Single poll

INSA poll of 7 November 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
2 to 6 Nov 2026
Respondents
1,204
Method
Telefon & Online

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Nov 2026.

In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 19.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 2 to 6 Nov 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Nov 2026, AfD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Nov 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.3average 27.7
  • FDP +1.2average 3.8
  • CDU/CSU -1.1average 20.1
  • Linke -0.9average 10.9
  • SPD +0.4average 13.6
  • Grüne -0.1average 15.1
  • BSW -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 199 seatsCDU/CSU: 130 seatsGrüne: 103 seatsSPD: 96 seatsLinke: 68 seatsFDP: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD199
  • CDU/CSU130
  • Grüne103
  • SPD96
  • Linke68
  • FDP34
  • AfD + CDU/CSU329 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD398 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke370 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke363 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + FDP329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD329 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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