Single poll
INSA poll of 3 November 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Oct 2026 to 2 Nov 2026
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 30 Oct 2026 to 2 Nov 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Oct 2026, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Nov 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.1average 3.9
- Linke -0.9average 10.9
- SPD +0.4average 13.6
- AfD +0.3average 27.7
- BSW +0.3average 3.2
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 20.1
- Grüne -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD192
- CDU/CSU137
- Grüne103
- SPD96
- Linke68
- FDP34
- AfD + CDU/CSU329 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD391 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke363 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD336 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.