INSA poll of 24 October 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 23 Oct 2026
- Respondents
- 1,209
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 19.0%. 1,209 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 Oct 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Oct 2026, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Oct 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.2average 27.8
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 20.1
- Grüne -1.0average 15.0
- Linke -1.0average 11.0
- SPD +0.4average 13.6
- BSW -0.2average 3.2
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD217
- CDU/CSU138
- SPD102
- Grüne101
- Linke72
- AfD + CDU/CSU355 of 630
- AfD + SPD319 of 630
- AfD + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.