Single poll

INSA poll of 25 November 2020 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
16 to 23 Nov 2020
Respondents
1,002
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU33.0%+5.0
  • Grüne24.0%-2.0
  • SPD20.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • AfD6.0%-1.0
  • Linke3.0%±0
  • SSW3.0%±0
  • Others3.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Jan 2020.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 33.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 16 to 23 Nov 2020, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Jan 2020, CDU gains 5.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.

CDU: 24 seatsGrüne: 18 seatsSPD: 15 seatsFDP: 6 seatsAfD: 4 seatsSSW: 2 seatsMajority from 3569of 69 seats
  • CDU24
  • Grüne18
  • SPD15
  • FDP6
  • AfD4
  • SSW2
  • CDU + Grüne42 of 69
  • CDU + SPD39 of 69
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP39 of 69
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD37 of 69
  • Grüne + SPD + SSW35 of 69
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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