Single poll

Forsa poll of 21 February 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
17 to 20 Feb 2025
Respondents
2,002
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
  • AfD21.0%+1.0
  • SPD15.0%-1.0
  • Grüne13.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%+1.0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • BSW3.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Feb 2025.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 17 to 20 Feb 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Feb 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has BSW 1.6 points lower and Linke 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • BSW -1.6average 4.6
  • Linke +1.5average 6.5
  • CDU/CSU -1.2average 30.2
  • AfD +0.7average 20.3
  • FDP +0.7average 4.3
  • Grüne -0.4average 13.4
  • SPD -0.2average 15.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 201 seatsAfD: 145 seatsSPD: 104 seatsGrüne: 90 seatsLinke: 55 seatsFDP: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU201
  • AfD145
  • SPD104
  • Grüne90
  • Linke55
  • FDP35
  • CDU/CSU + AfD346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne395 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke360 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP340 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP326 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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