Single poll

INSA poll of 19 May 2021 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
10 to 17 May 2021
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefon & Online
  • Grüne27.0%+3.0
  • CDU25.0%-8.0
  • SPD21.0%+1.0
  • FDP11.0%+3.0
  • AfD6.0%±0
  • Linke3.0%±0
  • SSW3.0%±0
  • Freie Wähler2.0%
  • Others2.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Nov 2020.

In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU on 25.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 10 to 17 May 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Nov 2020, CDU loses 8.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points, FDP gains 3.0 points.

Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.

Grüne: 20 seatsCDU: 19 seatsSPD: 16 seatsFDP: 8 seatsAfD: 4 seatsSSW: 2 seatsMajority from 3569of 69 seats
  • Grüne20
  • CDU19
  • SPD16
  • FDP8
  • AfD4
  • SSW2
  • Grüne + CDU39 of 69
  • Grüne + SPD36 of 69
  • CDU + SPD35 of 69
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More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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