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ARD-Deutschlandtrend: the latest Sunday question by Infratest dimap for die ARD

Latest federal Sunday question of 5 November 2026: AfD 27.0%, CDU/CSU 20.0%, Grüne 16.0%, SPD 13.0%, Linke 11.0%, FDP 3.0%. 515 polls since 27 January 2017, 43 of them in 2026. Latest release on 5 November 2026. Recently commissioned by: ARD-Tagesthemen, Saarländischer Rundfunk, Hessischer Rundfunk, Bayerischer Rundfunk, SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung / Südwest Presse. ARD-Deutschlandtrend is the name of the survey Infratest dimap runs for die ARD; its Sunday question is listed here with all other polls by the pollster.

Our analysis

How does Infratest dimap compare?

House effect since 7 November 2025 in federal polls: SPD -0.6, Grüne +0.6, CDU/CSU +0.5 relative to the average of the other pollsters (12 polls). Accuracy: rank 6 of 13 with an average deviation of 1.4 points per party across 38 elections since 2017. All pollsters compared.

  • SPD -0.6
  • Grüne +0.6
  • CDU/CSU +0.5
  • FDP -0.5
  • AfD -0.5
  • Linke -0.4
  • BSW ±0
Deviation of the final Infratest dimap poll before each election from the result
ElectionPoll ofMean deviationBiggest miss
Berlin 20 Sep 202610 Sep 20261.7Linke -4.7
Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania 20 Sep 202610 Sep 20261.5SPD -2.5
Saxony-Anhalt 6 Sep 202626 Aug 20262.1CDU +4.8
Rhineland-Palatinate 22 Mar 202612 Mar 20260.9SPD +2.1
Baden-Württemberg 8 Mar 202626 Feb 20261.7Grüne -3.2
Hamburg 2 Mar 202520 Feb 20251.3CDU -2.8
Bundestag 23 Feb 202513 Feb 20251.7CDU/CSU +3.5
Brandenburg 22 Sep 202412 Sep 20242.1SPD -4.9
Saxony 1 Sep 202422 Aug 20240.9BSW +2.2
Thuringia 1 Sep 202422 Aug 20241.0AfD -2.8
European election 9 Jun 202430 May 20241.0Grüne +2.1
Bavaria 8 Oct 202328 Sep 20230.7FDP +1.0
Hesse 8 Oct 202328 Sep 20232.0CDU -3.6
Bremen 14 May 20234 May 20230.7Grüne +1.1
Berlin 12 Feb 20232 Feb 20231.1CDU -3.2
Lower Saxony 9 Oct 202229 Sep 20221.2AfD -1.9
North Rhine-Westphalia 15 May 20225 May 20222.5CDU -5.7
Schleswig-Holstein 8 May 202228 Apr 20222.4CDU -5.4
Saarland 27 Mar 202217 Mar 20221.8SPD -6.5
Bundestag 26 Sep 202116 Sep 20210.8CDU/CSU -2.1
Berlin 26 Sep 202117 Sep 20211.5SPD +2.6
Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania 26 Sep 202117 Sep 20210.8AfD -1.7
Saxony-Anhalt 6 Jun 202127 May 20213.0CDU -9.1
Baden-Württemberg 14 Mar 20214 Mar 20210.9AfD +2.3
Rhineland-Palatinate 14 Mar 20214 Mar 20212.0SPD -5.7
Hamburg 23 Feb 202013 Feb 20201.2CDU +2.8
Thuringia 27 Oct 201917 Oct 20191.3CDU +2.2
Brandenburg 1 Sep 201922 Aug 20192.2Linke +4.3
Saxony 1 Sep 201922 Aug 20192.2Linke +5.6
Bremen 26 May 201916 May 20190.6SPD -0.9
European election 26 May 201916 May 20191.4Grüne -3.5
Hesse 28 Oct 201818 Oct 20181.1Linke +1.7
Bavaria 14 Oct 20184 Oct 20181.3CSU -4.2
Lower Saxony 15 Oct 20175 Oct 20171.0SPD -2.9
Bundestag 24 Sep 201714 Sep 20171.3CDU/CSU +4.1
North Rhine-Westphalia 14 May 20174 May 20170.8CDU -2.0
Schleswig-Holstein 7 May 201727 Apr 20171.3SPD +3.8
Saarland 26 Mar 201716 Mar 20171.9CDU -5.7
Federal

All Infratest dimap federal election polls

208 polls since 27 January 2017, newest first; each row with date, values, fieldwork period and sample size.

All Infratest dimap federal election polls
PollsterPublishedAfDCDU/CSUGrüneSPDLinkeFDPBSWOthers
Infratest dimap5 Nov 20262720161311337
Infratest dimap1 Oct 202627201613114–9
Infratest dimap3 Sep 202627211513124–8
Infratest dimap6 Aug 202628211512114–9
Infratest dimap2 Jul 202627221512114–9
Infratest dimap3 Jun 20262723141310436
Infratest dimap7 May 20262724151210435
Infratest dimap1 Apr 20262526141210337
Infratest dimap5 Mar 2026232813149–49
Infratest dimap5 Feb 20262426121510337
Infratest dimap8 Jan 20262528121310336
Infratest dimap4 Dec 20252527121410345
Infratest dimap6 Nov 20252627121410335
Infratest dimap2 Oct 20252626121410336
Infratest dimap3 Sep 20252527111410346
Infratest dimap7 Aug 20252427121310437
Infratest dimap3 Jul 20252330121310345
Infratest dimap4 Jun 2025232912159444
Infratest dimap7 May 20252327111610445
Infratest dimap3 Apr 20252426111610445
Infratest dimap6 Mar 2025212912169355
Infratest dimap13 Feb 202521321414644.54.5
Infratest dimap6 Feb 2025213114155446
Infratest dimap30 Jan 2025203015155447
Infratest dimap9 Jan 2025203114154457
Infratest dimap19 Dec 2024193314143359
Infratest dimap5 Dec 2024183214163458
Infratest dimap21 Nov 2024193314143467
Infratest dimap7 Nov 202418341216–569
Infratest dimap31 Oct 202417341116–4612
Infratest dimap10 Oct 2024173113163386
Infratest dimap5 Sep 2024173311153489
Infratest dimap8 Aug 202416321215–5911
Infratest dimap4 Jul 2024173113143589
Infratest dimap30 May 2024183114153457
Infratest dimap2 May 202418311515–5511
Infratest dimap4 Apr 2024183015153457
Infratest dimap7 Mar 2024192914163568
Infratest dimap1 Feb 2024193014163459
Infratest dimap4 Jan 20242231131445–8
Infratest dimap21 Dec 20232132141435–7
Infratest dimap7 Dec 20232132151434–8
Infratest dimap9 Nov 20232130151545–7
Infratest dimap2 Nov 20232230141654–6
Infratest dimap13 Oct 20232329131545–7
Infratest dimap28 Sep 20232228141646–7
Infratest dimap15 Sep 20232228151647–8
Infratest dimap31 Aug 20232229141646–9
Infratest dimap18 Aug 20232127141747–10
Infratest dimap3 Aug 20232127151747–9
Infratest dimap20 Jul 20232028131847–10
Infratest dimap6 Jul 20232028141847–9
Infratest dimap23 Jun 20231929151746–10
Infratest dimap1 Jun 20231829151847–9
Infratest dimap12 May 20231628161858–9
Infratest dimap4 May 20231630161757–9
Infratest dimap14 Apr 20231529171947–9
Infratest dimap6 Apr 20231530171847–9
Infratest dimap16 Mar 20231530161857–9
Infratest dimap2 Mar 20231431171856–9
Infratest dimap17 Feb 20231529171956–9
Infratest dimap2 Feb 20231527182047–9
Infratest dimap19 Jan 20231429191946–9
Infratest dimap5 Jan 20231529191856–8
Infratest dimap8 Dec 20221529181856–9
Infratest dimap1 Dec 20221530181855–9
Infratest dimap11 Nov 20221428191847–10
Infratest dimap3 Nov 20221428191956–9
Infratest dimap14 Oct 20221526201956–9
Infratest dimap6 Oct 20221528191757–9
Infratest dimap15 Sep 20221428211757–8
Infratest dimap1 Sep 20221327221758–8
Infratest dimap19 Aug 20221228231847–8
Infratest dimap4 Aug 20221328231747–8
Infratest dimap22 Jul 20221227221947–9
Infratest dimap7 Jul 20221127231948–8
Infratest dimap24 Jun 20221226232048–7
Infratest dimap2 Jun 20221127212148–8
Infratest dimap13 May 20221126202248–9
Infratest dimap28 Apr 20221126182439–9
Infratest dimap14 Apr 20221126182448–9
Infratest dimap7 Apr 20221125192449–8
Infratest dimap17 Mar 20221126172549–8
Infratest dimap3 Mar 20221126162559–8
Infratest dimap17 Feb 20221226152459–9
Infratest dimap3 Feb 202212271622510–8
Infratest dimap20 Jan 202212241625510–8
Infratest dimap6 Jan 202211231626511–8
Infratest dimap9 Dec 202111231626512–7
Infratest dimap2 Dec 202111231725512–7
Infratest dimap25 Nov 202111211725513–8
Infratest dimap4 Nov 202110211627513–8
Infratest dimap28 Oct 202110221626413–9
Infratest dimap16 Sep 202111221526611–6
Infratest dimap2 Sep 202112201625613–8
Infratest dimap19 Aug 202111231721713–8
Infratest dimap5 Aug 202110271918612–8
Infratest dimap22 Jul 202110291916612–8
Infratest dimap1 Jul 202111282015711–8
Infratest dimap24 Jun 202112282115611–4
Infratest dimap10 Jun 202112282014712–7
Infratest dimap12 May 202111242515712–6
Infratest dimap6 May 202112232614611–5
Infratest dimap15 Apr 202111282115711–7
Infratest dimap1 Apr 20211127221679–8
Infratest dimap18 Mar 20211129201779–7
Infratest dimap4 Mar 20211133201677–6
Infratest dimap18 Feb 20211133201668–6
Infratest dimap4 Feb 20211034211568–6
Infratest dimap21 Jan 20211034211567–7
Infratest dimap7 Jan 20211035211477–6
Infratest dimap11 Dec 2020936201676–6
Infratest dimap3 Dec 20201036211576–5
Infratest dimap27 Nov 20201135211577–4
Infratest dimap12 Nov 20201036201576–6
Infratest dimap16 Oct 20201135201576–6
Infratest dimap1 Oct 20201035211586–5
Infratest dimap18 Sep 20201036201685–5
Infratest dimap3 Sep 20201036191776–5
Infratest dimap20 Aug 20201037171686–6
Infratest dimap6 Aug 20201138181576–5
Infratest dimap23 Jul 20201137201475–6
Infratest dimap2 Jul 20201037201675–5
Infratest dimap25 Jun 20201037201675–5
Infratest dimap4 Jun 2020938191586–5
Infratest dimap14 May 20201038181576–6
Infratest dimap7 May 2020939181685–5
Infratest dimap16 Apr 2020938191775–5
Infratest dimap2 Apr 20201034221675–6
Infratest dimap19 Mar 20201030231497–7
Infratest dimap5 Mar 20201227231696–7
Infratest dimap13 Feb 20201426221697–6
Infratest dimap6 Feb 20201427221498–6
Infratest dimap23 Jan 20201426241488–6
Infratest dimap9 Jan 20201427231389–6
Infratest dimap12 Dec 20191527211488–7
Infratest dimap5 Dec 20191525231389–7
Infratest dimap14 Nov 20191425221597–8
Infratest dimap7 Nov 20191426221498–7
Infratest dimap17 Oct 20191428221487–7
Infratest dimap10 Oct 20191428241387–6
Infratest dimap19 Sep 20191427231488–6
Infratest dimap5 Sep 20191527231477–7
Infratest dimap22 Aug 20191426251477–7
Infratest dimap1 Aug 20191426261278–7
Infratest dimap26 Jul 20191226261389–6
Infratest dimap4 Jul 20191325261388–7
Infratest dimap27 Jun 20191226251379–8
Infratest dimap6 Jun 20191325261278–9
Infratest dimap2 May 20191228201898–5
Min – Max9–2820–3911–2612–273–123–133–94–12

For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.

Average of all pollsters for the federal election

All parliaments

Latest poll per election

Other pollsters

Election tickerNext electionSaarland161 daysLatest pollINSA, Federal7 Nov 2026AfD 29CDU/CSU 19Grüne 15Biggest moveCDU, Hamburg▼ −6,0Leading nationallyAfDfor 204 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%

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