INSA poll of 24 November 2021 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 22 Nov 2021
- Respondents
- 1,001
- Method
- Online
- SPD28.0%+7.0
- CDU21.0%-4.0
- Grüne18.0%-9.0
- FDP14.0%+3.0
- AfD7.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- SSW3.0%±0
- Freie Wähler2.0%±0
- Others3.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 May 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU on 21.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 15 to 22 Nov 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 May 2021, Grüne loses 9.0 points, SPD gains 7.0 points, CDU loses 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 6.5 points lower and SPD 6.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -6.5average 24.5
- SPD +6.0average 22.0
- CDU -4.5average 25.5
- AfD +2.5average 4.5
- FDP +1.5average 12.5
- Linke +1.0average 3.0
- SSW -0.5average 3.5
Seat projection from this poll
69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.
- SPD21
- CDU16
- Grüne14
- FDP11
- AfD5
- SSW2
- SPD + CDU37 of 69
- SPD + Grüne35 of 69
- CDU + Grüne + FDP41 of 69
- SPD + FDP + AfD37 of 69
- CDU + Grüne + AfD35 of 69
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.