Single poll
INSA poll of 31 October 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 30 Oct 2026
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 26 to 30 Oct 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Oct 2026, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Oct 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.2average 27.8
- FDP +1.1average 3.9
- Linke -0.9average 10.9
- SPD +0.6average 13.4
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 20.2
- BSW -0.2average 3.2
- Grüne ±0average 15.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD196
- CDU/CSU135
- Grüne102
- SPD95
- Linke68
- FDP34
- AfD + CDU/CSU331 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD393 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke366 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke359 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD332 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP325 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 27 Oct 2026INSA, 3 Nov 2026 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.