Single poll
INSA poll of 13 October 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 12 Oct 2026
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 18.5%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 9 to 12 Oct 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Oct 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.1 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Oct 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.1average 27.9
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 20.0
- Linke -1.3average 11.3
- Grüne -1.1average 15.1
- SPD +0.4average 13.1
- FDP +0.3average 4.2
- BSW ±0average 3.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD220
- CDU/CSU135
- Grüne103
- SPD99
- Linke73
- AfD + CDU/CSU355 of 630
- AfD + Grüne323 of 630
- AfD + SPD319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD337 of 630
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.