Forsa poll of 4 March 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 24 Feb 2025 to 3 Mar 2025
- Respondents
- 3,001
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.0
- AfD22.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Linke12.0%+4.0
- Grüne11.0%-2.0
- FDP3.0%-2.0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Feb 2025.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 3,001 people were surveyed from 24 Feb 2025 to 3 Mar 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Feb 2025, Linke gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Linke 5.0 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Mar 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +5.0average 7.0
- CDU/CSU -2.0average 30.0
- Grüne -2.0average 13.0
- BSW -1.6average 4.6
- AfD +1.5average 20.5
- FDP -1.2average 4.2
- SPD -0.3average 15.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU200
- AfD158
- SPD107
- Linke86
- Grüne79
- CDU/CSU + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke393 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke351 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne344 of 630
- AfD + Linke + Grüne323 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.