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Pollster

Forsa poll: latest Sunday question (RTL/ntv-Trendbarometer for RTL und ntv)

Latest federal Sunday question of 3 November 2026: AfD 26.0%, CDU/CSU 20.0%, Grüne 17.0%, SPD 14.0%, Linke 11.0%, FDP 4.0%. 627 polls since 18 January 2017, 48 of them in 2026. Latest release on 3 November 2026. Recently commissioned by: RTL / n-tv, Kölner Stadt-Anzeiger / Kölnische Rundschau, Ostsee-Zeitung, t-online, NRW-Tageszeitungen. RTL/ntv-Trendbarometer is the name of the survey Forsa runs for RTL und ntv; its Sunday question is listed here with all other polls by the pollster.

Our analysis

How does Forsa compare?

House effect since 7 November 2025 in federal polls: Grüne +1.3, SPD -0.8, CDU/CSU -0.7 relative to the average of the other pollsters (50 polls). Accuracy: rank 9 of 13 with an average deviation of 1.7 points per party across 13 elections since 2017. All pollsters compared.

  • Grüne +1.3
  • SPD -0.8
  • CDU/CSU -0.7
  • Linke +0.5
  • BSW -0.4
  • FDP -0.3
  • AfD -0.3
Deviation of the final Forsa poll before each election from the result
ElectionPoll ofMean deviationBiggest miss
Berlin 20 Sep 202622 Aug 20261.3Linke -3.7
Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania 20 Sep 20262 Sep 20263.3SPD -7.5
Bundestag 23 Feb 202521 Feb 20251.0BSW -2.0
Saxony 1 Sep 202430 Aug 20240.7Linke -1.5
Thuringia 1 Sep 202430 Aug 20241.4AfD -2.8
Berlin 12 Feb 20235 Feb 20230.9CDU -2.2
Lower Saxony 9 Oct 202228 Sep 20221.7Grüne +4.5
North Rhine-Westphalia 15 May 20224 May 20221.5CDU -3.7
Bundestag 26 Sep 202124 Sep 20211.2Grüne +2.2
Brandenburg 1 Sep 20199 Aug 20193.5SPD -9.2
Bundestag 24 Sep 201722 Sep 20171.6CDU/CSU +3.1
North Rhine-Westphalia 14 May 201728 Apr 20171.7CDU -4.0
Saarland 26 Mar 20179 Mar 20172.0CDU -6.7
Federal

All Forsa federal election polls

504 polls since 18 January 2017, newest first; each row with date, values, fieldwork period and sample size.

All Forsa federal election polls
PollsterPublishedAfDCDU/CSUGrüneSPDLinkeFDPOthers
Forsa3 Nov 2026262017141148
Forsa27 Oct 2026272116131148
Forsa20 Oct 2026272017131148
Forsa13 Oct 2026261917141248
Forsa6 Oct 2026261917141149
Forsa29 Sep 2026261916141246
Forsa22 Sep 2026272017121245
Forsa15 Sep 2026272018121244
Forsa8 Sep 2026282116121145
Forsa1 Sep 2026282116121247
Forsa25 Aug 2026282116121247
Forsa18 Aug 2026282116121247
Forsa11 Aug 2026282116121247
Forsa4 Aug 2026282116121247
Forsa28 Jul 2026272116121347
Forsa21 Jul 2026262216121248
Forsa14 Jul 2026262216121248
Forsa7 Jul 2026262215121246
Forsa30 Jun 2026262215121246
Forsa23 Jun 2026272215121146
Forsa16 Jun 2026272115121156
Forsa9 Jun 2026272215111156
Forsa2 Jun 2026272115121156
Forsa26 May 2026272215121146
Forsa19 May 2026282214121146
Forsa12 May 2026272215121149
Forsa5 May 2026272216121148
Forsa28 Apr 2026272215121248
Forsa21 Apr 2026262415121148
Forsa14 Apr 2026262415121148
Forsa7 Apr 20262626151210–11
Forsa31 Mar 20262526151210–9
Forsa24 Mar 20262526151210–9
Forsa17 Mar 20262327151211–9
Forsa10 Mar 2026242612141137
Forsa3 Mar 2026242612141137
Forsa24 Feb 2026242612141137
Forsa17 Feb 2026252612141037
Forsa10 Feb 2026242613141136
Forsa3 Feb 2026242612141137
Forsa27 Jan 2026242612141137
Forsa20 Jan 2026262512141037
Forsa13 Jan 2026262413131137
Forsa23 Dec 2025262413131137
Forsa16 Dec 2025262413131137
Forsa9 Dec 2025262412141137
Forsa2 Dec 2025262512141136
Forsa25 Nov 2025262512141136
Forsa18 Nov 2025262512141139
Forsa11 Nov 2025262412141137
Forsa4 Nov 2025262412141236
Forsa28 Oct 2025262512131236
Forsa21 Oct 2025262412141136
Forsa14 Oct 2025262412131236
Forsa7 Oct 2025262412131236
Forsa30 Sep 2025272412131136
Forsa23 Sep 2025272511131136
Forsa16 Sep 2025252512141136
Forsa9 Sep 2025262511141236
Forsa2 Sep 2025262511141236
Forsa26 Aug 2025262512131137
Forsa19 Aug 2025262512131236
Forsa12 Aug 2025262413131136
Forsa5 Aug 2025252512131236
Forsa29 Jul 2025252612131236
Forsa22 Jul 2025252512131236
Forsa15 Jul 2025242612131146
Forsa8 Jul 2025242712131136
Forsa1 Jul 2025242811141136
Forsa23 Jun 2025242811141136
Forsa17 Jun 2025232811141046
Forsa10 Jun 2025242711141146
Forsa3 Jun 2025232712151136
Forsa27 May 2025242611151146
Forsa20 May 2025242611151146
Forsa13 May 2025252511151037
Forsa5 May 2025252512151037
Forsa29 Apr 2025262412141037
Forsa22 Apr 202526251115946
Forsa15 Apr 2025242512151037
Forsa8 Apr 2025242512151037
Forsa1 Apr 2025242512151046
Forsa25 Mar 2025232612151046
Forsa18 Mar 2025232712141146
Forsa11 Mar 2025222811151146
Forsa4 Mar 2025222811151236
Forsa21 Feb 202521291315856
Forsa18 Feb 202520301316755
Forsa11 Feb 202520291416647
Forsa4 Feb 202520281516548
Forsa28 Jan 202520301416449
Forsa21 Jan 2025193113163410
Forsa14 Jan 202520311316349
Forsa7 Jan 2025193212173310
Forsa23 Dec 2024193113164310
Forsa17 Dec 2024193013173410
Forsa10 Dec 2024183113173410
Forsa3 Dec 2024183212164311
Forsa26 Nov 2024183212154411
Forsa19 Nov 2024183311154411
Forsa12 Nov 2024173311163411
Forsa7 Nov 2024173211173311
Forsa5 Nov 2024163310163313
Forsa29 Oct 202417329163412
Forsa22 Oct 2024173111163312
Forsa15 Oct 2024173110163412
Forsa8 Oct 2024173111173312
Forsa1 Oct 2024173110173412
Forsa24 Sep 202417321115–414
Forsa17 Sep 2024173111153413
Forsa10 Sep 2024173311143312
Forsa3 Sep 2024173211143511
Forsa27 Aug 2024173111153511
Forsa20 Aug 2024173111153511
Forsa13 Aug 2024173011153512
Forsa6 Aug 202417301115359
Forsa30 Jul 2024173011153413
Forsa23 Jul 2024173111144511
Forsa16 Jul 2024163211143512
Forsa9 Jul 202417301114–515
Forsa2 Jul 202416311115–614
Forsa25 Jun 202416311115–512
Forsa18 Jun 202416301215–512
Forsa11 Jun 202416301316–613
Forsa4 Jun 202415301317–613
Forsa28 May 202415301316–614
Forsa21 May 202415321416–513
Forsa14 May 2024153213163511
Forsa7 May 2024153112163613
Forsa30 Apr 2024163012173513
Forsa23 Apr 202416311216–515
Forsa16 Apr 202417311216–514
Forsa9 Apr 202417301316–514
Forsa2 Apr 202417311316–414
Forsa26 Mar 202417311316348
Forsa19 Mar 202417311316348
Forsa12 Mar 202417301415358
Forsa5 Mar 202417311415358
Forsa27 Feb 202417301514359
Forsa20 Feb 202417301415359
Forsa13 Feb 2024183114153410
Forsa6 Feb 202418311415347
Forsa30 Jan 202419321415338
Forsa23 Jan 202420311414447
Forsa16 Jan 202422311413449
Forsa9 Jan 202422301415448
Forsa19 Dec 2023233113143511
Forsa12 Dec 2023223113144511
Forsa5 Dec 2023223014144511
Forsa28 Nov 2023213015144511
Min – Max15–2819–339–1811–173–133–64–15

For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.

Average of all pollsters for the federal election

All parliaments

Latest poll per election

Other pollsters

Election tickerNext electionSaarland160 daysLatest pollINSA, Federal7 Nov 2026AfD 29CDU/CSU 19Grüne 15Biggest moveCDU, Hamburg▼ −6,0Leading nationallyAfDfor 204 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%

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