Pollster

Civey poll: latest Sunday question

Latest federal Sunday question of 20 February 2025: CDU/CSU 30.0%, AfD 21.0%, SPD 15.0%, Grüne 14.0%, Linke 7.0%, FDP 5.0%. 260 polls since 24 January 2017, 23 of them in 2026. Latest release on 17 October 2026. Recently commissioned by: Augsburger Allgemeine, Der Tagesspiegel, WELT, Sächsische Zeitung / Leipziger Volkszeitung, Sächsische Zeitung.

Our analysis

How does Civey compare?

Accuracy: rank 10 of 13 with an average deviation of 1.7 points per party across 25 elections since 2017. All pollsters compared.

Deviation of the final Civey poll before each election from the result
Election	Poll of	Mean deviation	Biggest miss
Berlin 20 Sep 2026	17 Sep 2026	1.4	Linke -4.7
Saxony-Anhalt 6 Sep 2026	3 Sep 2026	2.4	CDU +5.8
Bundestag 23 Feb 2025	20 Feb 2025	1.3	Grüne +2.4
Bavaria 8 Oct 2023	2 Oct 2023	0.6	FDP +1.0
Hesse 8 Oct 2023	1 Oct 2023	2.2	CDU -3.6
Berlin 12 Feb 2023	9 Feb 2023	2.2	CDU -4.2
Lower Saxony 9 Oct 2022	6 Oct 2022	1.1	Grüne +2.5
North Rhine-Westphalia 15 May 2022	12 May 2022	2.0	CDU -3.7
Schleswig-Holstein 8 May 2022	5 May 2022	2.0	SPD +4.0
Bundestag 26 Sep 2021	23 Sep 2021	0.8	Grüne +1.2
Berlin 26 Sep 2021	24 Sep 2021	1.6	SPD +2.6
Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania 26 Sep 2021	23 Sep 2021	1.1	FDP +2.2
Saxony-Anhalt 6 Jun 2021	3 Jun 2021	3.4	CDU -8.1
Baden-Württemberg 14 Mar 2021	10 Mar 2021	1.0	AfD +2.3
Rhineland-Palatinate 14 Mar 2021	10 Mar 2021	2.4	SPD -4.7
Hamburg 23 Feb 2020	19 Feb 2020	1.7	SPD -3.8
Thuringia 27 Oct 2019	23 Oct 2019	0.7	Grüne +2.2
Brandenburg 1 Sep 2019	28 Aug 2019	3.5	SPD -5.9
Saxony 1 Sep 2019	28 Aug 2019	2.5	Linke +4.6
European election 26 May 2019	22 May 2019	1.1	Grüne -2.4
Hesse 28 Oct 2018	25 Oct 2018	0.9	SPD +2.2
Bavaria 14 Oct 2018	11 Oct 2018	1.8	CSU -4.3
Lower Saxony 15 Oct 2017	13 Oct 2017	1.4	SPD -2.3
Bundestag 24 Sep 2017	22 Sep 2017	1.7	CDU/CSU +3.3
North Rhine-Westphalia 14 May 2017	12 May 2017	0.8	CDU -1.4

Federal

All Civey federal election polls

113 polls since 24 January 2017, newest first; each row with date, values, fieldwork period and sample size.

All Civey federal election polls
Pollster	Published	Fieldwork	Sample	CDU/CSU	AfD	SPD	Grüne	Linke	FDP	BSW	Freie Wähler	Others
Civey for Seven.One	20 Feb 2025	13 to 20 Feb 2025	10,036	30	21	15	14	7	5	4	1	3
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	3 Aug 2023	27 Jul 2023 to 3 Aug 2023	10,020	26	19	19	15	5	7	–	–	9
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	16 Jun 2023	9 to 16 Jun 2023	10,031	25	20	19	16	5	7	–	–	8
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	7 Dec 2022	28 Nov 2022 to 5 Dec 2022	10,000	28	13	19	21	4	7	–	–	8
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	25 Aug 2022	18 to 25 Aug 2022	10,014	27	11	19	22	5	7	–	–	9
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	18 Jul 2022	11 to 18 Jul 2022	10,018	27	10	20	23	5	7	–	–	8
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	23 May 2022	16 to 23 May 2022	10,050	27	11	22	20	5	8	–	–	7
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	25 Apr 2022	8 to 25 Apr 2022	10,011	25	11	24	20	4	9	–	–	7
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	3 Feb 2022	22 Jan 2022 to 3 Feb 2022	10,070	25	11	25	15	6	10	–	–	8
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	8 Dec 2021	1 to 8 Dec 2021	10,043	23	11	27	15	5	11	–	–	8
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	1 Dec 2021	24 Nov 2021 to 1 Dec 2021	10,078	24	11	26	15	5	11	–	–	8
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	24 Nov 2021	17 to 24 Nov 2021	10,064	24	11	25	15	5	11	–	–	9
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	17 Nov 2021	10 to 17 Nov 2021	10,077	23	11	26	15	5	12	–	–	8
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	3 Nov 2021	27 Oct 2021 to 3 Nov 2021	10,069	22	11	26	15	5	13	–	–	8
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	27 Oct 2021	20 to 27 Oct 2021	10,050	21	12	25	15	5	14	–	–	8
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	20 Oct 2021	13 to 20 Oct 2021	10,028	20	11	25	15	6	15	–	–	8
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	13 Oct 2021	6 to 13 Oct 2021	10,013	20	11	26	14	6	15	–	–	8
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	6 Oct 2021	29 Sep 2021 to 6 Oct 2021	10,009	19	11	28	15	6	14	–	–	7
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	23 Sep 2021	16 to 23 Sep 2021	10,012	23	10	25	16	6	12	–	–	8
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	15 Sep 2021	8 to 15 Sep 2021	10,029	23	10	25	17	6	12	–	–	7
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	8 Sep 2021	31 Aug 2021 to 8 Sep 2021	10,082	23	11	25	17	6	11	–	–	7
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	1 Sep 2021	25 Aug 2021 to 1 Sep 2021	10,032	23	10	25	18	6	11	–	–	7
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	25 Aug 2021	18 to 25 Aug 2021	10,054	22	12	22	18	7	12	–	–	7
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	18 Aug 2021	11 to 18 Aug 2021	10,117	24	11	19	20	7	12	–	–	7
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	11 Aug 2021	4 to 11 Aug 2021	10,116	24	11	18	20	7	12	–	–	8
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	4 Aug 2021	28 Jul 2021 to 4 Aug 2021	10,217	25	11	17	21	6	12	–	–	8
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	28 Jul 2021	21 to 28 Jul 2021	10,111	26	11	17	21	7	12	–	–	6
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	21 Jul 2021	14 to 21 Jul 2021	10,057	26	11	17	21	6	11	–	–	8
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	14 Jul 2021	7 to 14 Jul 2021	10,110	28	10	19	20	6	11	–	–	6
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	7 Jul 2021	30 Jun 2021 to 7 Jul 2021	10,069	30	9	18	21	6	11	–	–	5
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	30 Jun 2021	23 to 30 Jun 2021	10,068	29	9	17	22	6	12	–	–	5
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	23 Jun 2021	16 to 23 Jun 2021	10,087	30	9	16	22	6	12	–	–	5
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	16 Jun 2021	9 to 16 Jun 2021	10,094	30	9	16	21	6	13	–	–	5
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	9 Jun 2021	2 to 9 Jun 2021	10,096	29	10	16	21	6	12	–	–	6
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	2 Jun 2021	26 May 2021 to 2 Jun 2021	10,015	29	10	16	22	6	12	–	–	5
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	26 May 2021	19 to 25 May 2021	10,016	27	10	16	23	6	13	–	–	5
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	19 May 2021	12 to 19 May 2021	10,050	26	10	16	23	6	12	–	–	7
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	12 May 2021	5 to 12 May 2021	10,003	27	10	16	24	6	11	–	–	6
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	5 May 2021	28 Apr 2021 to 5 May 2021	10,028	27	9	15	25	6	11	–	–	7
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	26 Apr 2021	19 to 26 Apr 2021	10,039	24	9	15	29	6	11	–	–	6
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	21 Apr 2021	14 to 21 Apr 2021	10,064	29	10	15	25	7	9	–	–	6
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	14 Apr 2021	7 to 14 Apr 2021	10,054	30	10	14	23	7	9	–	–	7
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	7 Apr 2021	31 Mar 2021 to 7 Apr 2021	10,043	28	10	15	23	7	10	–	–	7
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	31 Mar 2021	24 to 31 Mar 2021	10,085	29	10	16	23	7	9	–	–	6
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	24 Mar 2021	17 to 24 Mar 2021	10,066	28	10	16	23	7	9	–	–	7
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	17 Mar 2021	10 to 17 Mar 2021	10,045	29	11	17	21	8	9	–	–	7
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	17 Feb 2021	9 to 16 Feb 2021	10,075	33	10	15	20	8	8	–	–	6
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	25 Jun 2020	18 to 25 Jun 2020	12,279	34.9	11.5	14.9	17.8	8.1	6.3	–	–	6.5
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	28 Apr 2020	21 to 28 Apr 2020	12,297	38.9	10.7	15.9	14.3	7.4	6.7	–	–	6.1
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	14 Apr 2020	7 to 14 Apr 2020	12,297	38.6	10.1	16.8	15.3	7.6	6.5	–	–	5.1
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	18 Mar 2020	11 to 18 Mar 2020	12,267	30.6	10.8	15.8	22.1	8.6	5.7	–	–	6.4
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	27 Feb 2020	20 to 27 Feb 2020	12,234	28.7	12.3	16.1	21.5	9.1	6.4	–	–	5.9
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	18 Feb 2020	11 to 18 Feb 2020	12,157	29.4	14.8	14	20.5	9.2	6.8	–	–	5.3
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	14 Nov 2019	7 to 14 Nov 2019	10,198	27.7	13.1	14.3	20.5	9.6	8.7	–	–	6.1
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	1 Oct 2019	23 to 30 Sep 2019	10,118	27.9	13.1	13.7	22.6	8	8.5	–	–	6.2
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	11 Jul 2019	4 to 11 Jul 2019	10,025	26.7	13.3	13.8	24.7	8.2	8.7	–	–	4.6
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	11 Jun 2019	4 to 11 Jun 2019	10,008	28.3	10.7	13.9	23.8	7.6	9.2	–	–	6.5
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	29 Apr 2019	22 to 29 Apr 2019	10,076	29.1	13.3	16.4	18.2	8.7	9.3	–	–	5
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	25 Feb 2019	18 to 25 Feb 2019	11,891	30.7	12.2	17.4	17.3	8.7	8.8	–	–	4.9
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	7 Feb 2019	31 Jan 2019 to 7 Feb 2019	11,863	31.2	12.9	16	17	9.3	9.3	–	–	4.3
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	8 Jan 2019	1 to 8 Jan 2019	11,881	28.6	16	15.5	18.1	8.6	8.8	–	–	4.4
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	3 Dec 2018	24 Nov 2018 to 3 Dec 2018	10,041	26.5	15.9	15	19.9	9.4	9.5	–	–	3.8
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	5 Nov 2018	29 Oct 2018 to 5 Nov 2018	10,005	28.6	13	15.4	19.4	9.3	9.6	–	–	4.7
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	1 Oct 2018	24 Sep 2018 to 1 Oct 2018	11,904	26.7	16.8	16.8	15.7	10.4	8.6	–	–	5
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	17 Sep 2018	10 to 17 Sep 2018	11,882	29	15.3	17.8	14.6	9.7	8.5	–	–	5.1
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	7 Aug 2018	31 Jul 2018 to 7 Aug 2018	11,907	30.1	15.8	17.4	14	9.8	7.8	–	–	5.1
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	27 Jun 2018	19 to 26 Jun 2018	10,033	29.8	16.1	17.7	12.7	10.1	8.7	–	–	4.9
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	29 May 2018	22 to 29 May 2018	11,925	32.2	15.2	16.6	12	10.2	9.2	–	–	4.6
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	27 Mar 2018	20 to 27 Mar 2018	11,868	31.2	15.4	17.2	11.9	10.5	9.3	–	–	4.5
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	27 Feb 2018	20 to 27 Feb 2018	11,878	33.7	12.1	18.1	12.6	10.4	8.1	–	–	5
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	20 Feb 2018	13 to 20 Feb 2018	11,909	32.2	14.6	16.5	12.5	10	9.4	–	–	4.8
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	13 Feb 2018	9 to 13 Feb 2018	11,841	33.3	13.2	16.4	12.8	10.2	9.3	–	–	4.8
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	9 Jan 2018	11 Dec 2017 to 8 Jan 2018	11,880	31.1	14.5	19.3	11.1	9.9	9.3	–	–	4.8
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	5 Dec 2017	30 Nov 2017 to 5 Dec 2017	11,936	31.5	11.3	20.4	11	9.2	11.9	–	–	4.7
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	28 Nov 2017	21 to 28 Nov 2017	10,024	31.7	10.6	20.4	11	8.9	13.1	–	–	4.3
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	21 Nov 2017	20 to 21 Nov 2017	5,044	29.2	13.6	19.5	11.9	8.4	13.2	–	–	4.1
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	6 Nov 2017	27 Oct 2017 to 6 Nov 2017	10,012	31	13.7	20.4	10.2	9.4	11	–	–	4.3
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	22 Sep 2017	15 to 22 Sep 2017	10,049	36.2	10.3	22	7.7	9.8	9.6	–	–	4.4
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	19 Sep 2017	12 to 19 Sep 2017	10,021	35.9	11.1	21.9	7.6	9.6	9.6	–	–	4.3
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	12 Sep 2017	5 to 12 Sep 2017	10,033	38.2	8.5	22.1	8.2	9.3	9.1	–	–	4.6
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	5 Sep 2017	29 Aug 2017 to 5 Sep 2017	10,134	38.1	8.2	24.1	7.7	9.1	8.7	–	–	4.1
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	29 Aug 2017	22 to 29 Aug 2017	10,112	37.6	8.6	22.9	7.6	9.2	9.6	–	–	4.5
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	22 Aug 2017	15 to 22 Aug 2017	10,088	38.1	7.6	24.8	8	9	8.3	–	–	4.2
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	15 Aug 2017	8 to 15 Aug 2017	10,259	37.8	8.4	24.1	7.6	9.1	8.7	–	–	4.3
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	8 Aug 2017	1 to 8 Aug 2017	10,226	38.1	8.7	22.4	8.2	9.8	8.9	–	–	3.9
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	1 Aug 2017	25 Jul 2017 to 1 Aug 2017	10,122	38.3	8.1	23.8	7.4	9	9	–	–	4.4
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	25 Jul 2017	18 to 25 Jul 2017	10,208	39.7	7	24.6	6.4	8.5	9.3	–	–	4.5
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	18 Jul 2017	11 to 18 Jul 2017	10,171	37.3	8.4	23.8	7.3	9.4	9.2	–	–	4.6
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	11 Jul 2017	4 to 11 Jul 2017	10,170	38.6	8.2	24.3	6.9	9	8.6	–	–	4.4
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	4 Jul 2017	27 Jun 2017 to 4 Jul 2017	10,149	38.7	7.5	25.2	6.9	9.2	8	–	–	4.5
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	27 Jun 2017	20 to 27 Jun 2017	10,153	38.6	7.7	23.4	7.5	9.2	9.4	–	–	4.2
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	20 Jun 2017	17 to 20 Jun 2017	10,091	37.6	7.8	23.1	8	9	9.1	–	–	5.4
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	13 Jun 2017	6 to 13 Jun 2017	10,076	36.5	8.5	24.4	7.7	9.3	8.7	–	–	4.9
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	6 Jun 2017	30 May 2017 to 6 Jun 2017	10,084	37.7	8.9	24.6	7.3	8.5	7.9	–	–	5.1
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	30 May 2017	26 to 29 May 2017	7,563	36.9	8.8	25	7.4	8.7	8.8	–	–	4.4
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	23 May 2017	18 to 22 May 2017	7,539	37.7	7.7	26.2	7.1	8.7	7.7	–	–	4.9
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	16 May 2017	11 to 16 May 2017	7,560	38.3	7.8	26.7	7	9.3	6.8	–	–	4.1
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	9 May 2017	5 to 9 May 2017	7,518	38	9.2	26.9	6.5	8.5	6.3	–	–	4.6
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	2 May 2017	25 Apr 2017 to 2 May 2017	7,566	35.6	8.9	28.5	7.5	8.9	6.5	–	–	4.1
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	25 Apr 2017	19 to 25 Apr 2017	7,557	34.7	9.2	30.3	6.8	8.6	6.2	–	–	4.2
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	19 Apr 2017	9 to 17 Apr 2017	7,549	34.4	9.5	29.8	7.2	8.7	6.3	–	–	4.1
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	11 Apr 2017	4 to 10 Apr 2017	7,544	35.1	9	30.1	7	8.6	5.8	–	–	4.4
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	4 Apr 2017	30 Mar 2017 to 3 Apr 2017	7,544	34.3	8.2	31.9	6.8	7.9	6.5	–	–	4.4
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	28 Mar 2017	21 to 27 Mar 2017	7,524	32.8	10	32.5	6.9	7.1	6.2	–	–	4.5
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	21 Mar 2017	19 to 21 Mar 2017	5,030	32.2	10	33.1	6.7	7.6	6.1	–	–	4.3
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	14 Mar 2017	8 to 13 Mar 2017	5,017	33.5	10.3	31.4	6.8	7.1	6.7	–	–	4.2
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	7 Mar 2017	2 to 6 Mar 2017	5,006	33.6	9.4	31.2	6.7	7.6	7	–	–	4.5
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	28 Feb 2017	26 to 27 Feb 2017	5,012	34.3	8.4	31.4	7.1	8.1	6.4	–	–	4.3
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	21 Feb 2017	18 to 20 Feb 2017	5,011	34.1	10	28.7	7.9	8.4	6.5	–	–	4.4
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	14 Feb 2017	7 to 13 Feb 2017	5,016	33.1	11	29.3	7.7	8.3	6.2	–	–	4.4
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	7 Feb 2017	2 to 7 Feb 2017	5,025	34	11.3	27.2	8.3	8.5	6.4	–	–	4.3
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	31 Jan 2017	22 to 30 Jan 2017	5,014	36.2	12.1	23.1	8.6	9.1	6.4	–	–	4.5
Civey for DER SPIEGEL	24 Jan 2017	12 to 23 Jan 2017	5,028	37.1	13.2	20.4	9.3	9.5	6.2	–	–	4.3
Min – Max				19–39.7	7–21	13.7–33.1	6.4–29	4–10.5	5–15	–	–	3–9

For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.

Average of all pollsters for the federal election

All parliaments

Latest poll per election

Bavaria13 Oct 2017
CSU 40.7% · SPD 14.1% · Grüne 12.4%
Berlin10 Apr 2017
SPD 24.9% · CDU 19.6% · Linke 16.1%
Saxony-Anhalt3 Jun 2021
CDU 29% · AfD 28% · SPD 10%
Saxony16 Apr 2019
CDU 29.4% · AfD 20.8% · Linke 17.4%
Bundestag24 Jan 2017
CDU/CSU 37.1% · SPD 20.4% · AfD 13.2%
Hesse31 Aug 2018
CDU 31.1% · SPD 23.9% · Grüne 13.4%
Hamburg20 Dec 2019
SPD 30.4% · Grüne 24.1% · Linke 13.7%
Lower Saxony2 Oct 2017
CDU 33.1% · SPD 32.8% · Grüne 9.9%
North Rhine-Westphalia5 Mar 2017
SPD 35.1% · CDU 32% · AfD 9.3%
Schleswig-Holstein5 May 2022
CDU 40% · SPD 20% · Grüne 15%
Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania23 Sep 2021
SPD 39% · AfD 18% · CDU 13%
Rhineland-Palatinate10 Mar 2021
SPD 31% · CDU 30% · Grüne 13%
Baden-Württemberg10 Mar 2021
Grüne 32% · CDU 24% · SPD 13%
Thuringia29 Aug 2018
CDU 29.9% · Linke 24.1% · AfD 22.3%
Brandenburg21 Feb 2018
CDU 22.1% · SPD 21.8% · Linke 20%
European election29 Apr 2019
CDU/CSU 31.6% · Grüne 17.3% · SPD 16.2%

Civey poll: latest Sunday question

How does Civey compare?

All Civey federal election polls

Latest poll per election

Other pollsters

Table as CSV