Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 1 September 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
29 to 31 Aug 2022
Respondents
1,324
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
  • Grüne22.0%-1.0
  • SPD17.0%-1.0
  • AfD13.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Linke5.0%+1.0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Aug 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,324 people were surveyed from 29 to 31 Aug 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Aug 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 1.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.8average 18.8
  • Grüne -1.0average 23.0
  • AfD +1.0average 12.0
  • FDP +0.7average 7.3
  • CDU/CSU +0.2average 26.8
  • Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 185 seatsGrüne: 151 seatsSPD: 116 seatsAfD: 89 seatsFDP: 55 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU185
  • Grüne151
  • SPD116
  • AfD89
  • FDP55
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne336 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD390 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP356 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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