INSA poll of 2 February 2022 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 31 Jan 2022
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Online
- SPD28.0%±0
- CDU25.0%+4.0
- Grüne15.0%-3.0
- FDP12.0%-2.0
- AfD7.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%+1.0
- SSW3.0%±0
- Others3.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Nov 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU on 25.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 24 to 31 Jan 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Nov 2021, CDU gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 4.5 points lower and SPD 4.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -4.5average 29.5
- SPD +4.0average 24.0
- Grüne -3.5average 18.5
- FDP +3.0average 9.0
- SSW -1.8average 4.8
- Linke +1.5average 2.5
- AfD +0.5average 6.5
Seat projection from this poll
69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.
- SPD22
- CDU19
- Grüne12
- FDP9
- AfD5
- SSW2
- SPD + CDU41 of 69
- SPD + Grüne + FDP43 of 69
- CDU + Grüne + FDP40 of 69
- SPD + Grüne + AfD39 of 69
- SPD + Grüne + SSW36 of 69
- SPD + FDP + AfD36 of 69
- CDU + Grüne + AfD36 of 69
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.