Single poll

INSA poll of 28 January 2020 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
13 to 20 Jan 2020
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU28.0%-2.0
  • Grüne26.0%+4.0
  • SPD20.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • AfD7.0%±0
  • Linke3.0%-2.0
  • SSW3.0%±0
  • Others4.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Feb 2019.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 26.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 13 to 20 Jan 2020, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Feb 2019, Grüne gains 4.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points.

Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.

CDU: 21 seatsGrüne: 19 seatsSPD: 15 seatsFDP: 7 seatsAfD: 5 seatsSSW: 2 seatsMajority from 3569of 69 seats
  • CDU21
  • Grüne19
  • SPD15
  • FDP7
  • AfD5
  • SSW2
  • CDU + Grüne40 of 69
  • CDU + SPD36 of 69
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP41 of 69
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD39 of 69
  • Grüne + SPD + SSW36 of 69
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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