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Official final result · 23 February 2025

2025 German federal election: the result

In the federal election on 23 February 2025, CDU/CSU became the largest party with 28.5%, 7.7 points ahead of AfD (20.8%). CDU/CSU and SPD have governed since then; how the alliance stands in the polls today is shown on the page with the current election polls.

Votes

Result of the 2025 federal election

Shares in percent of second votes, change on the election of 26 Sep 2021 in points. Parties below one percent are grouped as Others.

  • CDU/CSU28.5%+4.4
  • AfD20.8%+10.5
  • SPD16.4%-9.3
  • Grüne11.6%-3.2
  • Linke8.8%+3.9
  • BSW5.0%
  • FDP4.3%-7.2
  • SSW0.2%+0.1
  • Others4.4%-4.2

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the 2021 election.

2025 German federal election: result by party and change
Party20252021ChangeSeats (projected)
CDU/CSU28.5%24.1%+4.4208
Alternative für Deutschland20.8%10.3%+10.5152
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands16.4%25.7%-9.3120
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen11.6%14.8%-3.285
Die Linke8.8%4.9%+3.964
Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht5.0%–new–
Freie Demokratische Partei4.3%11.5%-7.2–
Südschleswigscher Wählerverband0.2%0.1%+0.11
Others4.4%8.6%-4.2–

Source: Federal Returning Officer, compiled via wahlrecht.de. Seats projected by Sainte-Laguë/Schepers on 630 regular seats, without overhang and compensatory seats. JSON · CSV

Projected

Seat distribution in the Bundestag after the 2025 result

630 regular seats by Sainte-Laguë/Schepers. Electoral threshold of 5%. The actual size of the parliament may differ due to overhang and compensatory seats.

CDU/CSU: 208 seatsAfD: 152 seatsSPD: 120 seatsGrüne: 85 seatsLinke: 64 seatsSSW: 1 seatMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU208
  • AfD152
  • SPD120
  • Grüne85
  • Linke64
  • SSW1
Majorities

Which alliances had a majority after the 2025 election

All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority; the coalition actually formed is highlighted.

Coalition calculator: tap the parties
CDU/CSU + SPD
CDU/CSU: 208 seatsSPD: 120 seatsAfD: 152 seatsGrüne: 85 seatsLinke: 64 seatsSSW: 1 seat328/630
Majority, 13 seats above half
Projected seats based on the official result, 630 regular seats, majority from 316.
  • CDU/CSU + AfD360 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPDGovernment328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke357 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne357 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke336 of 630
Before the election

The polls in the last 30 days before the 2025 federal election

46 polls between 24 Jan 2025 and 22 Feb 2025, each one available individually.

Polls before the 2025 federal election
PollsterPublishedCDU/CSUAfDSPDGrüneLinkeBSWFDPSSW
INSA22 Feb 202529.5211512.57.554.5–
Institut Wahlkreisprognose21 Feb 202529.520.514.51284.54.5–
Ipsos21 Feb 20253021161274.54.5–
Allensbach21 Feb 2025322014.5127.54.54.5–
Forsa21 Feb 202529211513835–
YouGov21 Feb 202529201613854–
Civey20 Feb 202530211514745–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen20 Feb 20252821161484.54.5–
Ipsos20 Feb 20253120151374.54.5–
INSA20 Feb 202530211513754–
GMS19 Feb 202531201513644–
Institut Wahlkreisprognose18 Feb 2025302014.512754–
Forsa18 Feb 202530201613745–
YouGov18 Feb 202527201712954–
INSA17 Feb 2025302215136.554.5–
INSA15 Feb 202530211513654–
Allensbach14 Feb 202532201513645–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen14 Feb 202530201614744–
Institut Wahlkreisprognose13 Feb 2025322012.512.564.54–
Infratest dimap13 Feb 20253221141464.54–
pollytix12 Feb 202529191714654–
YouGov12 Feb 202529211612654–
Forsa11 Feb 202529201614644–
INSA10 Feb 2025302215.51365.54–
INSA8 Feb 202529211612564–
pollytix7 Feb 202530201712654–
GMS7 Feb 202530211514544–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen7 Feb 202530201515644–
Ipsos6 Feb 202529211613454–
Infratest dimap6 Feb 202531211514544–

Last poll before the election: INSA, 22 Feb 2025

Our analysis

Who came closest before the 2025 election?

Deviation of each pollster's last poll from the result, by party in points. Ranked by mean absolute deviation.

Deviation of the last polls before the election of 23 Feb 2025 from the result, in percentage points
PollsterPoll datedCDU/CSUAfDSPDGrüneLinkeBSWFDPØ abs.
Result 23 Feb 202528.5%20.8%16.4%11.6%8.8%5.0%4.3%
YouGov21 Feb 2025 (2 days before)+0.5-0.8-0.4+1.4-0.8±0-0.30.6
INSA22 Feb 2025 (1 day before)+1.0+0.2-1.4+0.9-1.3±0+0.20.7
Institut Wahlkreisprognose21 Feb 2025 (2 days before)+1.0-0.3-1.9+0.4-0.8-0.5+0.20.7
Ipsos21 Feb 2025 (2 days before)+1.5+0.2-0.4+0.4-1.8-0.5+0.20.7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen20 Feb 2025 (3 days before)-0.5+0.2-0.4+2.4-0.8-0.5+0.20.7
Forsa21 Feb 2025 (2 days before)+0.5+0.2-1.4+1.4-0.8-2.0+0.71.0
Allensbach21 Feb 2025 (2 days before)+3.5-0.8-1.9+0.4-1.3-0.5+0.21.2
pollytix12 Feb 2025 (11 days before)+0.5-1.8+0.6+2.4-2.8±0-0.31.2
Civey20 Feb 2025 (3 days before)+1.5+0.2-1.4+2.4-1.8-1.0+0.71.3
GMS19 Feb 2025 (4 days before)+2.5-0.8-1.4+1.4-2.8-1.0-0.31.5
Verian (Emnid)31 Jan 2025 (23 days before)+1.5-0.8-1.4+2.4-4.8±0-0.31.6
Infratest dimap13 Feb 2025 (10 days before)+3.5+0.2-2.4+2.4-2.8-0.5-0.31.7

Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.

Accuracy of all pollsters since 2017

More

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