Single poll

Forsa poll of 11 March 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
4 to 10 Mar 2025
Respondents
2,504
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU28.0%±0
  • AfD22.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • Grüne11.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%-1.0
  • FDP4.0%+1.0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Mar 2025.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 4 to 10 Mar 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Mar 2025, Linke loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Linke 3.3 points higher and Grüne 1.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Mar 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +3.3average 7.7
  • Grüne -1.7average 12.7
  • CDU/CSU -1.5average 29.5
  • BSW -1.5average 4.5
  • AfD +1.4average 20.6
  • SPD -0.4average 15.4
  • FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 203 seatsAfD: 159 seatsSPD: 108 seatsGrüne: 80 seatsLinke: 80 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU203
  • AfD159
  • SPD108
  • Grüne80
  • Linke80
  • CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne391 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke391 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke363 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne347 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke347 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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