SPD + FDP54%
Clearing the electoral threshold
- FDP (±1.1)50%
- Linke (±1.8)79%
3,000 simulations. Spread per party from the sampling error of the average and the historical deviation of polls from election results. Method.
CDU, Grüne and AfD holds a majority in 100% of 3,000 simulations. Uncertain at the 5% threshold: FDP (50% above) and Linke (79% above).
How are the probabilities calculated?
We recompute the seat distribution 3,000 times with randomly varied poll values. The variation per party combines the sampling error of the average with the historical error of polls before elections since 2017. The probability is the share of runs in which an alliance reaches 35 seats.
Polling trend: how the polls moved since 22 January 2025
How does the rolling average work?
Each point is one poll. The line is the average of all polls of the previous 180 days, one per pollster, so a single outlier moves it only slightly. Choose a period, an end month or the area view to explore the history back to 2017.
Search interest by party in Schleswig-Holstein
Each party's share of Google searches for the eight parties in the state, last 90 days. For comparison the current poll rating, where the party is listed in the state's polls.
In Schleswig-Holstein, AfD accounts for 55.1% of the search interest across the eight parties, ahead of CDU/CSU on 16.0%. In the state's polls AfD stands at 16.5%.
How is the search share by state calculated?
Google Trends reports for each state how search interest is distributed across the compared parties over the last 90 days. Two groups of five are linked through the AfD as a common yardstick; CDU and CSU are added together.
Accuracy ahead of the election on 8 May 2022
Before the Schleswig-Holstein state election on 8 May 2022, Institut Wahlkreisprognose came closest to the result with an average error of 1.3 points per party, INSA was furthest away with 2.8 points. All pollsters underestimated CDU (by 5.2 points on average) and overestimated SPD (by 2.9 points on average). Official result according to the returning officer. All elections since 2017 in the pollster comparison.
| Pollster | Poll dated | CDU | Grüne | SPD | FDP | SSW | AfD | Linke | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result 8 May 2022 | 43.4% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 6 May 2022 (2 days before) | -4.4 | -0.8 | +1.5 | +0.6 | -0.2 | +1.1 | +0.3 | 1.3 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5 May 2022 (3 days before) | -5.4 | -0.3 | +2.0 | +1.6 | +0.3 | +1.6 | – | 1.9 |
| Civey | 5 May 2022 (3 days before) | -3.4 | -3.3 | +4.0 | +0.6 | -0.7 | +1.6 | +0.3 | 2.0 |
| Infratest dimap | 28 Apr 2022 (10 days before) | -5.4 | -2.3 | +3.0 | +2.6 | -0.7 | +0.6 | – | 2.4 |
| INSA | 3 May 2022 (5 days before) | -7.4 | -2.3 | +4.0 | +2.6 | -0.7 | +1.6 | +1.3 | 2.8 |
Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.
All polls for the Schleswig-Holstein state election
43 polls since 16 March 2017. Pollsters: INSA, Infratest dimap, Institut Wahlkreisprognose, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Civey.
| Pollster | Published | CDU | Grüne | AfD | SPD | Linke | SSW | FDP | Others | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 14 Jul 2026 | 27 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 16 Apr 2026 | 33 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 6 | ||
| INSA | 22 Jan 2025 | 39 | 13 | 14 | 16 | – | 6 | 4 | 3 | ||
| INSA | 15 Nov 2023 | 40 | 16 | 12 | 15 | – | 6 | 6 | 5 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 2 Oct 2023 | 32.5 | 18 | 15 | 14 | 1.5 | 9 | 5 | 5 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 27 Apr 2023 | 38 | 17 | 8 | 15 | – | 7 | 8 | 7 | ||
| INSA | 25 Apr 2023 | 39 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 4 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 2 Nov 2022 | 36 | 23 | 8 | 16 | – | 6 | 5 | 6 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 23 May 2022 | 42 | 23.5 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 3.5 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 6 May 2022 | 39 | 17.5 | 5.5 | 17.5 | 2 | 5.5 | 7 | 6 | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5 May 2022 | 38 | 18 | 6 | 18 | – | 6 | 8 | 6 | ||
| Civey | 5 May 2022 | 40 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | ||
| INSA | 3 May 2022 | 36 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 5 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 29 Apr 2022 | 39 | 17.5 | 5 | 18.5 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 29 Apr 2022 | 38 | 17 | 6 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 28 Apr 2022 | 38 | 16 | 5 | 19 | – | 5 | 9 | 8 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 23 Apr 2022 | 39.5 | 16 | 4.5 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 21 Apr 2022 | 38 | 16 | 6 | 20 | – | 4 | 9 | 7 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 3 Apr 2022 | 37 | 17 | 4.5 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 6.5 | 7 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 31 Mar 2022 | 36 | 18 | 6 | 20 | – | 4 | 8 | 8 | ||
| INSA | 29 Mar 2022 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 3 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 11 Mar 2022 | 35 | 19.5 | 5 | 19.5 | 2.5 | 5 | 9 | 4.5 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 10 Mar 2022 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 5 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 20 Feb 2022 | 30 | 17 | 6 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 5 | ||
| INSA | 2 Feb 2022 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 28 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 3 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 28 Jan 2022 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 25 | 2 | 5.5 | 8 | 5.5 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 20 Jan 2022 | 28 | 20 | 7 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 5 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 13 Dec 2021 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 29 | 2 | 4.5 | 12.5 | 4 | ||
| INSA | 24 Nov 2021 | 21 | 18 | 7 | 28 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 3 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 26 Oct 2021 | 23 | 22 | 3 | 29 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 3 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 28 May 2021 | 28 | 27 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 6 | ||
| INSA | 19 May 2021 | 25 | 27 | 6 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 2 | ||
| INSA | 25 Nov 2020 | 33 | 24 | 6 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 | ||
| INSA | 28 Jan 2020 | 28 | 26 | 7 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 4 | ||
| INSA | 8 Feb 2019 | 30 | 22 | 7 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 3 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 20 Apr 2018 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 3 | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 4 May 2017 | 32 | 12 | 6 | 29 | 4.5 | 3 | 11 | 2.5 | ||
| INSA | 29 Apr 2017 | 33 | 12 | 5 | 29 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 2 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 27 Apr 2017 | 32 | 12 | 6 | 31 | 4.5 | 3 | 8.5 | 3 | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 27 Apr 2017 | 32 | 12 | 6 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 3 | ||
| Min – Max | 21–42 | 12–27 | 3–18 | 12–31 | 1.5–7 | 3–9 | 4–14 | 2–8 | |||
For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.
The 40 latest of 43 polls. Every poll has its own page; see all polls in the chronicle.
The Schleswig-Holstein state election at a glance
At the last Schleswig-Holstein state election on 8 May 2022, CDU became the largest party with 43.4%, defending first place from 2017. The biggest move compared with 2017: CDU gained 11.4 points.
Schleswig-Holstein is governed by CDU and Grüne. On the current polling average this alliance would win 34 of 69 seats, and would no longer have a majority.
43 polls for the Schleswig-Holstein state election have been published since 16 March 2017, 2 of them this year. Most come from INSA (13), Infratest dimap (13), Institut Wahlkreisprognose (12). Recently a new poll has appeared every 128 days on average.
The next Schleswig-Holstein state election is scheduled for 18 April 2027. The term is 5 years, and anyone aged 16 or over is eligible to vote.
- The SSW, as the party of the Danish minority, is exempt from the electoral threshold.
- One constituency seat is likewise enough to enter the Landtag.
Results: 8 May 2022 · 7 May 2017. Pollster accuracy.
- Parliament
- Landtag of Schleswig-Holstein
- Seats
- 69 (regular size)
- Constituencies
- 35
- Threshold
- 5 per cent
- Seat allocation
- Sainte-Laguë/Schepers
- Votes
- two votes: first vote for the constituency, second vote for the state list
- Term
- 5 years
- Voting age
- 16 years
- Last election
- 8 May 2022
- Next election
- 18 April 2027
- Government
- CDU, Grüne
- State capital
- Kiel
2024 European election in Schleswig-Holstein
In the European election on 9 June 2024, CDU came first in Schleswig-Holstein with 30.2% of the vote. The bars show the European election shares, the small figures the gap to the 2025 federal election in the same area.
In the 2024 European election, CDU was the strongest party in Schleswig-Holstein with 30.2%, +2.6 points compared with the 2025 federal election. Turnout was 64.4% (2025 federal election: 83.5%).
Why do the European and federal elections differ?
The European election has no electoral threshold, so small parties such as Volt, Die PARTEI or the animal-welfare party win more votes. Turnout is much lower, and the political mood shifted between June 2024 and February 2025. The single European-election vote is compared with the second vote of the federal election in the same area; parties that count as Others in 2025 get no difference.
Where do these figures come from?
Official final result of the 2024 European election from the Federal Returning Officer (kerg2.csv), votes per district and independent city.
| Party | Votes 2024 | European election 2024 | Federal election 2025 | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDU | 448,041 | 30.2% | 27.6% | +2.6 |
| SPD | 247,464 | 16.7% | 18.8% | -2.1 |
| Grüne | 228,684 | 15.4% | 14.9% | +0.5 |
| AfD | 180,498 | 12.2% | 16.3% | -4.1 |
| FDP | 93,755 | 6.3% | 4.7% | +1.6 |
| BSW | 60,371 | 4.1% | 3.4% | +0.7 |
| Volt | 37,694 | 2.5% | 0.9% | +1.6 |
| Linke | 33,627 | 2.3% | 7.8% | -5.5 |
| Die PARTEI | 30,779 | 2.1% | – | – |
| Tierschutzpartei | 23,641 | 1.6% | – | – |
| Freie Wähler | 18,257 | 1.2% | 0.7% | +0.5 |
| ÖDP | 4,868 | 0.3% | – | – |
| Others | 73,773 | 5.0% | – | – |
Die PARTEI, Tierschutzpartei, ÖDP: counted as Others in the 2025 federal election, so no difference is shown.
Source: Federal Returning Officer, 2024 European election, results by state and district (kerg2.csv) (file), final result, retrieved 28 Sep 2026, Data licence Germany, attribution 2.0. Berlin East and Berlin West are aggregated from the boroughs as in the 2025 federal election. Comparison values: second votes of the 2025 federal election in the same area. Compiled by wahlergebnisse.io.
Schleswig-Holstein in figures
Key facts about the place from official statistics and Wikidata, so the election result can be put in context. The figures describe, they do not explain.
- Population
- 2,958,519 (as of 2025-12-31)
- Area
- 15,804.3 km²
- Population density
- 187 inhabitants per km²
- Under 19
- 17.3%
- 67 and older
- 21.1%
- Foreign nationals (2022 census)
- 8.8%
- Employees subject to social insurance (place of work)
- 1,059,700 (as of 2025-12-31)
- Largest sectors
- Health and social work 19% · Trade and vehicle repair 16% · Manufacturing 14%
- Commuter balance
- -118,859 (more out-commuters than in-commuters)
- Bartels-Langness
- 10,000 employees
- EDEKA Nord
- 5,653 employees (2024)
- Oldendorff Carriers
- 4,000 employees
- Das Futterhaus
- 4,000 employees (2026-07-01)
- Elevation
- 12 m
- First mention or foundation
- 1946
- Twin towns
- 7
- Website
- www.schleswig-holstein.de
- Wikipedia
- Schleswig-Holstein (Wikipedia)
Schleswig-Holstein has 2,958,519 inhabitants. The largest sector is Health and social work with 19% of employees. The largest company headquartered in Schleswig-Holstein is Bartels-Langness with 10,000 employees.
Where do the profile figures come from?
Population, area and coordinates from the Federal Statistical Office's municipality register, employees, sectors and unemployment from the Federal Employment Agency, age structure from the 2022 census, coat of arms, website and companies from Wikidata and Wikimedia Commons. All sources are openly licensed and linked below the list.
Does the profile explain the election result?
No. It describes the place so readers can put figures in context. Whether sector, age or density relate to voting can only be tested across many places, not from a single result.
Sources: Wikidata (CC0 1.0) · Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis), Gemeindeverzeichnis GV-ISys (Datenlizenz Deutschland – Namensnennung – Version 2.0) · Statistik der Bundesagentur für Arbeit (© Statistik der Bundesagentur für Arbeit, Nutzung mit Quellenangabe) · Zensus 2022, Statistische Ämter des Bundes und der Länder, Regionaltabelle Demografie (Datenlizenz Deutschland – Namensnennung – Version 2.0)
Schleswig-Holstein: largest party by district
Second votes at the 2025 federal election in the districts and independent cities. Tap to open the district result with all municipalities. State election results by municipality will follow once the state returning officer provides them in machine-readable form.
Strongest party: CDU in 13 districts and Grüne in 2 districts of 15. Highest share: CDU with 31.2% in Ostholstein.
What does the map show?
Each district is coloured by the party with the highest second-vote share at the 2025 federal election; the intensity follows the share. Tap or hover a district for the exact figure and turnout, click to open the district page with all municipalities.
All districts and municipalities in Schleswig-Holstein · Map of Germany
Districts, cities and constituencies in Schleswig-Holstein
Every district with all its municipalities, the largest cities with their 2025 federal election result, and the constituencies with their directly elected seat.
Districts and independent cities
The largest cities
- KielGrüne 23.1%
- LübeckCDU 21.9%
- FlensburgGrüne 20.6%
- NorderstedtCDU 27.2%
- NeumünsterCDU 25.3%
- ElmshornCDU 24.0%
- PinnebergCDU 26.5%
- AhrensburgCDU 27.7%
- WedelCDU 26.0%
- Henstedt-UlzburgCDU 30.7%
- ItzehoeCDU 24.3%
- GeesthachtCDU 25.4%
- ReinbekCDU 30.6%
- SchleswigCDU 23.0%
- RendsburgCDU 21.5%
- Bad OldesloeCDU 26.0%
Constituencies at the 2025 federal election
Strongest party: CDU in 9 constituencies, Grüne in 1 constituency and SPD in 1 constituency of 11. Highest share: CDU with 35.0% in 3 Steinburg – Dithmarschen Süd.
What does the map show?
Each constituency is coloured by the party whose candidate won the direct seat at the 2025 federal election (first votes). Click a constituency for its results, candidates and the current nowcast.
All constituencies in Schleswig-Holstein as a list · All districts and municipalities
All Schleswig-Holstein state elections since 1947: result, seats and turnout
There have been 20 state elections in Schleswig-Holstein since 1947. CDU was the largest party 12 times; most recently CDU led in 2022 with 43.4%. Turnout ranged from 60.2% (2012) to 84.8% (1983).
Shares in percent, seats in brackets. Parties without a seat in any election are counted under Others.
| Year | Turnout | Seats | CDU | Grüne | SPD | FDP | SSW | AfD | Linke/PDS | Piraten | DRP/NPD | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 60.4% | 69 | 43.4% (34) | 18.3% (14) | 16.0% (12) | 6.4% (5) | 5.7% (4) | 4.4% (0) | 1.7% (0) | 0.3% (0) | – | 3.8% |
| 2017 | 64.2% | 73 | 32.0% (25) | 12.9% (10) | 27.2% (21) | 11.5% (9) | 3.3% (3) | 5.9% (5) | 3.8% (0) | 1.2% (0) | – | 2.3% |
| 2012 | 60.2% | 69 | 30.8% (22) | 13.2% (10) | 30.4% (22) | 8.2% (6) | 4.6% (3) | – | 2.3% (0) | 8.2% (6) | 0.7% (0) | 1.7% |
| 2009 | 73.6% | 95 | 31.5% (34) | 12.4% (12) | 25.4% (25) | 14.9% (14) | 4.3% (4) | – | 6.0% (6) | 1.8% (0) | 0.9% (0) | 2.6% |
| 2005 | 66.5% | 69 | 40.2% (30) | 6.2% (4) | 38.7% (29) | 6.6% (4) | 3.6% (2) | – | 0.8% (0) | – | 1.9% (0) | 1.9% |
| 2000 | 69.5% | 89 | 35.2% (33) | 6.2% (5) | 43.1% (41) | 7.6% (7) | 4.1% (3) | – | 1.4% (0) | – | 1.0% (0) | 1.3% |
| 1996 | 71.8% | 75 | 37.2% (30) | 8.1% (6) | 39.8% (33) | 5.7% (4) | 2.5% (2) | – | – | – | – | 2.4% |
| 1992 | 71.7% | 89 | 33.8% (32) | 5.0% (0) | 46.2% (45) | 5.6% (5) | 1.9% (1) | – | – | – | – | 0.1% |
| 1988 | 77.4% | 74 | 33.3% (27) | 2.9% (0) | 54.8% (46) | 4.4% (0) | 1.7% (1) | – | – | – | 1.2% (0) | 1.0% |
| 1987 | 76.6% | 74 | 42.6% (33) | 3.9% (0) | 45.2% (36) | 5.2% (4) | 1.5% (1) | – | – | – | – | 1.6% |
| 1983 | 84.8% | 74 | 49.0% (39) | 3.6% (0) | 43.7% (34) | 2.2% (0) | 1.3% (1) | – | – | – | – | 0.1% |
| 1979 | 83.3% | 73 | 48.3% (37) | 2.4% (0) | 41.7% (31) | 5.7% (4) | 1.4% (1) | – | – | – | 0.2% (0) | – |
| 1975 | 82.3% | 73 | 50.4% (37) | – | 40.1% (30) | 7.1% (5) | 1.4% (1) | – | – | – | 0.5% (0) | – |
| 1971 | 79.2% | 73 | 51.9% (40) | – | 41.0% (32) | 3.8% (0) | 1.4% (1) | – | – | – | 1.3% (0) | 0.2% |
| 1967 | 74.1% | 73 | 46.0% (34) | – | 39.4% (30) | 5.9% (4) | 1.9% (1) | – | – | – | 5.8% (4) | 1.0% |
| 1962 | 70.1% | 69 | 45.0% (34) | – | 39.2% (29) | 7.9% (5) | 2.3% (1) | – | – | – | – | 1.4% |
| 1958 | 78.7% | 69 | 44.4% (33) | – | 35.9% (26) | 5.4% (3) | 2.8% (2) | – | – | – | 1.1% (0) | 0.7% |
| 1954 | 78.6% | 69 | 32.2% (25) | – | 33.2% (25) | 7.5% (5) | 3.5% (0) | – | – | – | 1.5% (0) | 0.9% |
| 1950 | 78.2% | 69 | 19.8% (16) | – | 27.5% (19) | 7.1% (8) | 5.5% (4) | – | – | – | 2.8% (0) | 2.1% |
| 1947 | 69.8% | 70 | 34.1% (21) | – | 43.8% (43) | 5.0% (0) | 9.3% (6) | – | – | – | 3.0% (0) | 0.2% |
Source: Landeswahlleitungen und Bundeswahlleiterin, zusammengeführt über wahlrecht.de/ergebnisse; Hamburg 2025: Statistikamt Nord, as of 29 Sep 2026. Official seats including overhang and compensatory seats; predecessor parties merged (Linke/PDS, Grüne/Bündnis 90).
Who won the state elections in Schleswig-Holstein?
Largest party per election: 2022 CDU (43.4%), 2017 CDU (32.0%), 2012 CDU (30.8%), 2009 CDU (31.5%), 2005 CDU (40.2%), 2000 SPD (43.1%), 1996 SPD (39.8%), 1992 SPD (46.2%), 1988 SPD (54.8%), 1987 SPD (45.2%), 1983 CDU (49.0%), 1979 CDU (48.3%), 1975 CDU (50.4%), 1971 CDU (51.9%), 1967 CDU (46.0%), 1962 CDU (45.0%), 1958 CDU (44.4%), 1954 SPD (33.2%), 1950 SPD (27.5%), 1947 SPD (43.8%).
Pollsters
Which pollsters survey the Schleswig-Holstein state election and when they last did.
- INSA29 Apr 2017
- Infratest dimap16 Mar 2017
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose26 Oct 2021
- Forschungsgruppe Wahlen27 Apr 2017
- Civey5 May 2022