Single poll
INSA poll of 27 October 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 26 Oct 2026
- Respondents
- 2,010
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 19.0%. 2,010 people were surveyed from 23 to 26 Oct 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Oct 2026, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.7 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Oct 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.7average 27.8
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 20.2
- FDP +1.1average 3.9
- Grüne -1.0average 15.0
- Linke -0.9average 10.9
- SPD +0.6average 13.4
- BSW -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD203
- CDU/CSU131
- SPD97
- Grüne96
- Linke69
- FDP34
- AfD + CDU/CSU334 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne396 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke368 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP334 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + FDP333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne324 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 24 Oct 2026INSA, 31 Oct 2026 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.