INSA poll of 20 October 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 19 Oct 2026
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 18.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 16 to 19 Oct 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Oct 2026, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.2 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Oct 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.2average 27.8
- CDU/CSU -1.9average 19.9
- Grüne -1.2average 15.2
- FDP +0.9average 4.1
- SPD +0.7average 13.3
- Linke -0.2average 11.2
- BSW +0.2average 3.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD206
- CDU/CSU123
- SPD96
- Grüne96
- Linke75
- FDP34
- AfD + CDU/CSU329 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne398 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke377 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke377 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP336 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.