Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 15 September 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
13 to 14 Sep 2022
Respondents
1,224
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
  • Grüne21.0%-1.0
  • SPD17.0%±0
  • AfD14.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Sep 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,224 people were surveyed from 13 to 14 Sep 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Sep 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 2.2 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.2average 19.2
  • AfD +1.3average 12.7
  • CDU/CSU +0.9average 27.1
  • Linke -0.3average 5.3
  • Grüne +0.1average 20.9
  • FDP -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 192 seatsGrüne: 144 seatsSPD: 116 seatsAfD: 96 seatsFDP: 48 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU192
  • Grüne144
  • SPD116
  • AfD96
  • FDP48
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne336 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD404 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP356 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP336 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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