Civey poll of 8 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Aug 2021 to 8 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 10,082
- Method
- Online
- SPD25.0%±0
- CDU/CSU23.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%-1.0
- FDP11.0%±0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 1 Sep 2021.
In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 10,082 people were surveyed from 31 Aug 2021 to 8 Sep 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 1 Sep 2021, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.9average 21.1
- FDP -1.1average 12.1
- Linke -0.6average 6.6
- Grüne +0.4average 16.6
- SPD -0.3average 25.3
- AfD -0.2average 11.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD169
- CDU/CSU156
- Grüne115
- FDP75
- AfD74
- Linke41
- SPD + CDU/CSU325 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD345 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.