Single poll

Forsa poll of 23 December 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
16 to 19 Dec 2025
Respondents
2,003
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD26.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU24.0%±0
  • SPD13.0%±0
  • Grüne13.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Dec 2025.

In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 2,003 people were surveyed from 16 to 19 Dec 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Dec 2025, no party moves by more than one point.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Dec 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.5average 25.5
  • SPD -1.2average 14.2
  • Grüne +1.0average 12.0
  • BSW -0.8average 3.8
  • Linke +0.7average 10.3
  • FDP -0.6average 3.6
  • AfD +0.4average 25.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 188 seatsCDU/CSU: 174 seatsSPD: 94 seatsGrüne: 94 seatsLinke: 80 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD188
  • CDU/CSU174
  • SPD94
  • Grüne94
  • Linke80
  • AfD + CDU/CSU362 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne376 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke362 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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