Single poll
INSA poll of 17 October 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 16 Oct 2026
- Respondents
- 1,206
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 18.0%. 1,206 people were surveyed from 12 to 16 Oct 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Oct 2026, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Oct 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.0average 20.0
- AfD +1.1average 27.9
- Grüne -1.1average 15.1
- BSW +0.5average 3.5
- Linke -0.3average 11.3
- FDP -0.2average 4.2
- SPD -0.1average 13.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD215
- CDU/CSU133
- Grüne104
- SPD96
- Linke82
- AfD + CDU/CSU348 of 630
- AfD + Grüne319 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke393 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 13 Oct 2026INSA, 20 Oct 2026 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.