Forsa poll of 16 December 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 15 Dec 2025
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- AfD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU24.0%±0
- SPD13.0%-1.0
- Grüne13.0%+1.0
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Dec 2025.
In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 9 to 15 Dec 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Dec 2025, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Dec 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 25.7
- SPD -1.2average 14.2
- Grüne +1.2average 11.8
- BSW -0.8average 3.8
- FDP -0.7average 3.7
- AfD +0.6average 25.4
- Linke +0.6average 10.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD188
- CDU/CSU174
- SPD94
- Grüne94
- Linke80
- AfD + CDU/CSU362 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne376 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.